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Galaxy: 59-41 to federal Coalition in Queensland

Galaxy follows up Saturday's state poll with federal voting intention results for Queensland, painting the usual grim picture for Labor.

GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.

There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.

UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.

The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).

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Diogenes
Guest

ru

I still can’t see why it’s any healthier for Labor (for eg) to use a unions money to advertise rather than spending their money on advertising directly.

WeWantPaul
Guest

Alcopops were a deliberate marketing strategy aimed at young (even pre legal) people and a large proportion was aimed at young females – to make drinking easy – taste good and have a sexy image.

If overaged people are deliberately buying spirits and using them like idiots it is a completely separate issue. If those who were sucked into alcopops have migrated to more drinking of spirits – then the strategy of the marketing worked – and it reinforces the importance of the measure.

Fran Barlow
Guest

Player One:

[Or someone who is so obsessed in self-examination that the journey has become more meaningful than the destination?]

The two are equal and in constant dialog. There can be no journey without a goal and no goal without a journey. The destination may change of course, as one discovers en route that a path is lacking or fraught with unacceptable hazards.

[Perhaps I just meant that it was weird that someone should spend so much time on a psephological site who continually boasts that they have no intention of actually voting – not even for the party of which they are a member?]

Well technically, I do cast a vote — but in practice it probably isn’t counted as I use the Langer method. I’m against coerced voting though, and voting for the ALP under duress (my vote won’t count otherwise) strikes me as “an unacceptable hazard”.

[I can’t help but wonder what you discuss with other party members when you meet them – do you perhaps try and persuade them not to vote either?]

I do put the case that giving an effective preference to the ALP entails endorsing their policies as the lesser harm, when on at least one ground, it clearly is not. Others may of course rationalise doing this, and it’s not for me to badger them about it. IIRC, in the senate if you correctly sequence 90% it is counted as formal. Allowing six spots for the two parties (i.e 12) that means you only have to number the first 108. Sadly, there are some other parties that I’d not like to support either on that list so I only number the Greens and ostensible socialists. Perhaps I will put Assange in the list if his group runs.

[On the other hand, you do at least provide some welcome relief from the constant barrage of anti-intellectual trolls that PB seems to have attracted recently.]

Well there you go — a silver lining.

Fran Barlow
Guest

To those above who, each in their own way, sought to value my contribution here or otherwise solidarise with me … thanks (a lot). It’s always a comfort to have earned a measure of respect from one’s circle of acquaintances.

D&T is “Design & Technology” and is the entry-level course for the Technology courses offered in NSW High Schools. It includes inter alia introductions to Food Tech, woods, metals, plastics, textiles, electronics and IT/multimedia-Graphics Tech.

BK
Guest

Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Barney Zwartz gives an excoriating summary of the abuse inquiry. It is written with much feeling given his personal investment over the years.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/belated-change-in-churchs-stance-was-forced-on-it-20130528-2n9gj.html
Zwartz with an update on settlements by the Christian Brothers.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/church-victims-win-1m-20130528-2n9o6.html
Two of our favorites, Reith and Joyce are at odds over the constitutional recognition of local government.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/joyces-swerves-of-logic-on-roads-dont-hold-up-20130528-2n9ku.html
Ross Gittins with a call to arms to his fellow journalists to thoroughly examine and question the policies of both side. If only!!
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/naivety-to-put-hope-in-new-broom-20130528-2n9gk.html
Karma for the gutless one.
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/abbott-too-frightened-to-call-no-confidence-in-government-20130528-2n89n.html
Not even Hogwarts could put this howler to bed!
http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/doubts-over-coalition-plan-to-cut-emissions-20130528-2n90i.html
And this is despite Abbott’s continuous bad mouthing!
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/28/australia-best-place-live-work
This is as appaling as it is illustrative.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/28/coalition-tax-school-ethics-classes
David Pope conflates Gina and Bill Gates.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
Ron Tandberg has a shot at the big end of town.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/opinion/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html
David Rowe with Bill Gates and a very downtrodden Wayne Swan.
http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO

Slav G
Guest

Oops, sorry ex-prime ministers

Slav G
Guest

Kevin Bonham@1875


Yes; there are currently six

Wouldn’t there be 7 at the moment: Whitlam, Fraser, Hawke, Keating, Howard, Rudd and Gillard.

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Boerwar@1845

Have we ever have had more ex-prime ministers alive at the same time than we do now?

Yes; there are currently six but at a couple of times in the 1940s there were as many as eight. The rapid turnover in the first half of the century is enough to cancel out the shorter lifespans. There have not been seven since the early 1950s.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Again, just for the hell of it. For Tony, anyway. πŸ˜€
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihd7ofrwQX0

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

davidwh
Are you suggesting this opposition has at any time done anything else?

Wakefield
Guest

Fraser was more of the patrician conservative – letting markets run things did not appeal.

davidwh
Guest

WWP you can say Howard if you like but he wasn’t the person leading the country at the time.

Battle Turkeys
Guest

[BT are you suggesting the opposition should oppose good and necessary reform just to promote their political position?]

I’m saying it works better in attaining their goal of being elected sooner. Whether it is good or bad or right or wrong I don’t really have an opinion on. There are positives and negatives either way.

WeWantPaul
Guest

You say:

[Crikey Fraser shirked …]

where it was clearly Howard who did so.

davidwh
Guest

BT are you suggesting the opposition should oppose good and necessary reform just to promote their political position?

crikey whitey
Guest

Batty Turkeys.

Negativity?

I so look forward to the possible advent of the Lodger.

crikey whitey
Guest

Like the idea of Kea Tong.

I had forgotten the Campbell Report.

That is true. We really did have a ‘golden age’ of prosperity, full employment and a sense of adventurism.

While it lasted.

Sort of the rather sad sounding refrain of what is it?

Hope, Reward, Opportunity.

Mhhh. Sure.

Battle Turkeys
Guest

[All credit to Hawke/Keating for taking the tough decisions.]

The tough decisions were made a lot less tough by the fact that the opposition at the time supported them all (and even did Labor the favour of saying they didn’t go far enough).

The coalition saved itself from a repeat of this when they rolled Malcolm “lets be constructive” Turnbull and installed Tony Abbott as leader. Negativity works for an opposition much better than being constructive.

davidwh
Guest

Crikey Fraser shirked the reforms recommended in the Campbell Report and left much of that to Hawke to implement. I can only assume he wasn’t prepared to take the political risk and a a result set the country back years on economic and financial reforms.

All credit to Hawke/Keatong for taking the tough decisions.

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