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Seat of the week: Oxley

Despite unfavourable redistributions and the statewide swing of 2010, Bill Hayden's old seat has returned to safe Labor form since the famous interruption of Pauline Hanson.

Still famous 15 years later as the former electorate of Pauline Hanson, the modern seat of Oxley was created around the satellite city of Ipswich west of Brisbane in 1949 (a seat bearing the name earlier existed in southern Brisbane, before being renamed Griffith in 1934). Redistributions in 2004, 2007 and 2010 sent the electorate’s remaining share of Ipswich to Blair, pushing Oxley towards Brisbane with the addition of Middle Park and Jindalee in the north and Algester to the east. The changes before the 2010 election garnished the margin from 14.1% to 11.3%, and the punishing statewide swing against Labor that followed pared it back to 5.6%.

Oxley was was held for the Liberals on fairly comfortable margins for a decade after its creation by Donald Cameron, who served as Health Minister in the Menzies government. However, a 9.4% swing in the near-miss election of 1961 portended a long-term shift, delivering the seat to Labor’s Bill Hayden. Hayden did extraordinarily well to lift his margin to 19.1% by 1969, but Queensland’s reaction against the Whitlam government was enough to cut it back to 3.8% in 1975. By the time Hayden resigned to become Governor-General in 1988, the seat was safe enough for Labor that Les Scott was able to survive a sharp swing at the resulting by-election with a 4.0% margin.

After retaining a margin of 12.6% at the 1993 election, few suspected that Scott would be in serious danger despite the hostile environment Labor faced in 1996. However, trouble came in the form of Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, whose campaign remarks about Aboriginal welfare saw her disendorsed by a party sensitive about its leader’s complicated history on racial issues. The voters by contrast rewarded her with an astonishing 48.6% of the primary vote, resulting in a 4.7% win after preferences. Unfortunately for Hanson, Oxley was substantially redrawn with the 1998 redistribution, losing its rural areas beyond Ipswich to newly created Blair along with parts of Ipswich itself, while absorbing the very safe Labor urban area of Inala. Rightly or wrongly, Hanson decided the new seat offered her the better prospects and Labor’s Bernie Ripoll had no trouble regaining Oxley at the 1998 election.

A member of the Australian Workers Union/Labor Forum faction, Ripoll served as a parliamentary secretary in opposition after the 2004 election, but was passed over when Labor came to office in 2007. His preselected Liberal National Party opponent for the coming election is Andrew Nyugen, a 28-year-old policy adviser to Brisbane lord mayor Graham Quirk.


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my say

do you know what
i dont read william bit above much

for pity sake how could that change to the above
when nothing happend
iam going to put this poll in the bin’
of history

and do the things i planned to do today

my oh just came home ask his opion

said well yes if its differenct electorates

i suppose it could
well william what do they do how do they poll

can we have your expert opinion on that



[Don’t you mean orooerly?]

That effort by the Duck is no00000rty.

Q. Are we talking duck or a turkey?

my say

well how about that a

he he he he

lol roflingggggggggggggg

my say

your not going to beleive this i have been looking at realestate for a friend for the last hour and
the thing dropped out and up came
this page
what a laugh no differnt, all their capper
and by the way mss jb i can remember my first day at work to but dont remmeber what the weather forecast was who the obbs for the day
but i wore a yellow linen dress and took my cream cardi with me and an umbrella with flowers on it

of course you remeber your first day at work and
where you went we where given a tour of the army baracks which at that time was at the back of bureau becauce they had a canteen

The Finnigans

They threw everything at PM – still cant knock her down 51-49, vbad for Abbott, Peta’s expecting 53-47 & scream “abbott, you fuacking idiot”


Posted Sunday, November 25, 2012 at 10:26 pm | PERMALINK
Mari Glad we stayed up for the poll}

Smart,happy and now tired little PBers we are 🙂


[After speaking to John Howard, Lightfoot issued a statement in which he claimed that he felt “uncomfortable” having the gun with him and did not carry it personally]

comment image


[If JulieB wants to be the attack dog, she has to have her own credibility challenged. The fact she lives in a glass house is valid, especially as she keeps using the pejorative term “boyfriend” to demean the PMs past relationships.]
Well said!
I do however admire Confessions ability to rise above the fray.



Off to play RAGE – blowing up mutants makes me feel better.

What ru?? The opposition front bench is a video game now??


Mari Glad we stayed up for the poll 🙂



The poll proves what I have been saying.

Voters know jack and don’t give a sh!t about the S&G matter.


Gee Thanks to James J I can go to bed happy now and won’t have nightmares about 60 to 40 like Mod Lib was predicting



If JulieB wants to be the attack dog, she has to have her own credibility challenged. The fact she lives in a glass house is valid, especially as she keeps using the pejorative term “boyfriend” to demean the PMs past relationships.


Yeah eff you Paul Kelly 😯

Shock the monkey!

This little black duck
This little black duck

Thanks, James J,

An early (10:21) evening call.



51-49 2PP to the coalition]

Well, well.

Mumble has said for ages now that the daily commentary doesn’t have any impact on polls fortnight to fortnight.

Perhaps he was right. If so, watch the space ‘moving forward’.


James J

Thank you.


And I am pleasantly surprised!! 🙂


So all that shite and no lib bounce!