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Newspoll: 51-49 to Liberal-Nationals in WA

The first WA state poll since the March election goes a long way towards explaining recent murmurings about Colin Barnett's security of tenure.

The long-awaited first Newspoll of state voting intention in Western Australia since the March election finds the Liberal-Nationals government clinging to a 51-49 lead from two-party preferred, compared with 57.3-42.7 at the election. However, the headline-grabber here is the personal ratings, which find Colin Barnett’s approval plummeting 17 points since the pre-election poll to 34%, while his disapproval is up 18 points to 54%. Mark McGowan on the other hand has improved from his already strong election campaign result, his approval up two to 51% and disapproval down seven to 22%, and he has seized a 43-37 lead as preferred premier after trailing 52-31 pre-election.

The Australian also informs us that the quarterly aggregated federal result for the state has it at 50-50, which compares with 58.3-41.7 at the election and is well in line with the present reading from BludgerTrack. Primary votes are 41% for the Coalition and 36% for Labor, compared with 51.2% and 28.8% at the election. Hopefully this is a harbinger of a full set of state breakdowns from Newspoll’s post-election polling.

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28 comments

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Kevin Bonham
Guest

Thanks Independently Thinking – I am fixing that now.

Independently Thinking
Guest
Independently Thinking

KB @ 18

John Olsen did not lose election – he also resigned as Premier of SA in October 2001 when Rob Kerin took over – Kerin “lost” the next election in Feb 2002 when former Liberal MP turned microparty kingmaker Peter Lewis had the balance of power and chose a very surprised Labor leader Mike Rann over Kerin’s Liberals.

Disasterboy
Guest

implications for a WA Senate election are ‘interesting’.

Rossmcg
Guest

Socrates

Barnett’s Problem is not that the money is running out. the West Australian published some figures last week that show the treasury expects revenue to increase, just not fast enough to deal the Barnett and buswell’s uncontrolled spending.

Socrates
Guest

Interesting numbers. It isn’t so easy to stay popular once you stop having more spare cash than almost any other government in the western world. Barnett is not at fault for the money running out, but he promised too much. He really should blame Abbott on the rail funding, which is pure ideology but he won’t.

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Sorry about the mess above; here is the article:

http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2013/12/unpopular-state-premiers-have-dire.html

Unpopular State Premiers Have Dire Historic Fates

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Apologies to Russell Cooper for attributing one of Joh’s ratings to him.

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Bannon also technically resigned. I’m putting this lot up on my site once I iron out hopefully all the glitches!

Kevin Bonham
Guest

And I listed Rann as “lost election” by mistake above (he was sort-of rolled, sort-of resigned).

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Stuffed up the formatting for Carr, sorry about that. On other sites I post on tags use square brackets. So it should have read:

Carr(NSW,-24) re-elected

Kevin Bonham
Guest

Barnett’s -20 is the worst netsat for a WA Premier in Newspoll history.

State premiers to have polled worst netsats are:

Field (Tas, -23) lost next election
Groom (Tas, -22) lost majority and resigned after next election
Bjelke-Petersen (Qld, -26) rolled by party
Cooper (Qld, -40) lost election
Bligh (Qld, -43) lost election
Bannon (SA, -41) rolled by party
Arnold (SA, -22) lost election
Olsen (SA,-37) lost election
Rann (SA,-29) lost election
Greiner (NSW,-33) rolled by party under pressure from crossbench
[b]Carr (NSW,-24) re-elected[/b]
Iemma (NSW,-37) rolled by party
Rees(NSW,-22) rolled by party
Keneally (NSW,-28) lost election
Cain (Vic, -43) resigned
Kirner (Vic,-31) lost election
Baillieu (Vic,-22) rolled by party under pressure from crossbench

Premiers who have polled netsats of -20 or worse are batting 1 from 17. Ouch.

Strong UnionsStrongCountry
Guest
Strong UnionsStrongCountry

I want a government that is not for sale!!

comment image:large

Tricot
Guest

Whoops! Wongan not Terry Wogan!

Rossmcg
Guest

William

Well Porter has Paul “magic water” sheehan’s endorsement!

Strong UnionsStrongCountry
Guest
Strong UnionsStrongCountry

Three word slogan that epitomises Abbott’s success 3 months in;

Stop the Votes

Strong UnionsStrongCountry
Guest
Strong UnionsStrongCountry

Tricot

Posted Saturday, December 28, 2013 at 10:39 am | Permalink

Bird of Paradox….such is the oddity of WA politics that Wogan acquaintance
=======================

Where is Wogan?

John Ryan
Guest

Never understand the Country people who Vote for the Nationals,the nats sold them out years ago,the leader who just left had the slush fund since handed on I assume.
I don’t read the West as it has always been a Liberal Paper now owned by Stokes a mining man.
If labour win I assume also the slush fund will return to Treasury,that needs at least a judicial inquiry at least,McGowan if he premier will use the cash where its needed.
Hospitals,rail,light rail maybe to Ellenbrooke and beyond and those monuments to Barnett incompetence The Stadium(another Judicial inquiry over the deal with Packer)and the ever growing cost so fans of the 2 wealthiest clubs can sit in comfort if its not to far gone stop it.
Barnett promised whatever Labour did and then some and cant complete any now Abbott wont give money for rail only roads,if Buswell gets the job if I were the Libs I would start filling in Job applications now.
With a bit of luck there will be a few federal ones joining them as well Irons for one

Rossmcg
Guest

I wonder how Christian Porter is feeling. If he hadn’t spat the dummy he could be premier of WA by March.

GhostWhoVotes
Guest
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