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Essential Research: 54-46 to Coalition

Essential Research records next to no change on voting intention, and a general lack of sympathy for the view that unemployment benefits haven't kept up over the years.

The latest weekly Essential Research result maintains the outfit’s record of consistency with the major parties unchanged on last week – the Coalition leads 48% to 36% on the primary vote and 54-46 on two-party preferred – and the Greens up a point from last week’s unusually poor result to 9%.

Whereas attitudinal questions often point to a social democratic bent among the population at large, questions posed this week on Newstart indicate that this particular buck stops with unemployment benefits. Fifty-three per cent agreed with the proposition that the current welfare system created a “culture of dependency”, with only 30% opting for the alternative proposition that current benefits are “the least a civilised society should provide”. In relation to Newstart benefits specifically, 33% said they were not high enough, 30% about right, and 25% too high. As Bernard Keane notes in Crikey today, variation by party support was not as pronounced as it often is in relation to such questions.

Further questions dealt with trust in various industries, with good rankings for agriculture (72%), tourism (68%) and manufacturing (56%) and poor ones for banking (33%), mining (32%), media (30%) and, tellingly, power companies (18%). Crikey will tomorrow publish Essential’s biannual “trust in media” results, which always makes for fun reading for critics of the fourth estate.

UPDATE (25/1/13): An automated phone poll for the Tasmanian seat of Bass, conducted by ReachTEL for the Launceston Examiner, has produced a dire result for Labor, with incumbent Geoff Lyons trailing Liberal candidate Andrew Nikolic 60.3-39.7 on two-party preferred. The primary votes are 54.7% for Nikolic, 26.7% for Lyons and 8.7% for the Greens. The sample size for the poll is 543.

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Dorrie Evans
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I don’t mind a rock hard argument but what I will not abide is a hand full of sand thrown in my face by a weak opponent who stands behind a lifelong love affair with his or her own ignorance.

Dorrie Evans
Guest

Don’t bring a knife to a gunfight cw. I am advised by another poster that you are an Ok person. Will you personally benefit from putting me down? Will it make you feel any better if you do so? A complete stranger? Can you explain how that is any good for you or me?

crikey whitey
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absolutetwaddle

Dorrie Evans
Guest

I am not your enemy cw. Rest son. Can you really judge me from the little we have said to each other?

crikey whitey
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Mmmh.

Change of shift.

Dorrie Evans
Guest

That is almost cute cw. Do you always back away from a fight even though you might lose?

absolutetwaddle
Guest
Welcome to the Internet, Dorrie. I agree with pretty much everything there though – I would add that even as someone who may very well kill for JG to win the next election the hubris surrounding the next election from Labor supporters here is quite galling. Ultimately lots of the people here have been alienated from the MSM and have found a small niche they kinda fit into – particularly the Labor optimist crowd. In reality these are dark days for Labor and the future looks pretty bad so I understand it. Any port in a storm and all that.… Read more »
crikey whitey
Guest

Well then. Don’t.

Dorrie Evans
Guest
And CW, mate I am not a troll or anything else you care to imagine. We do not know each other. That’s it. People here get carried away. Some of them do it in the most spectacular and amusing way but perspective is the only thing that will save you and me from making complete fools of ourselves. My friends like and put up with me. I presume it is the same for you. My whole life has been a endless succession of gormless fools barking their dogma at me. I don’t have to put up with it anymore and… Read more »
Gecko
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In another bulletin: recent polling results on conservative forethought were returned late and had to be abandoned.

crikey whitey
Guest

So nice. Perhaps you could advise William.

Dorrie Evans
Guest
Dorrie Evans Posted Saturday, January 26, 2013 at 2:31 am | Permalink What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun. I see the pretty knitters are still letting what’s left of their lives ebb into the ether. Some of you are bright enough to know it even if the messenger is a little shit. All perspective is lost if you fixate and less is more simply because it has more punch. All this handbag at twenty paces stuff is nonsense, puerile and very unbecoming. I apologise for… Read more »
crikey whitey
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Kevin Bonham
Posted Saturday, January 26, 2013 at 1:27 am | PERMALINK
Anyone know whether the public holiday will mess with the Newspoll release date? Essential are releasing on Tuesday instead of Monday because of it.

JW may know.

deblonay
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Chas. Freeman …on the dangers of contradictory US policy in the N East
______________
A former US Ambassador to Saudi speaks on US policy
____________
http://www.mepc.org/articles-commentary/speeches/change-without-progress-middle-east

ShowsOn
Guest

These are all the songs they played, but they aren’t in the right order:

Monarchy of Roses
Around the World
Scar Tissue
Factory of Faith
Look Around
The Adventures of Rain Dance Maggie
Snow (Hey Oh)
Universally Speaking
What in the World (David Bowie)
Under the Bridge
Californication
By the Way

ENCORE:
Soul To Squeeze
Give it Away

ShowsOn
Guest

MOFOS

HAPPY RED AUSTRALIA HOT DAY PEPPERS !!!!

Kevin Bonham
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Anyone know whether the public holiday will mess with the Newspoll release date? Essential are releasing on Tuesday instead of Monday because of it.

Kevin Bonham
Guest
Henry@3854 Bottom line is Gillard is preferred PM over Abbott. Are some people slow around here or what. Bottom line is Preferred Prime Minister is a rubbish indicator unless you at least scale it for the advantage to the incumbent: http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2012/12/why-preferred-prime-ministerpremier.html I do wish people would realise this and stop drawing false conclusions from PPM. It’s like using a product that’s been proven not to work. (Of course, people who think you can read the election result reliably from relatively close polls several months out are making the same mistake.) As for Mod Lib’s comments about the Galaxy poll, I… Read more »
PatriciaWA
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Bushfire Bill @ 3644 “She’s a winner!” Here! Here! This came in my e-mail the other day. …..I think we should start a ‘we love Julia campaign’ and become a political force – ‘we’ being we old feminists, who are experiencing some of our dreams becoming a reality – Australia’s first female prime minister and her different way of communicating with the public and her working methods with her colleagues, but still adept at political survival. I am disappointed with Germaine Greer saying trite things about Julia’s physicality etc. and more particularly Eva Cox, whom I admired, recently refuting Julia’s… Read more »
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