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Galaxy: 51-49 to Coalition

A Galaxy poll conducted on Thursday and Friday evenings has the Coalition's lead at 51-49, with Kevin Rudd leading 51-34 as preferred prime minister.

David Penberthy on Twitter conveys tomorrow’s Sunday Mail front page, showing a Galaxy poll conducted on Thursday and Friday evenings has the Coalition leading 51-49 (compared with 55-45 in the poll a fortnight ago), with Kevin Rudd holding a 51-34 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister. More to follow.

UPDATE: I can reveal the poll has Labor’s primary vote up six to 38%, 57% supporting the leadership change, and 52% thinking Bill Shorten personally did the right thing in switching to Rudd against 30% for the wrong thing. Still a few gaps to be filled there of course.

UPDATE 2: GhostWhoVotes has full tables: Coalition down three to 44%, Greens down one to 10%.

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1535 comments

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ShowsOn
Guest

I really think parliament should be recalled and the Government should put a bill to both houses to shift to an ETS from January 1.

If it passes, Rudd can say that he got rid of the Carbon Tax.

If it doesn’t pass, Rudd can blame the coalition for not helping get rid of the carbon tax.

Fran Barlow
Guest
Rossmore: [Julia is my generation’s Gough, forever loved and admired for her achievements, arguably under much more difficult circumstances than GW.] I disagree. Whitlam came in after the ALP had been out of power for 23 years, and with a hostile senate — and he went to a s57 dissolution and a joint-sitting in 1974 to get stuff through. Whitlam was more ambitious than Gillard and he had tried a technically more challenging task — getting everything done in 3 years. He made some missteps too of course — most importantly, putting Lionel Murphy on the HCA which cost him… Read more »
Lev Lafayette
Guest

Tricot@1400

Of course the media is serious. They’re simply confirming the very things you have (quite correctly) said in 818 and 1311.

After all, we remember The Age editorial a week ago that suggested that Gillard should resign.

Well, it’s about time they said the same about Abbott.

Rudd vs Turnbull. Finally the Australian people will get the 2010 election that they wanted 🙂

CTar1
Guest

Checklist:

• House-sitter installed;
• Ticket and passport;
• 1 carry-on bag (no cargo stuff);
• Tooth brush and paste;
• Spare undies & a shirt;
• Deodorant in;
• Wallet with CC’s; and

I’m gone.

Adios for a while.

CBR-SYD-DXB on the way to Nice.

I’ll sulk about JG up in the hills outside Castillon (http://www.france-voyage.com/towns/castillon-22790.htm) for a while.

Lev Lafayette
Guest
Re: 849 Psephos, Your letter to Robert Manne was ignored for good reasons. By the third paragraph you’re arguing like a typical Internet troll throwing around phrases like “leftwing stupidity”, which is usually triggers the part of the brain which says “delete this partisan crap and get back to some real work”. However, as I’m prone to being baited I went a little further: “The people arriving on our shores left their own countries for a variety of reasons, mostly economic, and were granted immediate refuge in a second country – Pakistan in the case of the Afghans.” This indicates… Read more »
ShowsOn
Guest
[Rudd had better get thee to the GG ASAP, election in the minimum number of days, or he is toast. This is peak Rudd.] No, I think he should get on with governing. He should get the ministers in place, and make some big policy announcements on asylum seekers and the carbon price. He should maybe host a special COAG meeting or something. And perhaps even go to the G20 meeting. He should show everyone that he is in charge and is making decisions and the government is back to normal. That would then set him up as the incumbent… Read more »
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Rudd had better get thee to the GG ASAP, election in the minimum number of days, or he is toast.

This is peak Rudd.

ShowsOn
Guest

FIVE POSTS IN A ROW!

ShowsOn
Guest

I wonder if Tony Windsor is hanging on to that voice mail message from Abbott until the election campaign?

ShowsOn
Guest

Abbott’s disapproval has gone up by 3 🙂

ShowsOn
Guest

[#Newspoll Primary Votes: ALP 35 (+6) L/NP 43 (-5) GRN 11 (+2) #auspol]

I wouldn’t have thought the Greens would increase their primary vote along with Labor increasing theirs.

ShowsOn
Guest
[To me that shows the Rudd effect is lower than it would have been maybe a year ago and 2007. Getting that extra 1-2% is going to be some hard Rudd-bot work. Also the state breakdowns will be most interesting..] But those numbers are still mainly based on people not even contemplating Abbott as PM. For the last 2.5 years most voters have just been motivated by their desire to vote against Gillard. With Rudd as the default and incumbent option now the Coalition has to persuade voters that Abbott is worth voting for when they haven’t bothered doing this… Read more »
Utopia
Guest

There is nothing too surprising in any of this poll data from my perspective.

The reason that Rudd’s satisfied rating is relatively low (given he is storming in as the ALP messiah) is that there would be a lot of ALP voters who are NOT satisfied! :devil:

Thomas. Paine.
Guest
Differences in PV as against the other polls just MOE..more green less ALP etc… But the current position pretty certain to be 49/51 no? That is an incredible result given a few days a go many MPs were wondering if they could find a job somewhere, and people were fretting over Abbott senate control. This isn’t 2007 and Labor have left it very late for Rudd, the Rudd effect though still there must fade as time passes, and people got more and more pissed with Labor not changing. [Rudd: Satisfied 36, Dissatisfied 36 Abbott: Satisfied 35, Dissatisfied 56 PPM Rudd… Read more »
Utopia
Guest

[Oakeshott Country
Posted Sunday, June 30, 2013 at 11:16 pm | PERMALINK
LNp can win on 43. Labor can’t win on less than 38]

Both can win on any primary vote, as long as they get the majority on preferences. However, if there are KAP and Palmer primaries around, it might make previous election preference distributing on these polls problematic!

marky marky
Guest

Does he know anything about agriculture I wonder?

Wakefield
Guest

Is there a new requirement that Labor Agriculture Ministers are about as dumb as the LNP ones.

Oakeshott Country
Guest

The referendum may get a total majority but on past performance the state majority is close to an impossibility.

sprocket_
Guest

Fitting that Rat Fitzgibbon gets Agriculture

guytaur
Guest

marky marky

Agriculture is like Immigration. Just one 4C report on cattle and the minister is in all sorts of trouble.

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