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Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition

Newspoll has the Coalition leading 52-48 after a dead heat a fortnight ago, but there's some encouragement for Labor in an extra question on asylum seeker policy.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition leading 52-48, after a dead heat a fortnight ago. This comes off a three-point lift in the Coalition primary vote to 45%, with Labor down a point to 37% and the Greens up one to 10%. Kevin Rudd’s lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, which blew out from 49-35 in his first poll to 53-31 in his second, is roughly back where it started at 50-34. Rudd’s approval ratings have followed a similar course over the three polls, this one showing approval down a point to 42% and disapproval up five to 41%, while Tony Abbott is steady at 35% and 56%. However, the Prime Minister can take solace in a finding that 26% now consider Labor the past party to deal with asylum seekers, up six since the question was last asked, with the Coalition plummeting 14 points to 33%.

Earlier today we had the regular weekly Morgan poll, which was little changed on last time with Labor down half a point to 41.5%, the Coalition steady on 41%, and the Greens up two points to 9%. There was actually a slight move in Labor’s favour on two-party preferred as measured using preference flows from the previous election, presumably because of rounding, their lead up from 51.5-48.5 to 52-48. On respondent-allocated preferences, the lead is steady at 52.5-47.5. Regrettably, the poll does not come with state breakdowns, which keen observers among us had started to think would be a regular feature (as it surely should be with such a large sample size).

Essential Research is delayed this week and will be along tomorrow.

UPDATE: And here it is – Labor has pared back a point on two-party preferred to now trail 51-49, from primary votes of 39% for Labor (steady), 45% for the Coalition (down one) and 7% for the Greens (steady). Also featured are a semi-regular series on important election issues (“Australian jobs and protection of local industries” being up five points on a month ago), best party to handle them (across the board improvement for Labor in the wake of the leadership change), carbon pricing (45% support the move to an ETS with 29% opposed, while support for the “tax” scheme is down to 37% support with 48% opposed compared with 43% each in May – these being relatively supportive results on account of a question which explains it’s industries that pay the tax). Sixty-two per cent said they would support a referendum on recognising Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the constitution with only 16% opposed.

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1143 comments

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Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

Ocky
Guest

Good results

davidwh
Guest

Yes Willam in bad weather plane use the safest path rather than the path less likely to piss off people not on the plane.

daretotread
Guest
JV For me the treatment of AS come down to the numbers involved. if there were say 1-2000 per year coming as “boat People” I would favour humane treatment and on shore processing. However once the numbers get higher then it will increase exponentially until such time as Australia has such a high unemployment rate that we must either suspend all welfare payment or cut them to unsustainable levels. The reality is that people will flow in whenever there is scope for a better life and the inflow will only stop if forced or if some equilibrium is reached whereby… Read more »
Darn
Guest

Thanks William

ShowsOn
Guest

[Can someone please tell me why airlines change their flight path when it’s overcast/raining.]
To piss you off.
[These early morning planes flying overhead are giving me the shites]
That means they are doing their job properly.

Sean Tisme
Guest

Can someone please tell me why airlines change their flight path when it’s overcast/raining.

These early morning planes flying overhead are giving me the shites.

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