Menu lock

Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Fortnightly results from Newspoll and Morgan both record shifts to the Coalition, in the former case giving them the lead for the first time in over three months.

GhostWhoVotes reports that the latest Newspoll has the Coalition in the lead for the first time since late November, their lead of 51-49 comparing with Labor’s 52-48 lead in the poll of a fortnight ago. The primary votes are 43% for the Coalition (up three), 34% for Labor (down two) and 11% for the Greens (down two). More to follow. UPDATE: Tony Abbott’s net approval improves slightly with approval steady on 40% and disapproval down three to 47%, while Bill Shorten is respectively down five to 31% and down one to 42%. There is also a less decisive result on preferred prime minister, with Abbott down two to 41% and Shorten down three to 33%. The Australian’s report here.

Morgan had its fortnightly face-to-face plus SMS poll out today, encompassing 2869 respondents over the past two weekends. It too has Labor losing ground on the previous poll, down from 54-46 ahead on respondent-allocated preferences to 51.5-48.5 (and on previous election preferences, 53.5-46.5 to 52-48), from primary votes of 34.5% for Labor (down four), 38.5% for the Coalition (up half a point), 12% for the Greens (up one point) and 5% for Palmer United (up half).

UPDATE (Essential Research): This week’s Essential Research fortnightly average records very little change, with Labor maintaining its 51-49 lead from primary votes of 43% for the Coalition, 38% for Labor, 9% for the Greens and 3% for Palmer United, the only change there being a one point drop for Labor. Also featured are the monthly leaders ratings, which have Tony Abbott up a point on approval to 41% and steady on disapproval at 47%, Bill Shorten up two to 32% and down one to 38%, and Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister up from 39-33 to 42-32. Other questions find 25% support for the privatisation of Medibank Private and 46% opposition, 61% expecting it would cause health insurance fees to increase against just 3% who think they would decrease, and 25% approving of the sale of government assets to fund new infrastructure against 58% disapproving. A semi-regular question on climate change finds 56% thinking it caused by human activity, up five on January, with 34% favouring the more skeptical response, down five.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

1095 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Compact Crank
Guest

The Joe Bullock factor certainly impacting on WA Senate Postals – oh . . .

deblonay
Guest

Th Cultist of Gillard here on PB must be starting to doubt whether she can still work miracles or not….

WeWantPaul
Guest

I hope the are running a poll on whether Bob Carr upset the Jewish Lobby or the PB Cult of Gillard most with his dose of the bleeding obvious last evening.

Fran Barlow
Guest
I also agree that one should be a member of any bona fide union covering your occupation, and it’s not unreasonable for the ALP to ask this of its members. Of course, it asks it only of those in affiliated unions. … making it less than the reasonable principle bemused set out against freeloading. I don’t agree that the mere fact you can’t enforce the rule makes it worth dumping. One can encourage people to do things without any means of coercion. It seems to me that members of affiliated unions could get a weighted vote when votes arise for… Read more »
pom
Guest

I believe that when unions on behalf of their membership fight and win a wage rise only union members should get that rise.
At the same time I do not think Labor does it’s self any good tied as it is to the union movement to me it’s a big negative. The sooner it stops the present union influence and has a broader membership appeal the soon its support will rise.

Otiose
Guest

→ → #Auspol 10/04/2014 —- Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #abbott t’ Un(Aus) meets Un(DPRK) by David Rowe © http://bit.ly/1kLrqma

absolutetwaddle
Guest
bemused While I was at university I worked casually at a market research company that primarily (well, only) did work for government departments, charities and universities. We were the guys who’d call you to ask about your experiences on Centrelink, how your cancer treatment was going or what you thought of immigrants. It was great work, and good money for what it was (ie, calling people and getting them to answer our questionnaires). The reason the pay and conditions were pretty good was because my company (and most others) were members of the market and social research body AMSRO who… Read more »
deblonay
Guest

RE Russia and China… after Tom Paine 1086
__________
Tom is right and we will see this when Putin goes to China next month and signs a Trillion dollar contract with the Chinese for Gas….supplied across “Pipelineistan ” which runs arcoss the Central Asian plains

The Russian are demanding that the Ukrainian pays $2billion owing for their unpaid Gas bills..and may demand payment in advance in future
The US-EU will have to find all this mo ney
Putin doesn’t want to occupy a bankrupt Ukraine,one the edge of a food crisis,with a valueless currency and no credit facilities

Thomas. Paine.
Guest

[According to reports in Russia’s RIA Novosti, Bank Rossiya, has introduced a new logo which is a gold ruble. Officials stated that the new logo, the golden badge of the Russian national currency will be officially adopted by Bank Rossiya. It will symbolize a sign of stability and security of the ruble gold reserves of the country.
]

Ahhh .. a shot across the bow of the petrodollar…linking gold to fiat is anathema to the money printers extraordinaire….Russia like China has been buy huge amounts of gold over recent years.

Thomas. Paine.
Guest
[Mike Whitney.US writer on energy,saya the Ukrainian crisis if at its core,about the US oil/gas monopolies wanting to get their hands on the great Russian resources,which Putin has denied them He believes that the US monopolies and a complient Pres would risk a 3rd World War by pushing Russia to the brink..and they hate Putin because he has denied them access to the vast Russian resources an interesting statement] If the US created a major war (which it now is quite capable of given that political power is with a very small hyper wealthy/powerful oligarchs)…..there is no longer a very… Read more »
briefly
Guest

[1078
bemused

Free loading is contrary to the ethos of the party.]

Not if you’re Joe Bullock.

lefty e
Guest

Of all the dopey things about Abbott, being a Catholic Monarchist is surely the daftest.

Somehow it makes perfect sense to him that our Head of State ought NEVER be someone of his own religious views.

briefly
Guest
[1074 bemused briefly@1064 The way the rules work now anyone can join the ALP. But if there is an affiliated union they could belong to, they have to join that as well. It is an odd thing. It should be abolished. I disagree. I don’t like free-loaders of any stripe. If you enjoy the benefits won by a union, then join the union. It is working in your interests.] Sure. But the way the ALP rule works now produces an odd logic: If you want to join the ALP, you can. (Fine – makes sense) If there is no union… Read more »
deblonay
Guest

Mike Whitney.US writer on energy,saya the Ukrainian crisis if at its core,about the US oil/gas monopolies wanting to get their hands on the great Russian resources,which Putin has denied them

He believes that the US monopolies and a complient Pres would risk a 3rd World War by pushing Russia to the brink..and they hate Putin because he has denied them access to the vast Russian resources
an interesting statement
http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/03/12/big-oils-sore-losers-lead-the-drive-to-war/an resources…which are kept for the Russian state

confessions
Guest

briefly:

As I said, I’ve not experienced such bullying to join a union, but if there is such a rule about affiliated unions it’s frankly archaic and a drag on the party modernising and appealing to wider public, and should therefore be abolished.

zoidlord
Guest

@bemused/1078

Unions seem to not be doing that as of late.

bemused
Guest

lefty e@1076

Bemused, I couldnt agree more about freeloaders on union members’ sweat, dues, and committments. Shits me to tears.

But does it need to be a requirement for party membership?

Free loading is contrary to the ethos of the party.

Where there is a union representing you, you should pay your dues.

The ALP should not encourage free-loaders or scabs of any stripe.

Tom the first and best
Guest
Tom the first and best

1073

The Israel lobby versus the Palestine Lobby is not just about money, it is also about seat margins. Seats with higher numbers of Arabs/Muslims tend to be safe ALP while Melbourne Ports is fairly marginal and Danby`s person vote in the Jewish community is a major reason the ALP holds the seat. Wentworth also has had a low margin for the Liberals in the recent past.

lefty e
Guest

Bemused, I couldnt agree more about freeloaders on union members’ sweat, dues, and committments. Shits me to tears.

But does it need to be a requirement for party membership?

wpDiscuz