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Federal Politics 2013-

Dec 19, 2013

BludgerTrack: 52.0-48.0 to Labor

This week's BludgerTrack poll aggregate puts Labor well into absolute majority territory, marking their sixth consecutive improvement.

The latest weekly BludgerTrack update neatly reflects the results of the most recent Newspoll, ReachTEL and Nielsen polls in landing bang on 52-48 to Labor. The Labor primary vote has a four in front of it for the first time since BludgerTrack opened for business at the start of the year, albeit by the barest of margins, with a 1.4% gain this week coming off a drop for minor parties while the Coalition holds steady at 40.9%. The latest state-level data points have fuelled a blowout in the result for Queensland, and while there has certainly been some indication of softness for the Coalition there recently (notably the 11% swing which showed up in Nielsen), I’m pretty sure the present extent of it will prove to be aberration. The two weakest state swings for Labor happen to be where elections are due shortly, although you might argue that a Holden shutdown effect is yet to come through in South Australia.

This will probably be the last update for the year – certainly Essential Research will not be back until the middle of next month, and I imagine that’s it for Morgan as well. Newspoll has never been in the business of polling beyond early December, but hopefully The Australian will shortly offer state breakdowns from its accumulated post-election polling so a bit more ballast can be added to the BludgerTrack state dataset.

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3089 comments

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paaptsef
Guest

[ more than 6,700 people have been killed in Iraq since the beginning of 2013, according to AFP figures based on security and medical sources http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-12-26/an-iraq-bombs/5174946 ]

Schnappi
Guest

Steve777
Although never let on ,caught both my Mum and Grandmother salting the Pud with threepence and sixpence ,being silver, as they first boiled the coins, and slipped in just before serving

Steve777
Guest

Re Christmas pudding – you also need to add threepences and sixpences. I suspect my grandmother slipped them into the slices after they were cut to ensure that no one missed out and all the kids came out more or less equal.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

You don’t need brandy in the cream if you put enough over the pudding. Brandy, that is.
This is the correct recipe.
t
taste pudding
taste brandy.
sprinkle brandy over pudding.
taste brandy
Look at pudding.
Pour brandy over pudding.
Set it alight
Don’t burn down kitchen.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Merry Xmas, bludgers. I over indulged, again. I went on the Port River dolphin cruise Xmas luch with my Mum, sons and a couple of friends.
Good lunch, nice wine, saw dolphins.

Kevin Bonham
Guest

No Christmas hiatus yet this year?

http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2013/12/legislative-council-voting-patterns.html

Tasmanian Legislative Council voting patterns – revised analysis taking things up to the end of 2013. I’ve found the Liberal Party often doesn’t get things its own way.

bemused
Guest

lizzie@3064

Socrates

Come on,it’s easy and this is real brandy not flavouring

1 cup heavy cream (whipping cream)
2 -3 tablespoons icing sugar
3 tablespoons brandy

Directions:

1
Whip cream & icing sugar together until soft peaks form.
2
Then quickly fold in the brandy.

Hi Lizzie, I passed that recipe on to my wife for her to consider against alternatives.

Thanks for posting it.

bemused
Guest

Just back from having a very casual Christmas evening meal at my eldest sons place, on the deck beside his pool.

I used to think swimming pools in Melbourne didn’t make a lot of sense with too short a season. But with a pool cover to keep the heat in at night and a heat pump pretty much entirely powered by his solar panels, it is just great and the season much extended.

Youngest grand-daughter turns 4 in April, but can already dog-paddle across the pool, jumps in, goes under water with no fear and won’t have a bar of floaties or any other flotation device. Just amazes me.

Yep, I am one hell of a proud grand-father. 😀

CTar1
Guest
bemused
Guest

Bushfire Bill@3070

Watch out for sharks, Bemused. We wouldn’t want to lose you at this late stage.

Too cryptic for me BB. 😐

CTar1
Guest
Kinkajou
Guest

[One just can’t be away from the hurly-burly a second these days without the world/caravan/circus moving on without you.]

julia Gillard forgot to come back…beginning of the end

Kinkajou
Guest

[PASS OUT QUIETLY]

….and I think they all did boys and girls…only 3 posts in almost 2 hours

davidwh
Guest

Can you get a better Christmas gift than having five of the best grandkids saying “Love you Poppy”. Nup, life is good.

Hope everyone has had a great day. Bless you all.

Tricot
Guest

Well, I’ll be darned.

I thought PB was on hols. Seem to remember history stopped for nearly two weeks without PB this time last year??

One just can’t be away from the hurly-burly a second these days without the world/caravan/circus moving on without you.

Hope PBers have a Christmas they would hope for.

lizzie
Guest

kinkajou

As long as you do it quietly and don’t frighten the horses!

Kinkajou
Guest

1
Whip cream & icing sugar together until soft peaks form.
SAMPLE BRANDY

2
Then quickly fold in the brandy.

SAMPLE BRANDY AGAIN JUST TO CHECK

SAMPLE SAUCE

SAMPLE BRANDY

PASS OUT QUIETLY

Bushfire Bill
Guest

Watch out for sharks, Bemused. We wouldn’t want to lose you at this late stage.

briefly
Guest

It’s sublime in Perth, as usual. We’ve taken the customary swimming and body-surfing to heart, and now enjoying cucumber salad and prawns while preparing tomorrow’s bumper lunch.

All is well in paradise.

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