Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Federal Election 2016

May 17, 2014

Seats of the week: Fadden and Moncrieff

This week's Seat of the Week double-up accounts for the northern two-third of the Gold Coast, served by Liberal National Party members Stuart Robert and Steven Ciobo.

Share

Fadden

Teal and red numbers respectively indicate booths with two-party majorities for the LNP and Labor. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Fadden covers the northern part of the Gold Coast municipality, from Gaven and Labrador in the south through Coomera, Pimpama and Ormeau to Logan River in the north, with the Pacific Motorway forming most of its western boundary. This area’s intensive population growth has caused the electorate to be progressively drawn into the Gold Coast since its creation in 1977, at which time it contained none of its present territory, instead covering outer southern Brisbane and the Gold Coast’s rural hinterland. The redistribution caused by the expansion of parliament in 1984 drew it into Brisbane, extending as far northwards as Salisbury and Rochedale, with the Logan River as its southern boundary. It first infringed upon the Gold Coast when it acquired Coomera at the 1996 election, the migration being completed with the exchange of Redland Bay in the north for Southport in the south at the 2004 election. The ongoing population explosion caused it to shed nearly 14,000 voters inland of its current boundary at the most recent Queensland redistribution before the 2010 election.

With the exception of 1983, Fadden in its various guises has been won at every election by the conservatives, meaning the the Liberal Party prior to the 2010 merger and the Liberal National Party thereafter. The inaugural member was Don Cameron, who had held Griffith for the Liberals since 1966. The 1975-engorged margin was whittled away at the 1977 and 1980 elections, then overturned with David Beddall’s victory for Labor with the election of the Hawke government. Cameron returned to parliament a year later at a by-election caused by Jim Killen’s retirement in Moreton, which became the third seat he represented. The 1984 redistribution made Fadden notionally Liberal, causing David Beddall to jump ship for Rankin. The seat was then won for the Liberals by David Jull, who had held the seat of Bowman from 1975 until his defeat in 1983. Jull’s margins were less than 5% until 1996, but generally well into double digits thereafter.

Jull was succeeded on his retirement at the 2007 election by Stuart Robert, a former army intelligence officer. Robert was said to have played a role in “rounding up support” for Tony Abbott ahead of his challenge to Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership in December 2009, and was elevated afterwards to shadow parliamentary secretary in the defence portfolio. He was further promoted after the 2010 election to the outer shadow ministry portfolio of defence science, technology and personnel, which was rebadged as Assistant Defence Minister following the 2013 election victory.

Moncrieff

Teal numbers indicate two-party majority for the LNP. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

Moncrieff covers the central Gold Coast from Miami north through Surfers Paradise to Nerang Head, and inland to Nerang and Highland Park. The seat was created with the expansion of parliament in 1984, previous to which the entirety of the Gold Coast had been accommodated by McPherson since 1949, and by Moreton beforehand. Moncrieff originally extended deep into rural territory at Beaudesert, before assuming its current coastal orientation with Beaudesert’s transfer to Forde in 1996. Prior to Moncrieff’s creation the entirety of the Gold Coast had been accommodated by McPherson, which had itself been created with the previous expansion of parliament in 1949. The Gold Coast had originally been contained within the electorate of Moreton, which has since migrated into Brisbane’s southern suburbs. The area has had conservative representation without interruption since 1906, with McPherson passing from Country Party to Liberal Party control in 1972, and Moncrieff being in Liberal and more recently Liberal National Party hands since its creation.

Steven Ciobo assumed the seat at the 2001 election after the retirement of its inaugural member, Kathy Sullivan, who had previously been a Senator since 1974, establishing what remains a record as the longest serving female member of federal parliament. Ciobo emerged through Liberal ranks as a member of the Right faction, associated with former ministers Santo Santoro and Warwick Parer and state party powerbroker Michael Caltabiano. He rose to the shadow ministry in the small business portfolio after the defeat of the Howard government, which was elevated to a shadow cabinet position when Malcolm Turnbull ascended to the leadership in September 2008. However, he was demoted to the outer shadow ministry portfolios of tourism, arts, youth and sport when Tony Abbott became leader in December 2009 and relegated to the back bench after the August 2010 election, which was generally reckoned to be a consequence of his support for Turnbull. Following the 2013 election victory he won promotion to parliamentary secretary to the Treasurer.

Advertisement

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

621 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Bushfire Bill
Guest

Fran Kelly introduces the Budget as “Tony Abbott’s”.

Where’s Joe when you need him?

Bushfire Bill
Guest

Oh dear,Ray Hadley’s not going to like this..

comment image

… and front page in the Daily Telegraph, too!

WarrenPeace
Guest

It apears that one of my posts disappeared into the ether.
It was a post responding to
poroti 576
A most excellent nom de guerre.
It was
Thanks my name is from a movie in which Kurt Russell plays a super Hero. the movie is “Sky High” a very funny family type movie Warren Peace is the son of a Super hero and and a super villian, War and Peace< which allows me to be good cop bad cop if I wish.

Bushfire Bill
Guest
I’ve just been watching a film on NITV (National Indigenous TC, Channel 34) about Max Stuart, the Aboriginal man accused of rape and murder of a 9 year old white girl, in South Australia in the 1950s. Rupert Murdoch, then owner of the Adelaide News, in concert with his editor, journalist and Changi survivor Rohan Rivett, campaigned to have the guilty verdict overturned. The case went as far as the Privy Council, which confirmed the death sentence on Stuart, but execution was stopped when a Royal Commission into the circumsances surroundiong the arrest, interrogation and trial of Stuart was set… Read more »
guytaur
Guest

Well will be interesting to see if mentioned by the ABC tomorrow.

On that good news its goodnight from me 🙂

scorpio
Guest

[ Galaxy pollster David Briggs said the proportion of voters who believe they are worse off was one of the worst he had encountered. Just 11 per cent of voters believe they are better off as a result of Mr Hockey’s budget. ]

Some kind soul should do something about getting these poor deluded beggars committed. They are clearly extremely ill! 😉

Dan Gulberry
Guest

Oopsies.

Those preferred PM and Abbott’ disapprovals are from May 13.

Nevertheless – LIBSPILL!!!!!!!!!!!!

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Galaxy Poll Does the Budget leave you better or worse off: Better off 11 Worse off 75 #auspol”

Dan Gulberry
Guest

[#Essential Poll Abbott: Approve 35 (-6) Disapprove 55 (+8) #auspol]

LIBSPILL!!!!!!!!

Dan Gulberry
Guest

[ GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
#Essential Poll Preferred PM: Abbott 36 (-6) Shorten 37 (+5) #auspol]

LIBSPILL!!!!!!!!!!!

guytaur
Guest

@abcnews: New Zealand forecasts ’14-15 surplus in #budget that bears striking difference to Australia’s, @DSchwartzNZ reports: http://t.co/CxGWr06Wen

sprocket_
Guest

it’s now “official”

[GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 47s
#Galaxy Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 47 (-1) ALP 53 (+1) #auspol]

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Galaxy Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 47 (-1) ALP 53 (+1) #auspol”

Dee
Guest
[Galaxy pollster David Briggs said the proportion of voters who believe they are worse off was one of the worst he had encountered. Just 11 per cent of voters believe they are better off as a result of Mr Hockey’s budget.] [“It is a worse result than we have seen in any Howard and Costello budget or Rudd and Swan budget,’’ Mr Briggs said.] [Warning the financial sting in the budget is the prescription Australia needs to repair Labor’s debt and deficits, the Abbott Government has ­argued belt-tightening will pay dividends in the long term.] [But in a worrying sign… Read more »
J341983
Guest

53-47 and steady primaries… still good – but hardly worth the wait 😛

guytaur
Guest

jackol

An alternative explanation is that Murdoch has started his next election campaign.

Then no cares about votes

zoidlord
Guest

Hockey’s excess, umm, bills to the tax payer, is another reason why I prefer that Labor/Greens/Pup should be spending the time blocking the entire budget.

Because as Palmer said it’s based on lies, does Labor and Greens want to be part of that lie?

(more rants incoming).

Jackol
Guest
The EXCLUSIVE Sam maiden is a smear of new libertarian Senator David Leijdonholm. Maybe Murdoch organs are going to go the squirrel on him? Leyonhjelm gives me the creeps, but it’s a strange move for Murdoch to go after one of the crossbench. Abbott is going to need as many votes in the Senate as he can get. I guess Murdoch attacking them isn’t the LNP, but pushing them into Palmer’s point of view isn’t going to make Abbott’s life easier. Maybe there’s some idea that by discrediting the Senate there’s some political upside for the government? Maybe they (Murdoch… Read more »
dave
Guest

[ Each day brings out a new story of JoHos excess, first cigars, now a $50,000 dinner on the taxpayer. ]

Imagine the fury if Swannie had spent $50,000 on a dinner and had danced a jig when about to screw millions of voters…..

Let alone the cigars.

guytaur
Guest

Those Galaxy figures Dan posted are good in showing solidity firm against Abbott.

More than the 300, 000 I would say

Rossmore
Guest

The extraordinary cost of the April G20 dinner has been revealed just days after Mr Hockey handed down a brutal Budget that could cost some families up to $5000 a year as a result of cuts to family payments and increased medical costs.

On the menu at Mr Hockey’s dinner was barramundi, Victorian wagyu beef, WA truffles and a “eucalyptus ice” dressed up with Tasmanian leatherwood honey. Despite declaring “the age of entitlement is over’’ in the Budget, Mr Hockey’s own Treasury department paid the TV chef to fly business class and airlift truffles from Australia to Washington DC last month.

guytaur
Guest
Rossmore
Guest

Each day brings out a new story of JoHos excess, first cigars, now a $50,000 dinner on the taxpayer.

Dee
Guest

Re:Poll
Low key and scant on details.

Leroy Lynch
Guest

Blimey, there was one. Not a big drop, which suggests either people already factored in the worst with all the Commission of Audit talk, or it will take a couple of weeks to sink in.

Interesting that the Primary vote for the ALP is higher than the that of the Newspoll. Pretty sure that’s the case with most other recent polls too.

WarrenPeace
Guest

I ment to add that WarrenPeace ment War and Peace

sprocket_
Guest

[Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s threats to call an early election are ­believed to be “serious”, according to senior government sources, if Mr Palmer turns the Senate into a circus.

After falling asleep in parliament last week, Mr Palmer said the results proved he was the sleeping giant of Australian politics. “Joe Hockey telling everyone we’ve got a debt crisis put me to sleep. They do seem to be a ­kamikaze government,” he said.]

Bring it on……..

WarrenPeace
Guest

poroti
thanks my name is taken from a very funny family type movie with Kurt Russel as a super hero. The movie is “Sky High”.
Warren Peace is the son of a super hero and a super villian.
this allows my to play good, cop bad cop if I want to.

sprocket_
Guest

[An exclusive Galaxy poll commissioned by The Sunday Telegraph suggests the Abbott Government needs to improve the sales pitch surrounding the budget that hits families, pensioners, high-income earners and single parents.]

Good ferreting there Dan, I reckon a small box on p37 in the dead tree version.

Need to improve the sales pitch, eh?

Oakeshott Country
Guest
Dan Gulberry
Guest

Oops. further down:

[While support for the major parties is largely unchanged with two party preferred vote of 53:47 in favour of the Labor Party, Mr Palmer’s ­United Australia Party has improved. Primary vote support for the major parties is unchanged at 38 per cent for both Labor and the Coalition.]

53:47 to ALP on TPP.

Dee
Guest

Not only wants to know if you are gay but if you’ve ever voted for the Greens.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

My son is still laughing at the Abbott and the Queen joke.

Dan Gulberry
Guest

A Galaxy poll was done:

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/its-true-we-hate-the-budget-and-paying-for-hockeys-50000-lunch/story-fni0cx4q-1226921367229

[The Federal Government’s tough fiscal medicine has prompted a ­majority of Australians — 75 per cent — to declare they are worse off after the budget and boosted support for billionaire MP Clive Palmer.

An exclusive Galaxy poll commissioned by The Sunday Telegraph suggests the Abbott Government needs to improve the sales pitch surrounding the budget that hits families, pensioners, high-income earners and single parents.]

So, Palmer up, every other party…?

sprocket_
Guest

Good o.

The EXCLUSIVE Sam maiden is a smear of new libertarian Senator David Leijdonholm. Maybe Murdoch organs are going to go the squirrel on him?

comment image:large

Leroy Lynch
Guest

WarrenPeace – you can never be sure around here

Oakeshott Country
Guest
There is more to the Hadley story that makes it great soap opera and just the thing for DT front page. Hadley has been spending an enormous amount of energy attacking Matt Parish the deputy coach of the Blues and calling for his sacking: so much so that Laurie Daley accused him of treachery and trying to destabilise the team in the lead up to Origin One. Remember that as well as being a rabid shock jock Hadley is also the most prominent NRL. Commentator. No one was quite sure why as Parrish is a fairly innocuous guy until rumours… Read more »
dave
Guest

confessions@574

rossmcg:

The Sydney obsession with obnoxious radio shockjocks is almost unparalleled.

Hardly just Sydney or NSW. The follow places take 2GB with them both on – mainly NSW, QLD, WA with some Vic SA & NT.

Check it out –

http://webstore.2gb.com/downloads/20130725/network_summary_for_website.pdf

sprocket_
Guest
just looking through the Daily ToiletPaper stories. Budget? What Budget. We have – Hadley’s wife – Hadley making up with Laurie Daley – cyclists clowning on the roads – Sam Maiden’s EXCLUSIVE of a Federal MP who likes to know who’s gay – 5SOS – ASADA being challenged by NRL players – security guards watching NRL State of Origin training camp – groping in Sydney nightclubs – not sure about this [Mick Carroll ‏@sundayteleed 27m Power wedding: @JuliaGillard congratulated howes for an “eclectic” guest list – Lib Michael Kroger and Labor factional opponents #auspol Mick Carroll ‏@sundayteleed 30m Power wedding:… Read more »
WarrenPeace
Guest

Leroy Lynch
Can’t take a joke

Bushfire Bill
Guest
So many typos originally, I’ll re-post. —————- The joy in Hadley’s pain continues… [Ray Hadley bites back on air over media’s ‘meddling’ in split On his 2GB morning show on Friday, Ray Hadley told listeners he was struggling with having his private life played out in public. But, on Saturday, he appeared intent on prolonging that pain. The broadcaster spent large chunks of his show publicly crucifying journalists who had covered the breakdown of his marriage. The Hadley-generated follow-up to Friday’s media storm also featured a bizarre, on-air telephone exchange with his boss and the station’s owner, John Singleton. …… Read more »
Leroy Lynch
Guest

WarrenPeace – a poll that was never done was hidden because it was bad for the Libs? Yeah?

Bushfire Bill
Guest

[”Now you keep meddling in people’s lives, maybe one day I’ll start to meddle in your private life,” he said.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/ray-hadley-bites-back-on-air-over-medias-meddling-in-split-20140517-38goh.html#ixzz31yRxanQ5 ]

Too late for Hadley to threaten that. Invading other people’s private lives is his modus vivendi.

Bushfire Bill
Guest
The oy in Hadley’s pain continues… [Ray Hadley bites back on air over media’s ‘meddling’ in split On his 2GB morning show on Friday, Ray Hadley told listeners he was struggling with having his private life played out in public. But, on Saturday, he appeared intent on prolonging that pain. The broadcaster spent large chunks of his show publicly crucifying journalists who had covered the breakdown of his marriage. The Hadley-generated follow-up to Friday’s media storm also featured a bizarre, on-air telephone exchange with his boss and the station’s owner, John Singleton. … ”Hey girls, bloke available, how good’s that?”… Read more »
poroti
Guest

WarrenPeace

A most excellent nom de guerre.

Dee
Guest

Are you sure there is a poll due tonight?

confessions
Guest

rossmcg:

The Sydney obsession with obnoxious radio shockjocks is almost unparalleled. I can totally see Hadley’s latest escapades bumping the budget off teh front page, even though I don’t agree with it.

antonbruckner11
Guest
Had a chat with a guy I know who was a cambodian refugee. Came to Australia 30 years ago. Now works as a tradie. Nice guy, but listens to Alan Jones. Was worried Australia had a debt problem. I reassured him it didn’t (successfully, I think). But what really worried him was any threat to medicare. That really terrified him, partly because of his background, I assumed. He knew that the $7 co-payment would be just the start. That made me ponder that medicare is probably the thing that, more than anything, binds this country together because it reinforces the… Read more »
WarrenPeace
Guest

I’ll put on my tin foil hat and say it must be bad for the Libs

wpDiscuz

Advertisement

Telling you what the others don't. FREE for 21 days.