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Federal Politics 2013-

Jan 13, 2014

Morgan: 52.5-47.5 to Labor

The Christmas-New Year poll drought ends courtesy of a new result from Morgan, which suggests little has changed over the break.

Morgan has released what it describes as the “first major public opinion poll of 2014”, though it could just as easily have dropped the “major”. It provides no indication of festive cheer softening attitudes towards the new government, showing the Coalition down 1.5% on the primary vote to 39% with Labor also down half a point to 38%, the Greens up half a point to 10.5% and the Palmer United Party steady on 3.5%. That translates to a 53-47 lead to Labor on 2013 preference flows and 52.5-47.5 on the headline respondent-allocated figure. As has been Morgan’s form for a while now, this poll combines its regular weekend face-to-face polling with SMS component, in this case encompassing 2527 respondents from the two weekends past. The first Essential Research result for the year should be with us tomorrow.

UPDATE: Little change also from Essential Research, which opens it account for the year with a result from the polling period of Friday to Monday only, rather than its two-week rolling average. This has the Coalition leading 51-49, with the Coalition, Labor and the Greens each up a point on the primary vote to 45%, 38% and 8% respectively, with the Palmer United Party steady on 4% and others down two to 6%. Also featured are the monthly personal ratings, showing a slight improvement for Tony Abbott – up two on approval to 47% and down three on disapproval to 43% – and a softening for Bill Shorten, down four to 35% and up one to 32%. Preferred prime minister is little changed, Abbott’s lead shifting from 43-33 to 42-31. The poll also finds strong opposition to fees for GP visits, with 28% approving and 64% disapproving, and 47% support for Australia becoming a republic at the end of the Queen’s reign against 32% opposed.

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1586 comments

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Otiose
Guest

04:57:00 16/01/2014 ——- Nett_NEWS++™ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy NB Pique of the Week

paaptsef
Guest

[ You must all recall our rates rising while others went to zero. ]
Yes the incompetent Libs ignored 20+ warnings about spending
and we had about a dozen consecutive rate rises

briefly
Guest
[1565 confessions The professional fishermen who will patrol West Australian waters as “shark sheriffs” are still to be contracted, despite a State Government deadline passing last week.] It will most likely cost at least $4,000 per boat per fishing day to operate the drum-and-line fishing gear mentioned by the Fisheries Department. This would cover the hire of 35-40′ vessels suitable for WA coastal waters, engagement of crew, the supply of fishing gear and bait, and the fuel, lubricants, insurance, maintenance and other running costs. Such boats can set and pull 20 km of gear in a day in seas up… Read more »
silmaj
Guest

1576 and 1577
Labor decided to fiscally keep demand going which then put a restraint on the independent monetary tool being used to perhaps the extent it could have been. You must all recall our rates rising while others went to zero. The govt now has a large overdraft and supposed spending increase to come. The low overseas rates have allowed the once were weak business to restructure and are starting to thrive. Aus business never got that chance. We are know in a global economy and govt intervention against the globe is pointless.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

OK, only one then.

Good night.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

I appears that we have been reduced to a small gaggle of West Australians here tonight.

Did you guys see or hear the little piggy from the Hotels Association squealing that the Liquor recommendations were unfair and the result of the efforts of self interest groups such as the medical lobby and the police, pushing their own agenda against the best interests of the community?

And he said it with a straight face, too.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Well said, Briefly.

briefly
Guest
[1565 confessions The professional fishermen who will patrol West Australian waters as “shark sheriffs” are still to be contracted, despite a State Government deadline passing last week. This has been a balls-up from the get go. Contracting issues, tendering issues, budgetary issues, now recruitment issues. If it looks like, smells like and sounds like policy on the run, then it’s most likely policy on the run.] Hunting sharks is an idiotic idea as well as a barbaric one. It will only result in the pointless destruction of (endangered) Great Whites that will in any case be replaced by new individuals.… Read more »
Fulvio Sammut
Guest

And your premise is that the Labor Government couldn’t service it’s piffling budget excess?

Sorry, you’ve been polite, and you deserve a civil response, so I’ll simply say that your premise is totally unacceptable by any objective economic analysis.

mexicanbeemer
Guest

silmaj

There is more to Keynes than just borrowing money, it is about supporting the Aggregate Demand side of the economy.

prettyone
Guest

“You don’t rock’n’roll for a living by any chance?”

‘course not, but would you like to hear about some dirty deeds done dirt cheap?

silmaj
Guest

Keynes is an unknown to me . Borrowing money that you can’t repay is pretty simple really. It’s a no no.

imacca
Guest

[asking me but I don’t invite ridicule.]

Oh come on, you can expect anyone to take that statement seriously.

Yesiree Bob
Guest

and on that point, it’s time to go sweat

Yesiree Bob
Guest

ou obviously know where the GFC came from USA , Britain and Europe. You are probably aware how they got there.

Thirty years of ongoing tax-cuts to the top tier, combined with a total deregulation of the credit industry, actually.
That pretty much sums up Coalition policy over the past thirty years.

Must really irk you lot that Keynes was vindicated over the GFC, eh Buddy ?

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Barnett’s unilateral decree to destroy all 3 metre sharks has as much logic, benefit and substance as the biblical edict to kill each first born son.

confessions
Guest

FS:

Touche.

Whatever it is, it’s totally unacceptable.

silmaj
Guest

1558
Borrowing is fine as long as the revenue for repaying is constant and what you’ve borrowed the money for is going to continue long enough to pay the debt.
1561
You obviously know where the GFC came from USA , Britain and Europe. You are probably aware how they got there. If we continue as they did b4 the GFC then I guess well all get the chance to see what it feels like.

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