Menu lock

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The first Newspoll since the government's self-inflicted Gonski wound finds the pollster joining Nielsen in the 52-48 club.

GhostWhoVotes reports Newspoll’s third entry in the life of the new government has Labor hitting a 52-48 lead on two-party preferred, after leads of 56-44 and 52-48 for the Coalition in the first and second polls. This is Labor’s first two-party lead in Newspoll since the poll of March 18-20, 2011, which was itself an aberrant Labor-friendly result that emerged a month after Julia Gillard announced plans to introduce a carbon tax. Primary votes are 38% for Labor, up three on a fortnight ago, with the Coalition down three to 40% and the Greens down one to 9%.

UPDATE: James J in comments relates that Tony Abbott’s approval rating has maintained its downward trend across the three polls, going from 45% to 42% and now to 40%, while his disapproval has progressed upwards from 38% to 42% to 45%. Bill Shorten’s approval has gone from 37% to 39% to 44%, while his disapproval was 24% in the first poll to 27% in the second and third. Tony Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister is also narrowing, going from 46-30 in the first poll to 44-33 in the second to 41-34 in the third.

UPDATE 2: The Australian’s report is here. Stay tuned for more polling action courtesy of Essential Research at around 2pm EST tomorrow – I believe we’re due for Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which should be interesting.

UPDATE 3 (Essential Research): The Essential Research fortnightly average reflects the move to Labor in its characteristic slow and steady way, moving one point to Labor on two-party preferred for the second week in a row to reduce the Coalition lead to 51-49. Labor is up a point on the primary vote to 37%, the Coalition and the Greens steady on 44% and 8%, and the Palmer United Party is up one to 5%. Tony Abbott’s approval rating is unchanged on last month at 45%, but his disapproval rating is up six to 46%. Bill Shorten on the other hand finds things going his way as the undecided jump off the fence, his approval up eight to 39% and disapproval up four to 31%. Similarly to Newspoll, Abbott holds a 43-33 lead as preferred prime minister, narrowing from 42-27 last time.

Questions on education provide the government with better results than it might have feared: its handling of education has 35% approval and 50% disapproval, while Labor’s lead as better party to handle the issue is only 36-33, although there’s also a 7% Greens component in the mix. Only 26% believe all schools will be better off under the new government, 26% believe only private schools will and 22% believe no schools will, with 2% signing on to the unlikely proposition that only public schools will. Also canvassed are the importance of unions “for Australian working people today” (57% important, 34% not important), and the importance of politicians keeping their promises.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

2518 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
raymond ballard
Guest

Any wonder the Polls favour Labor the Coalition have Husseld there way into Goverment they have Broken every Election promise and them some i would like to see Abbott call for a Doubble Disalusion if the Carbon Tax is Rejected in the New Year Time For commen sense to Prevail and return Labor.

ShowsOn
Guest

The government valedictories today were HILARIOUS! They clearly couldn’t wait to get away from parliament as quickly as possible!

They better improve their performance in early 2014 else they’ll be fully fucked come election time.

BK
Guest

Section 2 . . .

Alan Moir calls out Abbott and Hockey on the Holden decision.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/alan-moir-20090907-fdxk.html
David Pope conflates Abbott’s problems with manufacturing and the environment.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0.html
And David Rowe does the same.
http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO
Ron Tandberg suggests the boats haven’t been stopped.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html

BK
Guest

Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Abbott: “If shit doesn’t happen we’ll make it happen!”
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/taunts-in-parliament-and-text-brought-about-general-motors-holdens-exit-from-australia-20131211-2z6i6.html
I don’t know about “banana moment” but it certainly was a “pompous dickhead moment”.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/holden-departure-can-be-to-joe-hockey-what-banana-republic-was-to-paul-keating-20131211-2z6c3.html
The outlook is not good – and we have these clowns in charge!
http://smh.drive.com.au/no-holden-toyota-doubt-recession-maybe-20131211-2z6lc.html
Some troubles in a Liberal incubator.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/three-boys-leave-cranbrook-school-after-sexual-incident-involving-14yearold-girl-20131211-2z690.html
George Brandis SC A-G DH gets to work.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/george-brandis-asks-australian-law-reform-commission-to-find-laws-that-encroach-on-rights-freedoms-and-privileges-20131211-2z6qm.html
And the Royal Commission hearings continue today.
http://www.smh.com.au/national/archbishop-admits-spectacular-bungling-of-child-abuse-case-20131211-2z5pu.html
It’s official. There is zero practical knowledge of the performance of the lynchpin copper network under FTTN conditions. How can reasonable analysis of establishment and operation cost be done under these circumstances?
http://www.smh.com.au/it-pro/government-it/nbn-co-has-not-tested-fibre-to-the-node-20131211-hv5az.html

Otiose
Guest

5:13am Nett_NEWS Digest Update 12/12 http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy

zoidlord
Guest

dispite the TPP call of till 2014.

Australia is bending over to USA on NSA, NSA+Anti-Piracy is what this TPP is all about:

http://www.zdnet.com/snowden-document-reveals-extent-of-nsacanadian-collaboration-7000024156/

zoidlord
Guest

@silmaj/2510

You mean that pathetic slogan/joke about C02 from Abbott “invisible substance” and “colourless, odourless gas” ?

silmaj
Guest

Time to crash
The only reason for posting today is that since Holden opened we have been making bits for them and it was obvious that people were going to peddle rubbish about why they are closing. Zoid that horrible pollution in china and Singapore and other countries is mainly other pollutants that we aren’t allowed to do. Remember co2 is clear.

paaptsef
Guest

[ That doc says jack. ]
Up to 80% lower power consumption

zoidlord
Guest

@silmaj/2504

Yes, you are blaming Labor, yet ignoring the continued attack style running by the Coalition Party that seem to be in Opposition mode.

The size of the population isn’t the issue as such when it comes to pumping pollution, it’s the plant’s themselves.

Have you been reading what’s been happening in Singapore, China ?

http://sg.news.yahoo.com/heavy-air-pollution-hits-shanghai-delaying-flights-004152994.html

http://www.smh.com.au/environment/shanghai-residents-warned-for-seventh-day-about-heavy-pollution-20131210-2z2b9.html

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/Chinas-official-media-jokes-about-pollution-sparks-criticism/articleshow/27203206.cms

paaptsef
Guest

Sounds like you’re making the case for stopping billions worth of subsidies to the mining industry davidwh

silmaj
Guest

2503
That doc says jack. The person who pays is the employee who loses the job because it is no longer competitive. Business is already paying the higher prices and one by one will give up. That will help the world as you want.

davidwh
Guest

Sorry for disappearing in the middle of discussion earlier but I fell asleep in my comfortable recliner iPhone in hand and have just woken up. Time for bed I think.

Personally I have had pretty firm views on vehicle subsidizing for many years and at odds with the mainstream. I honestly don’t know why we prop up one industry when we have done little while many others have been left to wither. I think today’s announcement has been inevitable for a long time. The time has more than past where we need to let the natural order of things happen.

Yep workers suffer. It’s happened to me twice in nearly 50 years of working. People pick themselves up and get on with life and transition to sectors which are growing. It’s tough but plenty of us have done it in the past and plenty of us will continue to do it in the future.

The only real alternative is to go back to an economy supported by artificial barriers. Trouble is governments of all persuasions since the 70’s have made that virtually impossible even if it was logical which it isn’t.

Off to bed.

silmaj
Guest

Zoid
I blame labor for contributing in a large way to the problems that we as a country are aspiring to keep up the good lifestyle that we have. I would argue that labors so called initiatives have made it harder to make a dollar and therefore by default get less revenue. Labor to stay in office decided that they would introduce a co2 tax that they actually know will cause economic harm. We are supposedly the worst polluters per capita but how bad are we as a country. We are 23 million people who live in a country that is nearly the size of USA but our emissions are no where near theirs. It is probably a fact that our large space eats our emissions and probably some of the rest of the worlds. But of course that is all irrevelant. The labor green way is to tax and then hand out the money elsewhere. Transfer money to people so they can keep emitting. Well don’t worry soon there will be not a lot of emitting going on here. Oh and you can blame abbott .

paaptsef
Guest

How to reduce your CNC bender power cost so dramatically you’ll never whinge about paying a few dollars to help the planet again
http://www.blmgroup.com/en/products/bending/tube/e-turn.aspx

zoidlord
Guest

@silmaj/2501

I may not know them all, but really, at least I don’t claim to be an expert of all things like Electricity, Taxation, Businesses, Running of 3 Phase Machinery, Blaming Carbon Pricing aka “Tax” ETC.

But I know what your suggesting is abit much?

1. You blame Labor for Carbon “Tax”.

2. You blame Labor for “FBT Changes”.

3. You ignore the Electricity price rises that have been going up at a rate of large increases way before Labor became into power, and even after Labor leaves, you still blame them.

4. You ignore that Electricity prices are not the only utility that is going up in prices, Water is too.

All this is to prompt up so they can be used as a revenue stream for either Labor or Coalition Goverment or state Versions of either party.

But ya know, blow out your one sided view of the world.

silmaj
Guest

2499
You must know your tax rates to be so well informed that I have no idea?

paaptsef
Guest

hell I didn’t even realise there was such a thing as a CNC pipe bender. How lazy is that. That would use a lot less power than a CNC Brake Press

zoidlord
Guest

@silmaj/2498

How would you know that? or you just peddling someone’s lines?

wpDiscuz