Menu lock

Federal Politics 2013-

Mar 16, 2014

Nielsen: 51-49 to Coalition

The latest Nielsen poll strengthens the impression from last month's result that the series may be leaning to the Coalition relative to the other pollsters.

GhostWhoVotes relates that the monthly Nielsen poll in tomorrow’s Fairfax has the Coalition leading 51-49. I’m not clear if this is based on respondent-allocated or previous election preferences, but the respective results in last month’s poll were 51-49 and 52-48. The Coalition primary vote is steady on 44%, Labor is up two to 35%, and the Greens are steady on 12%. Tony Abbott’s approval is steady on 45% and his disapproval is up two to 49%, while his lead as preferred prime minister is down from 49-39 to 48-43. More to follow …

UPDATE: James J in comments relates that the poll also shows 52% support a means test for Medicare bulk billing versus 46% opposed, and the following results on what the government should do about Qantas: 30% remove foreign ownership restrictions, 20% provide debt guarantee, 3% both, 41% neither.

UPDATE 2: Full tables here.

UPDATE 3 (Essential Research): After a week at 50-50, Essential Research has the Coalition back at 51-49 in front, their primary vote up a point to 43%, Labor’s down two to 36%, the Greens up one to 9% and the Palmer United Party steady at 4%. Other questions find respondents tending to oppose relaxing restrictions on the media, with 31% favouring more regulation, 15% favouring less and 36% thinking the present situation about right, while 43% are opposed to relaxing cross-media ownership laws with 29% supportive. Twenty-six per cent say they would prefer having the same party in government at both federal and state tiers against 24% who would prefer different parties and 36% who say it makes no difference. Respondents were asked if they would prefer the federal or state government to be responsible for various areas of policy, with the federal government favoured for everything except roads, regional investment and public transport.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

2109 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Otiose
Guest

→ → 20/03/2014 03:43 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy Au Revoir Ar’fur http://bit.ly/1lOZXR6 by David Rowe ©

ausdavo
Guest

Arrived in Thailand this evening. Now on line in our Bangkok hotel. No sign of any demonstrators so far.

Will provide an overview as I travel around.

Off to Khon Kaen on Saturday.

A week later we will be attending a large Buddhist “village wedding” – 400 guests plus ‘lookers on”.

Strangely this religious wedding has no recognition in Thai law. Only an “amphur wedding” (government office) is legally binding.

Imagine the uproar in Australia if the Registry Office was the only legally binding wedding.

silentmajority
Guest

Independence for Scotland!

Down with the English!

http://bellacaledonia.org.uk

zoidlord
Guest

Anyone who thought SOPA was dead in USA, think again:
http://www.thenewamerican.com/economy/item/17861-sopa-dead-in-congress-alive-in-trans-pacific-partnership

Liberals are playing with fire on TPP grounds.

geoffrey
Guest

o dear deblonay you and thom are an indefatigible two of a kind – if you’re not careful i might report you to my ex hungarian neighbour who once was handy in street fighting, so much so that he will still not disclose what he exactly did in the uprising. i will leave you with your red army collection and as someone else aptly said your collection of dusty tribunes. am thankful to have been spared either because of upbringing or age the temptation you must have had to all things east european, and am free to conceive other forms of contemporary communalism. if you send me your address will also send a half dress full bodied shot of your new found deliverer for you to also admire late at night – and no, I wont forward to to my elder political asylum neighbour.

deblonay
Guest

Actually
I have not seen any suggestion the Crimean referendum was in any way rigged
Give that about 2/3 of voters were ethnic Russians,and that ,many others abstained the final result was about what one would expect …
and the Crimea was always Russian until Kruschev’s extraordinary decisions in the 1950ies to pl;ace it under Ukrainian rule..in the old Soviet Union that didn’t matter much,but today it does

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Does the Constitution allow for excommunication, swamprat?

geoffrey
Guest

Fulvio Sammut
Posted Thursday, March 20, 2014 at 12:18 am | PERMALINK
I support independence for Queensland, but the blighters refuse to leave.

——-silly. we cant all live in SA and call it the civilized free domain of australia (isn’t that what they always thought of themselves in fact were)

swamprat
Guest

Fulvio

I agree, both Qld and NSW should be placed under interdict (Papal control) until they reform themselves

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

I support independence for Queensland, but the blighters refuse to leave.

crikey whitey
Guest

EricH is the actual spelling of Senator Abetz’s first name.

swamprat
Guest

geoffrey

Scotland has always been a national state, older than most others in Europe. It’s (unelected) parliament joined itself with the Westminster one, in 1707. It was a combination of two nations, not the extinguishment of one.

If Scotland votes for independence in September it will just be withdrawing from a Union that no longer serves it’s interests.

geoffrey
Guest

davidwh
Posted Thursday, March 20, 2014 at 12:05 am | PERMALINK
Is this PB or did I stumble into a 1939 forum?

—–well said. on the other hand some moments here might just reflect parts of the international mindset esp those into the kremlin sanctum of romantic nationalism. those mad ruskites. i mean when america transgresses as it often does it can be hoisted on the petard of its own constitutional ideals but russia and its poor folk as a western country have never had an epoch or foundation of such aspiration rights or freedoms.

swamprat
Guest

davidwh

PB forums (or fora, as Fran prefers) are always wide ranging geographical and temporal.

We were discussing the LIberal Party, so 1930’s seems relevant, does it not?

geoffrey
Guest

swamprat
Posted Wednesday, March 19, 2014 at 11:48 pm | PERMALINK
deblonay

[he LA Times this week looked in detail at the rise of the far right/fascists in the Ukraine…
no Putin influence in LA I am sure
________________
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/commentary/la-oe-english-ukraine-neofascists-20140313,3347970,5402504.story#axzz2wPZn4APg

I have not read that LA times article but I do not think the makeup the tempoarary ruling groups in Kiev is relevant to a nasty contrived takeover in Crimea.

I am all for self determination. I support the Crimeans, Uigyuirs, Tibetans, Catalonians, Scots etc being independent.

I just DO NOT believe the recent “vote”in Crimea was honest.
————— yes. getting serious, you are correct. i am not sure dismantling of national states what do you think? nor the inscribing of regions around old tribal or linguistic majorities, even if in the end such blocs do get better participation in any electoral system. but yes whatever the formula decentralisation of much decision making seems way to go. to be honest, from what one can tell what crimea was – an autonomous self governing region – seems to have been that in many ways.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

You did that when you voted for an Abbott Government, David.

davidwh
Guest

Is this PB or did I stumble into a 1939 forum?

Fran Barlow
Guest

George Brandis is really getting his teeth into the attack on red tape. Apparently, there’s a lot of undesirable punctuation, collocation and even the occasional spelling error

http://trib.al/7cciPir

That’s why he gets the big bucks. 😉

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Did Abetz write his own Wikipedia page, or did someone edit or write it about him?

wpDiscuz