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Federal Politics 2013-

Feb 20, 2014

BludgerTrack: 50.0-50.0

On the back of the Coalition's best poll result since November, the BludgerTrack aggregate finds Labor's two-party lead evaporating and the Coalition back in charge on the seat projection.

The slump in Labor support recorded in the year’s first Nielsen poll has been exactly enough to erase a two-party lead in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which it had enjoyed since mid-December. This was despite a strong result for Labor from Essential Research, which appears to be maintaining its curious status as a lagged indicator. On the state breakdowns, the biggest movement is in Victoria, where Nielsen had Labor’s lead at a well below-par 52-48. This has helped cut the Victorian swing on BludgerTrack from 7.9% to 4.3%, and reduced Labor’s projected seat gain from five to two. Elsewhere, Labor is down one seat each in New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and the Northern Territory. The overall projection is now for a Coalition absolute majority, providing another indication that the BludgerTrack model considers the electoral terrain to be weighted in the Coalition’s favour. Leadership ratings from Nielsen provided further evidence of diminishing support for Bill Shorten, who is now only fractionally ahead of Tony Abbott on net approval. Abbott’s lead of about 10% as preferred prime minister has nonetheless been stable since early December, as has his slightly negative net approval rating. Full results as always on the sidebar.

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2335 comments

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Otiose
Guest

UPDATE: 03:24:00 25/02/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol http://bit.ly/OtLVd4

Otiose
Guest

UPDATE: 05:28:00 24/02/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol #LightTheDark Composite
http://bit.ly/1gua2Qh

victoria
Guest
zoomster
Guest

New thread, guys!

poroti
Guest

BK

[All of the Repugs’ Obamacare “horror stories” seem to get debunked.]
The Koch brothers appear again. Truly appalling people. They make Rupe appear positively benign.

[the tale of one Julia Boonstra of Michigan, wholesaled by the Koch-founded conservative organization Americans for Prosperity.]

antonbruckner11
Guest

First law of insurrections: when the rioters take photos of the leader’s dunny, it’s all over.

frednk
Guest

[
Casey Nelson ‏@LTO_cambodia 7h

Considering current local politics, it doesnt seem wise of Australia to encourage Cambodia to create detention camps for unwanted immigrants
]
Where is this guys sense of adventure. We have stuffed up the rule of law in Nauru, have thugs running detention centers in PNG. Bigger, better, lets see what trouble we can make in Cambodia.

himi
Guest

Huh – I have a feeling William posted a new thread but forgot to post the notification.

himi

BK
Guest

And from the Land of the Free –

A Tea Party nutter joins in the Kentucky Senate race.
http://thepoliticalcarnival.net/2014/02/22/pack-babies-grab-old-ladies-everyones-longer-safe-kentucky/
All of the Repugs’ Obamacare “horror stories” seem to get debunked.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/02/21/1279312/-Are-there-any-real-Obamacare-horror-nbsp-stories
Bill Maher on “personalised news” that is becoming more prevalent on the internet.
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/mahers-new-rule-hearing-stories-that-confirm-your-beliefs-isnt-news-its-fox-news/
Bill Maher with some funny masturbation pamphlets.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/02/22/bill-maher-overcoming-masturbation_n_4838140.html

pom
Guest

One would have thought that there would have been leaks from within the navy by now on what really happened for multiple ships to misunderstand where the border was. The navy has and is been held up to ridicule by the actions of the happy clapper.
Which leads me to the question why did Abbott put a army guy in charge where most of the action was on to be on the water. Could it be assumed the navy might be more knowledge of water issues. Maybe not?

poroti
Guest
With Morriscum admitting his sliming of the AS it would be a good time to hear about one of them. This is about the guy that was killed. [A group of contractors who all met Berati on Manus island sent Guardian Australia an exclusive statement describing him as a “gentle giant”………. Reza always waited and looked forward to meeting with us and reading with him. He studied a lot,” the group said. “He used to always pick up bugs and moths off the ground and put them back in the garden, worried that someone would step on them. (The guys… Read more »
mari
Guest

http://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-funds/hard-sell-to-return-if-advice-laws-change-20140221-3364j.html

Surprise?

BK

That is wonderful news modern medical care at its best plus a fighting little champion’s willpower

canasta76
Guest

Happy Clapper Abbott sitting back happy as Larry whilst 1000’s of Australian jobs are consigned to the dustbin.When does this habitual liar start producing the million jobs promised during the election.I know, they were Non Core and not in writing.

BK
Guest

mari
The little champ is now 2.1 kg (look! I’ve changed the unit of measure) and should be going home in 3 weeks. He is doing very well.

BK
Guest

Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
These clowns should never have been let near public schoolchildren!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-02-23/biblezine-complaint-sparks-probe-into-religious-educator/5277766
Morriscum late on Saturday night admits he is a misleading flake!
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/scott-morrison-admits–information-he-gave-on-manus-riot-was-wrong-20140222-339hs.html
Here’s Bianca Hall’s take on it.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/disquiet-at-aid-without-liability-20140222-338l7.html
Turnbull puts his foot down and this is what hapens!
http://www.smh.com.au/digital-life/mobiles/travellers-to-pay-telstra-up-to-500-more-20140222-3398x.html
I hope Hadley has a nice week off.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/ray-hadley-off-air-for-a-week-after-application-for-avo-20140222-338zg.html
What a surprise.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/modelling-finds-gp-fee-no-moneysaver-20140222-338zd.html
Abbott has subjugated all vestiges of decency and moderation in his party.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/liberal-partys-moderate-voice-goes-silent-under-tony-abbotts-leadership-20140222-3391c.html
Sinodinis is playing with fire here.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/beware-of-getting-burnt-in-the-financial-services-boilerroom-culture-20140221-337kc.html
This is what Cathy Wilcox thinks it has all come to.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/cathy-wilcox-20090909-fhd6.html

canasta76
Guest

Funnily enough I have the SPIN for our Navy crossing into Indonesias waters,we were looking for the piece of string floating on the water that seperates our 2 waters.

canasta76
Guest

Most first world countries have competent Navies,we in Australia have Admiral Morriscum in charge of McHales Navy.

mari
Guest

BK

How is big grandson progressing?

canasta76
Guest

Operation Soveriegn Borders
Who is looking after our borders?
Can’t be the Navy as they don’t know where our borders start and finish.
Shown by how many times they have encroached into Indonesias Soveriegn Waters,6 Times which is 5 too many.
Maybe we need Captains that can read maps or G.P.S equipment or an immigration minister who doesn’t lie all the time.

Otiose
Guest

UPDATE: 04:58:00 23/02/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #auspol http://bit.ly/OnaOai

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