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Federal Politics 2013-

Apr 22, 2014

Morgan: 52-48 to Labor

Morgan becomes a third pollster to show Greens support at its highest for at least the current term, but otherwise shows little change on a fortnight ago.

Morgan has released its regular fortnightly face-to-face plus SMS poll covering 2955 respondents over the past two weekends. On the primary vote, Labor is down half a point to 34%, the Coalition steady on 38.5%, Palmer United steady on 5% and the Greens up a point to 13% – which, while well short of Nielsen, makes it a third pollster showing the Greens vote at its highest for at least this term, or in this case since July 2012. Labor leads 52-48 on both measures of two-party preferred, compared with 51.5-48.5 on respondent-allocated and 52-48 on previous-election preferences last time. Essential Research will be with us tomorrow.

UPDATE: Essential is with us sooner than I thought, the report having been published on their website. This shows the Coalition down a point to 41%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens at their highest for the current term with a gain of one point to 11%, and Palmer United also up one to 5%. Labor has recovered the 51-49 lead on two-party preferred it had lost with last week’s shift to 50-50. Also featured are “most important election issues”, showing economic management and health policy have gained in salience since before the election while “political leadership” has declined; a finding that 61% oppose funding cuts to the ABC, with 21% supportive; 45% expecting the government’s motivation to reduce ABC funding would be overall spending reduction rather its dislike of ABC news coverage (45% to 28%); 71% disapproving of raising the pension age with 20% supportive; 58% favouring 65 as the pension age; 64% disapproving of including the value of the family home in asset testing for pension eligibility, with 26% supportive.

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1110 comments

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bemused
Guest

Player One@1093

It was widely reported in the press at the time and never denied. I provided a link to a very thorough investigatory report earlier.

Try googling ‘greg anderson mental illness’.


The infallible “Dr Google”, eh? He’s a psychiatrist as well now?

Actually, I did read quite a few of articles on this subject. Lots of insinuations and allegations – all unsubstantiated. None of them provided any actual evidence.

None.

But there is lots of evidence to the contrary, including the testimony of Rosie Batty, which you seem to simply dismiss. Or perhaps not understand.

I think we all know why you simply can’t accept this, bemused – and it says far more about your attitudes to women and domestic violence than it says about the death of poor Luke Batty.

As kezza pointed out the other night, you still seem to be carrying some serious baggage around to do with women asserting authority. If I were you, I’d try and resolve your issues before its too late.

But I feel I have done enough to try and help you tonight. We can take it up again tomorrow, if you like.

You are not merely a grub, but a disgraceful grub!

You know damn well that I abhor violence toward women and children in any form.

For the record, Rosie Batty indicated that her ex was aggressive, abusive and violent toward her, but never her son until that dreadful event and she had believed he would never harm their son.

I have no problem with competent women being in authority and some of the best bosses I have ever had were women.

I have also supported and campaigned for women candidates.

Yes, someone here has a problem, and that is you! And your problem is dealing with the truth.

briefly
Guest

[1099
William Bowe

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body politic.]

Much as usual, then, William. For some reason I’m thinking of Bob Carr. Perhaps it’s because he is proud to think of himself as the body politic incarnate. He is so gratified by this thought that he considered dating himself and adding an extra chapter to his current modest book, the self-published, “Bob – The Romantic Diary of a Great Stud.”

Otiose
Guest

Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #JSF, #abbott Macho Maverick lays Waste by @rowe_david © http://bit.ly/1f6fME9

imacca
Guest

ok, probably boring for most but here is some late night reading i was doing on JSF and some of the worst “criticisms” made of it lately.

http://elementsofpower.blogspot.ca/2013/04/the-f-35-and-infamous-sustained-g-spec.html

Not quite the aerodynamic disaster dog its made out to be.

I reckon that probably the biggest risk left with JSF is, as mentioned up-thread, software integration. It will be late i’m sure, but i suspect in time for the Australian intro to service dates.

crikey whitey
Guest

Cripes, Puff!

Delete 1102 as well.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

oops

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

cripes. what a mess!

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

<a href="William Bowe@1102

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body politic.

<a href="<a href=" http:="" blogs.crikey.com.au="" pollbludger="" 2014="" 04="" 22="" morgan-52-48-to-labor-2="" ?comment_page="23/#comment-1961355"" >william="" bowe@1102

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body politic.<a href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2014/04/22/morgan-52-48-to-labor-2/?comment_page=23/#comment-1961355&quot; >william="" bowe@1102

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body politic.

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2014/04/22/morgan-52-48-to-labor-2/?comment_page=23/#comment-1961355“>William Bowe@1102

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body po litic.

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2014/04/22/morgan-52-48-to-labor-2/?comment_page=23/#comment-1961355“>William Bowe@1102

Like a volcano waiting to erupt across the Australian body politic.

Please give me warning so I can grab my fireproof umbrella.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Thanks, William.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Anderson may or may not have committed that heinous crime because of is mental illness, but even if he did, he is just one man with one crime. The seeds of the idea that women and their children are the property of men and therefore live only on the goodwill of the man who owns them goes back thousands of years. In Ancient Rome, I understand the family Patriarch had total control over his wife and children and could kill them legally, any time he chose. This idea that feeds into the reality women live today, that they and their children may die at anytime by the hand of the man who lives with them, is the basis of the actions of mentally ill men who kill, in my opinion. The self is not an organism that lives outside its social setting. Our social setting enables family violence and family murder. In saying that, we must remember that the vast number of mentally ill men harm no-one and the vast number of family violence perpetrators have no mental illness. Occasionally the two states will intersect but this is not the basis for murder-suicide. I find the blaming of that boy’s horrific murder on the father’s mental illness to be a hasty and pathetic excuse. Just because Anderson may have had a mental illness does not mean that illness created the murder. There is an even chance he would have done the same if he had no mental illness, when faced with his wife’s separation. I would think, although I may be wrong, that people who take their children’s lives ‘so they could be together’ or ‘to make sure the children were not left behind alone’ i.e. to spare the kids the harm of life, would do so less violent ways than the one used by Luke Batty. I also think, without evidence to back up the opinion as I am no expert, that the act chosen would not leave the child disfigured. I suspect that Anderson decided to punish his ex-partner by killing their child painfully and horrifically in front of her, and like a coward, force another person to wear the trauma of killing him. A mentally ill person could plan and carry this out, but the crime says what Anderson was; a violent murderer, a failure as a father and a human being; it does not say it… Read more »
briefly
Guest

William, how is the next bludgertrack progressing?

briefly
Guest

[1080….bemused]

I’m trying to improve…:)

Bugler
Guest

I’m sure it would be more than enough “evidence”.

Bugler
Guest

[ Well, if you look at the – if you go back in history, and you look at when the sun has been active and when the sun has been inactive, will you find the climate on earth responds accordingly]

Maybe we can ship him to a system with an “inactive” star

bemused
Guest

Goodnight all.

Player One
Guest

[ It was widely reported in the press at the time and never denied. I provided a link to a very thorough investigatory report earlier.

Try googling ‘greg anderson mental illness’. ]

The infallible “Dr Google”, eh? He’s a psychiatrist as well now?

Actually, I did read quite a few of articles on this subject. Lots of insinuations and allegations – all unsubstantiated. None of them provided any actual evidence.

None.

But there is lots of evidence to the contrary, including the testimony of Rosie Batty, which you seem to simply dismiss. Or perhaps not understand.

I think we all know why you simply can’t accept this, bemused – and it says far more about your attitudes to women and domestic violence than it says about the death of poor Luke Batty.

As kezza pointed out the other night, you still seem to be carrying some serious baggage around to do with women asserting authority. If I were you, I’d try and resolve your issues before its too late.

But I feel I have done enough to try and help you tonight. We can take it up again tomorrow, if you like.

zoidlord
Guest

UK gov borrowing hit target limit:
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-27125024

While our gov borrowed to blame for political purposes…

Even Austerity-like cuts in the UK only saved the gov a little bit.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

This is an interesting research paper on Murder-Suicide in Australia.
http://aic.gov.au/documents/8/F/8/%7B8F8A985A-04D3-4E14-88AF-DDE56BA745D8%7Dti82.pdf
The rough and ready from the conclusions are:
Perpetrators are more likely to be
– Male
– Caucasian
– Be older in age than other types of homicide perpetrators.
– Working

Victims are more likely to be:
– Female
– Working
– Caucasian

The crime:
– most common weapon is a firearm
– occurs between people closely known to each other.
– the longer a couple has been together the higher the risk
– rate of murder-homicide increases as ‘ordinary’ homicide decreases.
– children increase the risk.
– has a low incidence of alcohol use by either perpetrator or victim when the crime occurs.

Make of it what you will.

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