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Redmond quits

The South Australian Liberals will choose a new leader on Monday after Isobel Redmond announced this morning her increasingly beleagured tenure had come to an end.

Months after surviving a leadership challenge by a solitary vote, Isobel Redmond has pulled the plug on her three-and-a-half year spell as leader of the South Australian Liberals. Her successor will be chosen at a secret party room ballot at 9am on Monday. The hot tip had been that Alexander Downer would be drafted in to take the reins, but his denials today have been fairly emphatic. Deputy leader Steven Marshall appears to be a likely starter on Monday; the unsuccessful challenger from November, Martin Hamilton-Smith, is also presumably considering his options. This post will be feature updates on events as they transpire.

UPDATE (1/2/13): Daniel Wills of the Advertiser:

FIRST-term MP Steven Marshall is firming to become state Liberal leader after Isobel Redmond’s shock resignation, but senior party sources insist he will only take the job “on his own terms”.

Lucille Keen of the Financial Review:

The surprise move has pushed her deputy, Steven Marshall, into the leader’s position pending a party-room vote on Monday.

Insiders say he is likely to win that vote but speculation is still intense about the possibility that Mr Downer will lead the party to the March 2014 poll.

Paul Starick of the Advertiser:

It remains more likely, if he is to assume the leadership, that Mr Downer would wait until later in the year before declaring his hand.

Equally, he might just let the issue fizzle out if a new leader performs strongly.

UPDATE (2/2/13): Steven Marshall has appeared for a symbolism-packed photo opportunity with bitter 90s leadership rivals John Olsen and Dean Brown, who have both announced their support for his leadership bid. Olsen had “reportedly been a backer of the Downer option”. Downer was not available for comment yesterday.

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76 comments

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Rational Leftist
Guest

[New Liberal shadow ministry announced. Rather an odd setup. Trying to behave like a buisness board?]

Underwhelming is the word I’d use. He’s just shuffled the same hacks around.

Marshall hasn’t had the best start, in my view. He’s made a few errors of judgement. Luckily for him, he’s still in a honeymoon period and he has a little sympathy, however, if he doesn’t improve by the end of the year, he could end up being a total dud.

Wakefield
Guest

New Liberal shadow ministry announced. Rather an odd setup. Trying to behave like a buisness board?

Rational Leftist
Guest

Oh, it looks like the ALP website is not the only one with Latin in it. The National Association of Local Authorities in Ghana (their equivalent of our LGA) website does too.

http://www.nalag.org/index.php

Okay, I will come right out and say it: Illuminati Zionist Lizardmen from Tau Ceti IV! 😆

Rational Leftist
Guest

[Carey – calling the Pyne faction Left Liberals is a bit off beam. They are right wing. The others are rural conservatives?]

I wasn’t commenting on their ideology, I was just referring to the label they are known as.

Independently Thinking
Guest
Independently Thinking

Wakefield @69

I know, I am deeply embarrassed but my source had admitted to being overly optimistic about Chapman coming unstuck and Chapman was brilliant. Some in the Liberals wish she could show that level of political nous outside the Liberal Party, but anyhow…

What happened was Chapman put her hand up, confirmed votes from her faction were solid very quickly, and then refused to back down.

Iain Evans of course did much the same with his faction a little later.

It left the unaligned candidates and unaligned MPs nowhere to go but for the factional candidates as they didn’t have enough to do anything but come third.

Marshall realised Sunday it had to be a Wet vs Dry argument and he would always vote for a Wet in that case so Evans was then always going to, at best, tie.

Avoiding the tie was paramount so someone voted for Chapman to ensure a name wasn’t drawn from a hat (how dopey would that have looked).

A certain prominent wet Fed MP was deeply involved in the number crunching, but I wouldn’t want to say who he is, or cast asturtions.

Wakefield
Guest

Carey – calling the Pyne faction Left Liberals is a bit off beam. They are right wing. The others are rural conservatives?

Rational Leftist
Guest

As the Left has gotten a total win out of today, who will Marshall have to keep an eye on more? Chapman or somebody from the Right?

MHS looks like he has the potential to be this generation’s John Olsen, TBH…

Wakefield
Guest

Indep Thinking – need to review your intelligence.

Anyone able to put up a list of who voted for who and compared with last leadership vote. Suspect Redmond must have voted voted for Chapman?

Toorak Toff
Guest

The Libs are crazy. Dan XYZ Pelleken should have been deputy to complete a brand new team and mollify the dries.

Now the deputy will be tempted to unseat the leader, and the dries will be out to dehydrate the wets.

Rational Leftist
Guest

Chapman as deputy? Watch your back Steven etc.

The Liberal Left will be proud of what they’ve achieved with this ticket.

castle
Guest

Marshall leader Chapman deputy.

Abbott has held news conference deploring knifing of Redmond.

Pyne at same conference compared Marshals actions to a crazed Nazi regime and called for a bomb in the bunker approach to correct this travesty.

Laming tweeted that Marshall should have been helping kids on first day back at school insted of knifing leader.

Bernardi has lamented misogynistic SA liberals for knifing a woman leader for a man.

Hockey has asked whens lunch.

Wakefield
Guest

What an odd outcome if the MHS – Marshall ticket from last time ends up as the Marshall – MHS ticket this time. History repeating itself backwards somehow.

Sunday Mail predictions – be interesting to see if they improve with David Penberthy as Editor.

Rational Leftist
Guest

IT, the Liberals seem to very wisely be pulling their heads in lately and thinking of the future. I think the mood is that, if they screw up next year, the subsequent despair could haunt them in the long term. Ultimately, the deputy race will probably go to MHS in the name of unity and as a reward for not making a fuss this time.

I will note that some have made comparisons between the current situation and when Dean Brown and John Olsen faced off to succeed Dale Baker in the early 1990s. While there are similarities (and certainly, when Premier, Marshall should watch his back), the political conditions were quite different. Back then, the government was so on the nose that anybody could win. Baker probably would’ve won too but not by the huge margin they were aspiring for. OTOH, now it is a case of a vulnerable government that can lose but it might not either. Which is why unity and moving forward is their priority.

Independently Thinking
Guest
Independently Thinking

Today’s Sunday Mail in SA has a story that the Deputy Lib Leader position is likely to go to Vickie Chapman.

Rubbish.

She won’t get more than her own moderate faction votes and conservative Iain Evans is also dead in the water.

It is true Dan van Horst Pellekan is receding as a contender due to his inexperience, when combined with that of the equally inexperienced Marshall. He will pull out Monday morning if he thinks he will bomb.

Marty Hyphen-Smith is still negotiating with Steven Marshal to be deputy asking that he gets it without a ballot after all Marty did for him. He has a point. It will be interesting to see which way Marshall, who is technically a moderate, will go, as he is very much a listener to moderate warlord and mentor Christopher Pyne.

As those opposed to Vickie ‘it’s all about me’ Chapman are more than half, and Marty is non-aligned, if a ballot was held head to head, Marty would win.

The Liberals would be wise to allow MHS the deputy role without a ballot. I don’t think that will happen.

Diogenes
Guest

Kevin

Thank you for that. You did a much better job than I did. Agree with all your comments.

Kevin Bonham
Guest
Some readers of the SA SSM discussion may find my discussion of the Tasmanian SSM rejection of use or interest: http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2012/11/the-legcos-claimed-reasons-for.html Mick Wilkinson@46 Any state who opens the door to gay marriage will eventually rue the day they ever considered it. I don’t see any sign that nations that legalised it many years ago are ruing it. 2. Marriage as a cultural and religious institution should not be made to bend to the will of those currently outside its legal boundaries. It is akin to waltzing into vegetarian restaurants and demanding that meat be served. An invalid comparison. A meat-eater who cannot obtain meat from a vegetarian restaurant can obtain what they want from the majority of other restaurants. The correct analogy for “waltzing into vegetarian restaurants and demanding that meat be served” would be that same-sex marriage was legalised and then typical mixed-sex couples demanded the right to have their wedding formally recorded and recognised as a same-sex marriage and advertised as such by a celebrant. You’re comparing vegetarian restaurants (the specialised exception) with mixed-sex marriage (the norm). A nearly correct analogy for restaurants for gay marriage would be if vegetarian restaurants were allowed to exist, but it was illegal for a vegetarian restaurant to call itself a “restaurant” or to advertise as such. That is the sort of discrimination that occurs at present – and that illiberally affects the economic rights of those celebrants who would like to conduct same-sex marriages and market them as such. And even that doesn’t go far enough because if vegetarian restaurants were not allowed to self-market as such meat-eating restaurants would benefit, while mixed-sex couples do not benefit from disallowing same-sex marriage. 3. The ‘best’ claims for SSM appear to be that couples are ‘in love’ and ‘deserve marriage equality’, which was never the basis for the institution of marriage in the first place. The true origins of the institution of marriage are lost in the mists of time and irrelevant to the current debate. But in any case the institution has long had multiple purposes that are considered legitimate, and on that basis attempting to ascribe a single purpose to it (and thereby deny it to marriages not meeting that purpose) is utterly bogus and denies the legitimacy of many existing mixed-sex marriages. The ‘slippery slope’ arguments in such debates are always dismissed as strident ranting but once the heterosexual monogamous… Read more »
Kirsdarke
Guest

That latin “Lorem Ipsum” stuff is the default text for text boxes while using Microsoft Publisher.

SA Labor really needs to get a professional web designer.

Independently Thinking
Guest
Independently Thinking

I notice the ALP has now removed the Latin from their SA webpage. Pity, it was the most interesting thing on it.

Rational Leftist
Guest

[Finding a deputy will be another factional stoush.]

Deputy battles don’t capture the public’s attention as much as leadership battles. They will survive a competitive race.

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