Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Federal Politics 2013-

Apr 13, 2014

Share

GhostWhoVotes relates that the monthly Nielsen poll in tomorrow’s Fairfax papers has Labor leading 52-48, after trailing 51-49 last time. The primary votes are 40% for the Coalition (down four), 34% for Labor (down one) and, remarkably, 17% for the Greens (up five). The latter is three points higher than the Greens have scored in any Nielsen result going back to the 2010 election (UPDATE: It turns out 15% is their previous record in Nielsen, and 16% is their record in Newspoll). Stay tuned for leadership ratings and state breakdowns.

Further results from the poll indicate strong opposition to the government’s policies with respect to the Racial Discrimination Act, with 88% disagreeing with the contention that it should be lawful to offend, insult or humiliate on the basis of race, as per the provisions of 18C of the act, and 59% opposed to George Brandis’s contention that people have the right to be bigots, with 34% supportive. Opinion on knights and dames is more finely balanced than might have been expected, with 35% supportive and 50% opposed.

UPDATE: The poll has Tony Abbott’s lead as preferred prime minister down from 48-43 to 45-44, which equals the Newspoll of February 21-23 as the narrowest lead yet recorded (ReachTEL may or not be an exception, as I don’t track it due to its unusual methodology). Abbott is down two on approval to 43% and up one on disapproval to 50%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 43% and down one to 41%.

UPDATE 2: GhostWhoVotes has full tables. By far the most striking results are from Western Australia, where the Greens lead Labor 27% to 20% – remembering this is from a sample of 150 with a margin of error of 8%. The lesson I would take from this is that static from the WA Senate election is making federal poll results less reliable than usual just at the moment.

Advertisement

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

1024 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Mark Davis
Guest

Hi William.

You mentioned that you do not track ReachTEL due to its unusual methodology.

Just wondering what are the methodolgical issues you see with RTEL?

Otiose
Guest

#Auspol Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #abbott’s Jumbo Jest – Come Fly w’ me … ♯♫♪ by @rowe_david © http://bit.ly/Qnwa7Z

hairy nose
Guest

The total amount Craig Thomson was convicted for was $24,000 over two years – that’s only 8 bottles of wine

sceptic
Guest

Bazza & ICAC

O’Farrell says he did not have a “partisan” interest in Australian Water but was interested in “land release”. The company had positioned itself as being able to unlock the supply of new housing developments by providing access to water and sewerage infrastructure.

So all that’s needed for land release is pipes in the ground, for land not owned by AW… The BOF has lame excuse for meeting with AW spives

bemused
Guest

[954
Diogenes
Posted Tuesday, April 15, 2014 at 11:42 am | PERMALINK
briefly

Perhaps it might spur a few small branches to amalgamate do they reach 300 members.]
I think he probably means the number of members in an electorate.

There are typically a number of local branches in an electorate and few would, on their own, have more than 100 members, with most well under this.

mikehilliard
Guest

Yesiree Bob

I still have the 64 EH wagon I bought 25 years ago. Not for daily use but I take it to the country now & then. She likes an open road, not city traffic. Always attracts the odd train spotter.

victoria
Guest
victoria
Guest
victoria
Guest

Acerbic conehead

You too. 🙂

Peter of Marino
Guest

Acerbic Conehead @ 996
Posted Tuesday, April 15, 2014 at 1:03 pm | PERMALINK
POM,

[LOL.

I presume the Royal Commission will be interviewing the little girl to get some evidence on how nasty unionists corrupt the young.]

F*ck Yeah 😀

Acerbic Conehead
Guest

Victoria,

[Acerbic Conehead

Love it!]

Glad you liked it. If it was good enough for Noah…

Anyway, enjoy the rest of the day.

guytaur
Guest

“@farrm51: “We will keep our commitments,” says PMAbbott. But says major commitment is to a surplus. Pensioners to keep carbon compo. Sounds ominous.”

sohar
Guest

No-one could accuse Essential of volatility in it polling, unlike the other pollsters recently. Whether or not Essential is good a picking up recent movement is another question.

Jackol
Guest

Ah yes, “most fundamental commitment” – that would be, how would you say?, a “core promise”?

guytaur
Guest

“@latikambourke: PM Abbott says he wants to keep his commitments, says Govt’s most fundamental commitment was to fix the budget when asked about pensions.”

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 4m

#Essential Poll Free Trade Agreement with Japan: Approve 52 Disapprove 13 #auspol

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 2m

#Essential Poll Are Free Trade Agreements good for Australia: Yes 49 No 11 #auspol

guytaur
Guest

Finally. Abbott gets a question on rail

“@latikambourke: PM Abbott ‘yes’ there is an opportunity to complete a rail loop through Western Syd via airport. Primarily State issue but more to say.”

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 6m

#Essential Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 50 (+1) ALP 50 (-1) #auspol

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 5m

#Essential Poll Primary Votes: L/NP 42 (0) ALP 37 (-1) GRN 10 (+1) PUP 4 (+1) #auspol

guytaur
Guest

Trains not passing Abbott lips on 2nd airport

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Essential Poll Primary Votes: L/NP 42 (0) ALP 37 (-1) GRN 10 (+1) PUP 4 (+1) #auspol”

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Essential Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 50 (+1) ALP 50 (-1) #auspol”

dave
Guest
Diogenes@967 Doesn’t BOF have to pay tax on the $3000 bottle of wine? ABC TV News at Noon in Sydney reported it as worth $6,000 – said to be 1959 Grange – the same year as BOF was born – according to the report. Maybe two bottles @ $3k a pop ? BOF on the stand this arvo – was it declared on the Parliamentary register as well? Either way it is a very bad look and drags BOF down as well. What else has he taken and from whom – are his declartions accurate and up to date? Saw… Read more »
guytaur
Guest

“@bencjenkins: How are we going to #protectourborders with TWICE the airports in Sydney? Pack of gallahs in charge I’ll tell you what.”

victoria
Guest

Centre

Do you really think the decision to build 2nd airport will be unpopular?

zoidlord
Guest

@guytaur/995

Beginning of 2016?

In time for the next election!

Boerwar
Guest

Do you still have to declare a bottle of wine if you drank it?

Centre
Guest

Excellent

Watch the riots!

Acerbic Conehead
Guest

POM,

LOL.

I presume the Royal Commission will be interviewing the little girl to get some evidence on how nasty unionists corrupt the young.

guytaur
Guest

“@ABCNews24: Watch LIVE: Prime Minister @TonyAbbottMHR & @warrentrussmp are speaking in Canberra http://t.co/FlRWJArtyW #badgeryscreek #auspol”

“@latikambourke: PM Abbott says Cabinet has approved construction of a second Sydney airport beginning 2016 at Badgerys Creek. @abcnews”

Centre
Guest

DN

NO

zoidlord
Guest

By continuing to rely on Telstra, they are getting bigger pay day:
http://www.zdnet.com/au/nbn-payments-to-telstra-could-hit-au98-billion-report-7000028380/

victoria
Guest

guytaur

Yep seems that the annoucement coincides with BOF appearing at ICAC. How unsurprisement

guytaur
Guest

@craigjack36: Same time as BOF goes to #Icac
Funny that

Tony Abbott will hold press conference shortlyhe will announce #badgeryscreek airport #auspol

DisplayName
Guest

Labor should have had that 2nd airport built ages ago.

sceptic
Guest
victoria
Guest

Acerbic Conehead

Love it!

guytaur
Guest

@KarenMMiddleton: Merging the ABC & SBS would cause “conniption” among commercial broadcasters, fearing ads to come on ABC: Joe Skrzynski @SBSNews

zoidlord
Guest

Michael Janda ‏@mikejanda 8m

CommBank is giving scant details of what exactly is wrong with their IT and what services are affected: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-04-15/commonwealth-bank-customers-hit-by-electronic-banking-outage/5391366 … @CommBank

zoidlord
Guest

More bad news for FTTN and liberal supporters, spending $40 billion or so for dropping non ‘guarantee’ speeds:
http://www.itnews.com.au/News/382817,nbn-co-drops-speed-guarantees-for-fttn-service.aspx

“However, users of the FTTN network will not receive speed guarantees beyond 25 Mbps down and 1 Mbps up, the report states – similar to the maximum performance under ideal line conditions of today’s ADSL2+ service”

So like currently, the 1.5Mbps guarantee, if a fault occurs higher than the guarantee speed, then companies won’t fix.

Centre
Guest

[They should expand Mascot, lift all curfews and fly directly above paths of the eastern coastline]

If the people of the east don’t like it – MOVE!

Easy 😎

Centre
Guest

MTBW @ 981

Don’t worry about the propaganda that Mascot is unsustainable – what a load of rubbish. It’s a bit like the Libs telling us everything is unsustainable.

This is a CLEAR case of the East dumping their pollution on the West.

Of course it wouldn’t happen immediately if a Badgerys Creek airport is operational – but it will happen eventually. More and more activity will be shifted to the West in time.

They should riot and they will, good luck to them!

Oh not to mention property prices will plummet in the west and rise in the east as a result.

Libertarian Unionist
Guest

[I was working in Glebe when the “no aircraft noise” campaign was running re Mascot Airport.]

There are just a few more people living in the Inner west than the western part of the City of Liverpool…

MTBW
Guest

Centre

I was working in Glebe when the “no aircraft noise” campaign was running re Mascot Airport.

Everyone was whingeing there were countless petitions thousands of telephone calls and it seemed no one in the inner city and surrounds was happy.

Good luck Badgery’s Creek!

Acerbic Conehead
Guest
People in the know firmly believe that Tony Abbott and Joe Hockey want to raise the retirement age to 90. Alfie, an avid listener to 2GB, thinks raising the retirement age is a great idea, but, in his view, it should be raised even higher. Chime in with Alf as he sends a singing telegram to Tones and Joe. Cue: “When I’m Sixty Four” by The Beatles. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCss0kZXeyE When I get older losing my marbs Many years from now Will Centrelink still send me on a job search Or pension me off, stuck on the perch? If my prostate makes… Read more »
Yesiree Bob
Guest

Hands up any Bludgers who have had a Holden in their family, or know someone who has owned a Holden ?
Not only that, how obvious is the hypocrisy when the Government cries “budget emergency” when it targets pensioners, yet dose nothing about wealthy people rorting the system, let alone giving wealthy mothers even more assistance via the PPL ?

Is it any wonder that, despite the “narrative”, this Government is deeply unpopular, even more so than the polls are suggesting ?

Centre
Guest

They should expand Mascot, lift all curfews and fly directly above paths of the eastern coastline 😎

Centre
Guest

Badgerys Creek?

Well they won’t be flying at night unless they want mass riots.

I’m siding with the NIMBYS on this. The Eastern Suburbs can go and get stuffed!

kakuru
Guest

[$3000 bottle of Grange given to Barry O’Farrell was not declared on his pecuniary interests register]

$3000!!!??? Jeez, think how many prostitutes Craig Thompson could hire with that much $$$$.

Centre
Guest

Victoria @ 953

But we have a budget crisis.

We must not have had a budget crisis at the time Abbott made his pledge otherwise he would never have made his pledge.

Obviously we must now have a budget crisis since the Libs got into government.

The point is that Abbott would never intentionally say one thing before an election and do something else after an election.

Bastard :mrgreen:.

wpDiscuz

Advertisement

Telling you what the others don't. FREE for 21 days.