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Federal Election 2016

Feb 16, 2014

Seat of the week: Hindmarsh

Maintaining the recent South Australian focus ahead of the looming state election, the latest instalment of Seat of the Week takes us to the only electorate in the state to change hands at the September federal election.

Red and blue numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for Labor and Liberal. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Covering coastal Adelaide directly to the west of the city centre, Hindmarsh was the Liberals’ only South Australian gain of the 2013 election, at which Matthew Williams unseated Labor’s member of nine years, Steve Georganas. The electorate was one of seven created when South Australian electoral boundaries were first drawn in 1903, its traditional orientation around the working-class suburbs of north-western Adelaide making it a Labor stronghold for much of its history. The creation of the electorate of Port Adelaide in 1949 made it somewhat less secure, pushing it southwards into more conservative Henley Beach, but only with the 1966 landslide was long-term Labor member Clyde Cameron seriously threatened. The watershed in its progress from safe Labor to marginal came with the abolition of Hawker in 1993, which drew Hindmarsh still further south into Liberal-voting Glenelg. Currently the electorate covers the coast from Semaphore Park south to Glenelg South, from which it extends inland to mostly Labor-voting suburbs including Kidman Park and Torrensville in the north and Morphettville and Ascot Park in the south.

The Liberals’ first ever win in the seat followed the aforementioned redistribution at the 1993 election, which cut the Labor margin by 1.2% concurrently with the retirement of John Scott, who had held the seat since 1980. The Liberal candidate was Christine Gallus, who had become the first Liberal ever to win Hawker in 1990, a feat she duly followed by becoming the first Liberal ever to win Hindmarsh. This was achieved on the back of a 2.8% swing, the losing Labor candidate being John Rau, who has since emerged as a senior figure in the state government. Liberal hard-heads rated Gallus’s vote-pulling power very highly, and were duly dismayed when she decided to retire at the 2004 election. Her departure created an expectation that the seat would fall to Labor’s Steve Georganas, a former taxi driver who won preselection for the 2004 election with backing from the “soft Left” faction. So it proved, but the 1.2% swing to Labor was only enough to secure the deal by 108 votes. The unsuccessful Liberal candidate was Simon Birmingham, who went on to enter the Senate in 2007.

Georganas’s margin increased by 5.0% in 2007 and 0.7% in 2010, but these were modest gains by the standards of Labor’s performance in South Australia, leaving him on a weaker margin than Labor colleagues in Makin, Kingston and Wakefield, which unlike Hindmarsh had stayed with the Liberals in 2004. The margin going into the 2013 election was nonetheless a solid 6.1%, having been boosted slightly by redistribution, but this was accounted for by a forceful swing to the Liberals of 8.0%, the largest in the state. The seat is now held by Matt Williams, who had previously been national business development manager with law firm Piper Alderman.

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448 comments

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Otiose
Guest

04:27:00 18/02/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol #Budget Mantra #hockey http://bit.ly/1oI0o2u

Otiose
Guest

05:36:00 17/02/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol

Steve777
Guest

Turnbull holds out hopes of Rabbott crashing.

Malcolm Turnbull must believe he’s in with a chance, but it’s hard to see. The Liberals are a party of the hard Right and getting harder. That won’t change for a political generation (say 15 years), if ever. Maybe if Malcolm was 40 he could bide his time and build support.

But he doesn’t have time now. Today’s Libs won’t turn to Turnbull. He’s still too ‘liberal’ for the ‘Liberals’ in spite of the compromises he’s made. Not that he was particularly crash hot when he had a turn at leadership. They won’t have him, especially while they remain beholden to fossil fuel interests, religious conservatives, finance industry spivs and other ‘illiberals’.

Why doesn’t he just retire and enjoy his millions.

frednk
Guest

As there has been no Nielsen since the election and the Liberals won this makes on sense.

[
GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 7m

#Nielsen Poll Primary Votes: L/NP 44 (+3) ALP 33 (-4) GRN 12 (+1) #auspol
Expand

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GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 8m

#Nielsen Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 52 (+4) ALP 48 (-4) #auspol
]

mexicanbeemer
Guest

Lets look at it another two reasons there are only two main reasons for coming to Australia, Holiday or Live.

Acerbic Conehead
Guest

rossmcg,

[I would like to think that the Morrisons of this world are in for a bit of a shock]

As my old dad says, “they’ll die screamin’!”

Just Me
Guest

[Fibre continues to put Copper to shame.]

Always has and always will, was never any other possibility. I was routinely using fibre optic in critical applications over 30 years ago, and even then it was an unremarkable and tested technology. Everybody in electronic and telcom engineering knew about it and its possibilities then, and expected a full fibre network to start being rolled within a couple of decades.

But then John Howard and his bastard political spawn came along, got down on their knees before their corporate media overlords, and goodbye to any sanity and nation building.

We have been well and truly sold out.

mexicanbeemer
Guest

Tom

There are two parts to that question.

Yes i would consider scraping student vises either offering a migrant vises or a third type of visa that being a short term visa (period of five years).

And no to the second part as we would still be wanting to encourage migrants.

Tom the first and best
Guest
Tom the first and best

430

I was not saying that IDs should not be checked at the border but that all people have an equal right of entry, residence and work.

confessions
Guest

Well, well. Neilsen….

Rossmcg
Guest

Acerbic cone head

I would like to think that the Morrisons of this world are in for a bit of a shock

Acerbic Conehead
Guest

Victoria,

[BARRIE CASSIDY: Three days ago an Indian student took his own life at a detention centre in Melbourne. He was in that centre because he overstayed his visa. Could that have been avoided?

SCOTT MORRISON: Could he have avoided overstaying his visa?]

Well spotted.

Barrie Cassidy should have closed the interview down there and then. With such a disgraceful response, Morrison showed he is unfit to be a minister of the Crown.

mexicanbeemer
Guest

Zoidy

Yes the government is part of the problem but if we had a streamlined immigration process with just one or two visas it might reduce incidences of detention.

Deporting would be the easiest option but wouldn’t they first needed to locate the right place to send them.

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 2m

#Nielsen Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 52 (+4) ALP 48 (-4) #auspol

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 58s

#Nielsen Poll Primary Votes: L/NP 44 (+3) ALP 33 (-4) GRN 12 (+1) #auspol

Tom the first and best
Guest
Tom the first and best

429

So your saying we should abolish student visas and thus the jobs and other benefits we get from overseas students?

zoidlord
Guest

@MB/429

Visa’s are not the problem, it’s the Government, the implementation and process of those visa’s.

Sending someone to DT just because they overstayed their visa is wrong, they should have just deported them (it’s cheaper).

BK
Guest

Great photography – the most beautiful snakes in the world.
http://www.bitrebels.com/design/photography-the-most-beautiful-snakes-in-the-world/

mexicanbeemer
Guest

Tom

No immigration laws should remain but there is a case for streamlining them after all it is too be expected that the government will have a paper trail of people entering the country.

mexicanbeemer
Guest

So we have a report of an international student passing away.

Without knowing the full circumstances why was an international student even in detention.

I am all for not allowing people to overstaying visas but and this is where government needs to be cleaned up.

Is it time we scrap all visas and only have two vises one for 1 Holiday and 2 Migrate

wpDiscuz