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Galaxy: 54-46 to Liberal in South Australia

Four months out from the next state election, a Galaxy poll shows South Australia's Liberals with a decisive 54-46 lead over the 12-year-old Labor government.


The Advertiser reports a Galaxy poll of state voting intention of South Australia, covering 860 respondents, shows the Liberals with a two-party preferred lead of 54-46. An election will be held in South Australia on March 15. From The Advertiser’s report:

Statewide, Labor’s primary vote has dipped from 37.5 per cent at the 2010 election to 36 per cent today. In the same period, the Liberal primary vote has increased from 41.6 to 44 per cent.

The Greens vote is steady at 8 per cent and 12 per cent of people intend to back minor parties.

The last Advertiser poll, published in March, showed the Liberals with a crushing 59-41 statewide lead and ahead of Labor 56-44 in metropolitan Adelaide.

Labor’s primary vote has improved six percentage points, from 30, since that poll.

The Liberal vote has declined 10 percentage points to 44 per cent since March.

It should be observed that this compares an in-house Advertiser poll with one conducted by Galaxy, where I suggest the latter would be more authoritative.

UPDATE: The poll also finds tepid personal ratings for the formerly popular Jay Weatherill, whose performance is rated good by 17%, fair by 51% and poor by 26%, while the respective numbers for Steven Marshall are 18%, 48% and 18%. Weatherill’s lead as preferred premier is just 39-38. Respondents also rate rate the Liberals the party with the better economic plan by 41-34, and the best vision for the state by 41-38. The poll was conducted November 12-13 from a sample of 860.


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