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Federal Politics 2013-

May 17, 2014

Galaxy: 53-47 to Labor

The first poll since the budget finds it to have been the worst-received budget since 1993, although the Coalition's position on voting intention is no worse than it was already.

The Sunday News Limited tabloids have published the first poll since the budget, courtesy of Galaxy. Details from the reporting are sketchy, but it is presumably a phone-plus-online poll of around 1400 respondents, assuming it followed the same routine as the previous Galaxy poll a fortnight ago. Two-party preferred is at 53-47 in favour of Labor, up from 52-48, from primary votes of 38% for the Coalition (down one), 38% for Labor (up one) and a new high of 8% for Palmer United (up two). No result is available as yet for the Greens. (UPDATE: GhostWhoVotes relates that the Greens are down a point to 10%, and that the poll was conducted from Wednesday to Friday from a sample of 1399.)

With regards to the budget, only 41% rate it as good for the economy versus 46% for not good, while fully 74% say they expect to be worse off against only 11% for better off. The former set of numbers are in stark contrast to the Howard government’s first tough budget after it came to power in 1996, which according to Newspoll was rated good for the economy by 59% and bad by only 22%, with 6% opting for neither good nor bad (an option not available from Galaxy). The only other budget since 1995 to have scored a net negative rating from Newspoll on this measure was last year’s, at 35% for good, 37% for bad and 7% for neither).

The results on impact on respondents’ financial position resemble Newspoll’s findings for the politically disastrous budget that John Dawkins brought down after Labor’s election victory in 1993, which had 4% for better off, 74% for worse off and 17% for no change (the latter option again not available from Galaxy). However, whereas the results from 1993 were accompanied by a collapse in support for the Keating government, this poll has two-party preferred unchanged on pre-budget polling.

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840 comments

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Diogenes
Guest

Psephos

[At a doorstop interview at Canberra company Pure Solar on March 14, 2012 Mr Abbott said the Coalition would deliver tax cuts in government. “What you’ll get under us are tax cuts without new taxes,” he said
]

Without new taxes means no new taxes.

pjarmer
Guest

Welcome to the Abbottoir! ‘Work sets you free’

Taking the Australian people like sheep to the slaughter, can’t believe the public didn’t see this coming. Harder to believe the Libs were so stupid to even think for a minute they would get away with such a cruel and heartless budget without a massive public backlash.

Block supply in the Senate before the next game of Horse Trading begins

mexicanbeemer
Guest

Steve777

Today’s young people are being double rammied

First the uni fees will be paid back at higher interest
&
Employers expect job seekers to have experience relevant to the industry but the Liberals are saying just get a job or you get nothing

Clearly this government has no understanding of hiring or recruitment or the notice of the need to match skills with key selection criteria.

This government should never be referred too as pro-business as they clearly don’t understand employers and don’t understand the modern economy.

deblonay
Guest

But why PvO say to the coalition….” remarkable…but dont panic” ???

deblonay
Guest

FredNK
___________Re my views and those of TP…youj could have read what I said in the past

While TP and me do share many similar views..;..I have never on this site voiced admiration for either Gillard or Rudd…you are plain wrong there
I must confess that initially I thought both might be Ok but events proved me and many others… wrong
Actually Labor’s leadership in Canberra has had a long run of outs…remember Latham..what a creep..and Simon Crean…decent.honest. and a classic bore…and others too

Hopefully the present man will do better

imacca
Guest

[ Is this legal tender?

https://twitter.com/Mysta/status/467951359778508800/photo/1/large ]

I would have thought with JoHo it would be an eleventy dollar Bill??

frednk
Guest

[Centre
Posted Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 9:29 pm | Permalink

frednk

He’s probably an avid Liberal voter, sheesh!
]
He is probable a farther that lost his son.

kezza2
Guest

vic

Just spoke to youngest son, as he was getting off train at Tottenham from rally.

He reckoned the consensus was 15,000 attended. What say you?

All I could tell him was The Age reported “thousands”.

And he and his cohorts are going to back on Wednesday for the students/pensioners rally – hopefully better organised, says he.

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Nielsen Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 44 (-4) ALP 56 (+4) #auspol”

J341983
Guest

@824… yes, a static Nielsen would also qualify as ‘remarkable’

sprocket_
Guest
shellbell
Guest

Paul Austin is just marketing Fairfax publications

zoidlord
Guest

Knowing PvO he’s probably meaning the opposite of what he says.

Centre
Guest

shellbell

They’re polluting at the right spot 😈

Player One
Guest

gloryconsequence@816

“Remarkable”?

Perhaps “remarkable” because there’s no change at all?

soyaking
Guest

I’m predicting either unchanged or a 1 point swing to the government. “Remarkable” means not what the public expected. It’s also perfectly consistent with van Oscillator.

Centre
Guest

frednk

He’s probably an avid Liberal voter, sheesh!

J341983
Guest

Or maybe he’s heard rumbles about Newspoll…

shellbell
Guest

Centre

[We’ve had top autumn weather in Sydney.

Could it be that the pollution is just right?]

Best climate among the Oz capitals

wpDiscuz