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Federal Election 2013

Aug 8, 2013

With 30 days to go:

• Labor has resolved its preselection difficulty in Dobell by recruiting Emma McBride, a former Wyong councillor and head of pharmacy at Wyong Hospital. McBride is the daughter of Grant McBride, who held the local state electorate of The Entrance from 1992 to 2011. She had initially been a candidate for the original preselection process which had lately hit a brick wall with the non-ratification of Trevor Drake’s endorsement, but announced her withdrawal in May. It evidently took some strong persuasion by party administration to get her back on board.

• Centrebet has hiked the payout on a Labor victory from $4 to $4.80, with the Coalition in from $1.25 to $1.18, and there is now $4.80 to be had on a Labor win from Betfair against $1.26 for the Coalition. Sportsbet and Tom Waterhouse continue to offer $4 on Labor. Sportsbet has lengthened Labor’s odds in Petrie, Moreton and Parramatta but shortened them in Dobell, presumably on the back of McBride’s endorsement. Labor is now paying $2.50 in Dobell and the Coalition $1.50, compared with $3.50 and $1.25 at the start of the week.

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1172 comments

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Rex Douglas
Guest

730 has reached new lows with a completely misleading and factually wrong report on the Essendon scandal.
Firstly, Dean Robinson (eventually) resigned and wasn’t sacked as stated.
Secondly, the ASADA report handed down last week was an INTERIM report and not a final report as alluded to.

Following on from last nights unintelligible interview with Rudd thanks to interruptions an talking over each other, the program is unwatchable.

jenauthor
Guest

[Does anyone know if there is a live stream link to the 7.30 Report sames as News 24 so I can watch it on the computer. Kids holding TV hostage.]

You got NBN? NO? Good luck then 😆

Darn
Guest

I found Abbott’s comment that Rudd should be fearful of Beattie interesting. It sounded to me like he was conceding that Beattie is going to win. How else could Beattie be a threat to Rudd other than by winning a seat in the parliament?.

ShowsOn
Guest

[The LNP hold it and the ALP need to win seats like Forde, plus 4 or 5 other seats which are much harder to win.]
Mrs D, why are you assuming the swings in states will be uniform?

Struggling with numbers again, Mrs D?

Lady Miranda Ann Caulfeild Ackermann-Boltt
Guest
Lady Miranda Ann Caulfeild Ackermann-Boltt
Good evening people. On Beattie: The only thing this shows is how desparate Labor have now becoming. They know they have no chance of winning without picking up seats in Qld, and there is every sign that they are going BACKWARDS with a swing AGAINST them, even with Krudd restored as Labor. There is a swing of 4% + to the LNP in Griffith and a 2% + swing to the LNP in Forde with Beattie. They will be lucky to hold onto Moreton, Rankin and Lilley let alone make any gains. And they will lose seats, lots of them,… Read more »
New2This
Guest

Some of us have to work My Say… That’s why we come online after dinner.

Lady Miranda Ann Caulfeild Ackermann-Boltt
Guest
Lady Miranda Ann Caulfeild Ackermann-Boltt
Good evening people. On Beattie: The only thing this shows is how desparate Labor have now becoming. They know they have no chance of winning without picking up seats in Qld, and there is every sign that they are going BACKWARDS with a swing AGAINST them, even with Krudd restored as Labor. There is a swing of 4% + to the LNP in Griffith and a 2% + swing to the LNP in Forde with Beattie. They will be lucky to hold onto Moreton, Rankin and Lilley let alone make any gains. And they will lose seats, lots of them,… Read more »
Utopia
Guest

[Doesnt the lnp hold it ?]

The LNP hold it and the ALP need to win seats like Forde, plus 4 or 5 other seats which are much harder to win.

my say
Guest

William the day is not over yet

sorry its =not good enough lurkers come after dinner

to read and they nothing of the day

o by the way your mate pvo is quite

my say
Guest

lefty e

[people cannot stand abbott

and what did he offer us today 250 dollars a fort

to employees who employ someone who has been out of work for 6 months

what an insult says there is more coming
he came all this way to say that why

Utopia
Guest

Excellent: lets have more reminders of the ALP corruption in Qld to go with the ALP corruption in NSW.

Things are going swimmingly :devil:

poroti
Guest

Mein gott in himmel ! Mathias Cormann has hired Geert Wilders hair stylist,

guytaur
Guest

mike

Its on 24 tonight

mikehilliard
Guest

CAN YOU GET THE 7.30 REPORT LIVE STREAMING IF YES WHAT IS THE LINK IF NO SORRY I WASTED YOUR TIME.

lefty e
Guest
My gut feeling at this stage: – ALP is about 1.5% off the pace, under where it needs to be to win. – the electorate is however not settled on a result, as it was 6 weeks ago. – The gap can be closed, but it will take clever campaigning – The senate is safe, unlikely to change a great deal on current configuration – Either Rudd or Abbott can still screw the pooch from here – Rudd needs to make up ground: but several big issues favour him (the interest rates cut, economy, NBN) – Abbott needs to defend… Read more »
my say
Guest

must be a funny lot in wa then
\
its certainly topic of conversation here

but then we where voted this week the second most friendly place in the world
by a travel mag

Compact Crank
Guest

Will Beattie apologise for tonight’s Forde ReachTel Poll?

Dingbat The First
Guest

[How? Ask Amazon nicely?]

Pass a fucking law making it illegal to sell goods in Australia without a GST. The same law Australian retailers have to operate under. Let’s call it Government Geoblocking.

zoidlord
Guest

@New2This/1149

Interesting, Abbott done this in NT and in VIC.

You didn’t whinge about it then.

Or called them rat fcked…

my say
Guest

geez he is a great media tart hope he gets stuck in to her

the

confessions
Guest

[Forget polls folks Labor appartchiks need to get out and talk to people.]

FWIW in my travels and discussions with people about things, you’d be lucky to find anyone who even cares about the election.

Not even the prospect of the seat actually changing hands again (only the second time in its history!) is enough to get people excited about the campaign.

my say
Guest

reach tell should be banned here

as I said I could not hear what the computer was saying

and pressing buttons then the questions are being fired and you still haven’t pressed the first button

then I hung up after screaming
dam computer

New2This
Guest

What does a hard working dis-endorsed labor candidate get for being rat fcked by Kev…

Meguire Bob
Guest

Reachtel poll was commissoned by B.Joyce 🙂

guytaur
Guest

“@ABCNews24: No Grandstand tonight, watch 7.30 on #ABCNews24 instead. New ALP candidate for Forde Peter Beattie joins @leighsales 7.30pm AEST #ausvotes”

ruawake
Guest

my say

Beattie has come back from a job at a prestigious US University to win. He will win in a canter.

As the Pew research centre found the cheaper and quicker the method the less reliable the result.

This is why they use a 5 day period for polling.

Tonights ReachTel is rubbish revenue raising.

my say
Guest

reachtel

what a waste of money that was as some one else pointed

out most qlders would not even know till they got home from work
\
it thinks polls are done on purpose as anti moral thingo

confessions
Guest

[This is what I meant about the fact that I cant wait for the marginal polling]

I’d love to see polling in Brisbane.

guytaur
Guest

“@StephenLongABC: Youth unemployment rate in Greece is an indictment of EU/IMF austerity policies. Generation lost.”

“@StephenLongABC: OMG. Terrible. “@SebHenbest: “@AlbertoNardelli: #Greece unemployment rate: 27.6%, 31.6% women, youth 64.9%. 1.4m unemployed, 3.3m inactive”””

Mithrandir
Guest

Folks, its a ReachTel poll. What did anyone expect?

confessions
Guest
Ch10 news story re the weather was eerily like a Prof Fiona Stanley favourite conference presentation for those who have ever seen her go-to powerpoint slide on childrens development. A family of black swans were filmed crossing the road in Applecross today and the baby cygnets got caught in a run-off of water in the gutter and were swept into a drain. Only two were left out of about six! Fiona uses a similar slide only with ducks crossing the road and mum crosses a grate with ducklings in tow who all fall through the grate and are lost. I… Read more »
Meguire Bob
Guest

Mod Lib
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 7:20 pm | PERMALINK

The second easiest is Forde, yet there is a swing AGAINST the ALP in this poll and they would lose it.

————–

Doesnt the lnp hold it ?

my say
Guest

and just who would be home after 2 pm

hard of hearing people and others,

and some would say what are they talking about beattie is not the member

every one does not have their tv on or radio

show u how desperate the lnp

did they ask for this poll

mr bowe should know question if not he should find out

Meguire Bob
Guest

Gary
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 7:21 pm | PERMALINK
This is the same poll that has Abbott ahead of Rudd, just, as preferred PM. Are there any other polls that have this result.

———-
Yes the media’s agenda

Abbott must be in front

lefty e
Guest

That said, Id be very happy to see some actual marginal polling QLD.

I dont believe either the LNP or ALP sources on “internal polls”

Meguire Bob
Guest

guytaur
Posted Thursday, August 8, 2013 at 7:19 pm | PERMALINK
I wonder did the Daily Telegraph get copyright permission for their Hogans Heroes front page?

—————

Im not sure who produced the tv show

But y write to the copyright holder and give them the link to the telegraph 🙂

marky marky
Guest

Forget polls folks Labor appartchiks need to get out and talk to people.

lefty e
Guest

[This is the same poll that has Abbott ahead of Rudd, just, as preferred PM.]

Yes. The national reachtel figures on 2PP looked quite believable, but on PPM looked way out of the pack.

confessions
Guest

[Its automated]

Yes, I forgot about that.

The first time most voters would’ve heard about Beattie running for a federal seat would’ve been when they were driving home from work, checking their Facebook timeline, or turning on the evening news.

Gary
Guest

This is the same poll that has Abbott ahead of Rudd, just, as preferred PM. Are there any other polls that have this result.

mikehilliard
Guest

Does anyone know if there is a live stream link to the 7.30 Report sames as News 24 so I can watch it on the computer. Kids holding TV hostage.

This little black duck
Guest
This little black duck
Utopia
Guest

[Beattie will win Forde. The real question is how many other seats he helps pull.]

Well, the analyses of pathways to an ALP narrow win have them winning 6+ seats in Qld.

The second easiest is Forde, yet there is a swing AGAINST the ALP in this poll and they would lose it.

If they are losing one of the easiest seats for them to win, its not a good sign for a 6+ gain!

This is what I meant about the fact that I cant wait for the marginal polling :devil:

confessions
Guest

[I’m not convinced conducting a poll on the day of an announcementwould be b is a good idea. These things need to sink in to all of the electorate. At least a few days later]

I agree.

It’s like those vox pops the ABC was running in Forde for the World at Noon today. Let’s do it once people know the change has happened.

my say
Guest

ruwake

what’s your thoughts on peter beattie coming back as a bystander from the south seems good to me

must say he looked good lost a bit of weight from what I remember and look very positive and ready to go
made a good impression standing there with kev.

bit of cynical talk at the other blog so I thought I may be wrong with what I thought

any other qlder like to offer their thoughts

not liberals as we know what they think

ruawake
Guest

The Forde primaries of the ALP plus LNP at ~88% look hugely suss to me. 2010 it was ~81% .

guytaur
Guest

I wonder did the Daily Telegraph get copyright permission for their Hogans Heroes front page?

Meguire Bob
Guest

The coalition supporters need something to be kept interested in the election

Even Sean Tisme and Mod LIB

Gets the feeling with Abbott , coalition remains on the opposition benches

lefty e
Guest

Its only been 10 minutes since Beattie, Pithicus.

The reachtel in Forde is worthless.

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