Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Federal Politics 2013-

May 20, 2014

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

This week's Essential Research records a somewhat less allergic reaction to the budget than the other pollsters, and shows little change on voting intention.

Essential Research displays its trademark stability this week by failing to record the big shift evident from the other pollsters, with two-party preferred steady at 52-48 and Labor up only one point on the primary vote to 40%, with the Coalition steady on 40%, the Greens down one to 8% and Palmer United steady on 5%. The results on the budget are also somewhat less spectacular than those seen elsewhere, with 30% approval and 52% disapproval, and 40% deeming it good for the economy overall against 32% for bad – quite a bit different from the 39% and 48% registered by Newspoll. The budget was deemed bad for working people by 59% and good by 14%; bad for those on low incomes by 66% and good by 11%; bad for families by 62% and good by 11%; bad for older Australians by 66% and good by 10%; bad for younger Australians by 55% and good by 16%; but good for people who well off by 45% and bad by 16%.

Response was also sought in relation to particular budget measures, of which the least popular was the raise in the pension age (61% opposition, 17% support), followed by deregulation of university fees (58% opposition, 17% support). Opinion was evenly balanced on making Newstart recipients wait six months (41% opposition, 39% support), while there was a net positive response to making graduates pay HELP loans more quickly (53% support, 23% opposition). Cuts to foreign aid had 64% supportive and 13% opposed, while those to the ABC had 27% supportive and 41% opposed. Fifty-six per cent believed there was a “budget emergency” against 32% who did not, but only 24% believed the budget addressed it, against 56% who did not.

The other relative latecomer to the budget poll party was yesterday’s fortnightly Morgan face-to-face plus SMS result, which was more in line with other polls in having Labor up 1.5% to 38.5%, the Coalition down 2.5% to 35%, the Greens steady on 12%, and Palmer up a point to 6.5%. Whereas Morgan polls usually combine two weekends of polling, this one was entirely from Saturday and Saturday, so all the responses are post-budget and the sample is somewhat smaller than usual. On two-party preferred, Labor’s lead was up from 53.5-46.5 to 56.5-43.5 on 2013 election preferences, and 55-45 to 57.5-42.5 on respondent-allocated preferences.

Advertisement

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

1395 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
crikey whitey
Guest
Abbott’s day of reckoning. Budget 2014. As with Work Choices. Work Choices was passed by the Howard Government in 2005 and came into effect in March 2006. A The passing and implementation of the new laws was strongly opposed by the left side of politics, particularly the trade union movement. Critics argued that the laws stripped away basic employee rights and were fundamentally unfair. The Australian Council of Trade Unions consistently ran television advertisements attacking the new laws. Work Choices was a major issue in the 2007 federal election, as the Australian Labor Party (ALP) vowed to abolish it. Labor… Read more »
briefly
Guest
I might well add that the expanded availability of work since the 1990’s, including part-time and casual work, is considered to be the single most important factor in raising the welfare of low-medium income households. The tax-and-transfer system by itself is not enough to support low income households. We have an economy that is not generating as much demand for labour as there are workers available and real wages have been falling as a result. The cuts to social incomes proposed by the LNP have to be considered in the context of persistent labour market softness and against the very… Read more »
briefly
Guest
I woke up. Bugger. Anyway, restless, curious about something, I’m not sure why, I turned to the ABS. In particular, I turned to the data…ABS Labour Force, Australia. Here is a little to enjoy with breakfast. Aggregate Monthly Hours Worked ; Persons ; Series ID A3346490L, 000’s of hours, monthly, trend FLOW Month & Hours Jul 2011 1591083.0 Aug 2011 1596695.5 Sep 2011 1599874.7 Oct 2011 1599848.5 Nov 2011 1597806.1 Dec 2011 1596260.8 Jan 2012 1595999.7 Feb 2012 1597118.8 Mar 2012 1598786.1 Apr 2012 1600089.3 May 2012 1599731.6 Jun 2012 1597046.4 Jul 2012 1593568.0 Aug 2012 1590745.5 Sep 2012 1590075.4… Read more »
mari
Guest

Crikey Whitey
Did the link for New Mathilda a little while ago, getting retweets
Off for dinner now on a beautiful evening

Take care

crikey whitey
Guest

Amazing!

Great demos around the country. Like the good old days.

Nice to see the peasants revolting.

You take care and enjoy.

I am sure it’s beautiful. I have friends from those parts.

Speak in 24 hours, I guess.

crikey whitey
Guest

Mari, not sure how to link it to twitter.

It is this anyway. Now in The Age. I imagine if you looked at trending, Tony Abbott/daughter/scholarship you would find it.

https://newmatilda.com/2014/05/21/leaked-documents-cast-doubt-abbotts-60k-scholarship-claims

mari
Guest

Crikey Whitey

Just turned on the TV EuroNews and guess what was on the demonstration in Sydney about Abbott, went on for quite a while. Lovely to watch 😀

Give me the link and I will tweet

Take care my lovely lady

crikey whitey
Guest

Weeelllll.

Them thar is Real Solutions.

___cog___
Guest

Italian Democratic Party

From Wikipedia …

“The party stresses national and social cohesion, green issues, progressivism, progressive taxation and Europeanism. “

crikey whitey
Guest

Ah! There you are, Mari!

Hoped you were okay. Great that you have made it to an island.

Don’t worry about the tweet stuff, the Age has got it.

More disgraceful Abbott stuff.

crikey whitey
Guest

Once you give me a few tips, I will see how I can apply them to the Australian situation.

mari
Guest

Crikey Whitey

You called? What would you like me to tweet? I am at your service maa’m

Have just arrived on Lopud Island lovely

crikey whitey
Guest

Too coool, Cog.

Are the Italian and or other Dems working on a platform against or for the crooks, the IMF, the austerity, Burlesquone, corruption, the mafia or what?

___cog___
Guest

Yes, church bells are never far away. However, the light of democracy is shining even brighter than Francis’s at the moment. European elections are on Saturday and, here in Italy at least, the socialists (Democratic Party but members of the European Socialist grouping) are in the lead in the polls.

http://www.europeanvoice.com/page/4036.aspx?LG=1

Now making out what is in William’s avatar is another story.

crikey whitey
Guest

Sorry to go on.

But some clown (female) rang that station earlier and suggested that the woman who called Abbott was angry or defensive or some such because she had failed to declare her earnings to Centrelink.

Pleased to say that the radio bloke could barely restrain his laughter at this ludicrous and bizarre notion.

The Age of Women’s Lib has yet to arrive for some.

crikey whitey
Guest

Radio News now says ‘Abbott winking AND SMIRKING’ my emphasis about sex worker calling in.

crikey whitey
Guest

William’s Avatar appears to have some spiritual connection.

You would think…

crikey whitey
Guest

Well, there we have it.

Loss of faith, on my part.

You are so much closer to Pell. And vicariously, Francis.

May he keep shining the beautiful light.

___cog___
Guest

Here in Italy it is still light so I could just make out the figures on William’s link to Ghost’s teeny tiny twitter photo

crikey whitey
Guest

Oh. Thank you so, Cog.

Where did you get it?

Don’t they provide SA only polling?

___cog___
Guest

CW 1371

SA/NT

ALP 44, Coal 33, Grns 14, PUP 3, Other 6

crikey whitey
Guest

Actually, I am vaguely restless about Mari.

She asked me something about 24 hours ago then disappeared.

I imagine that she is in an area affected by the floods.

Telegram wise.

crikey whitey
Guest

Practically unreadable table, William.

And not State by State.

As far as I can tell.

Thanks for trying.

Otiose
Guest

Nett_NEWS++™ @ http://bit.ly/1aQcqOy #Budget2014, #Universities, Students Speak Up, by @rowe_david © http://bit.ly/1vGgdKp

crikey whitey
Guest

Oooops. Sorry. Thanks.

crikey whitey
Guest

William, while I think of it. Again.

Do you have and are able to provide the Nielsen SA breakdowns?

I looked for them but no cigar.

Merci.

crikey whitey
Guest
MMMHHH. “Mr Abbott should now reveal if he was lobbied by the chairman of the Whitehouse Institute of Design, Mr Les Taylor, to open up federal government funding to private higher education providers.’’ Senator Rhiannon said the Greens would use Senate estimates hearings next month to ask questions about the accreditation of a number of courses offered by the Whitehouse Institute of Design by the Tertiary Education Quality and Standards Agency. Mr Taylor said he could not recall ever discussing ‘‘anything of substance on higher education policy’’ with Mr Abbott. In the federal budget, the government announced that from 2016… Read more »
crikey whitey
Guest
Pretty. Kim Hames – WA News – watoday.com.au http://www.watoday.com.au › WA News Liam Ducey Acting Premier Kim Hames has defended his Government’s shark mitigation policy and says big sharks may be deliberately targetting human … Sharks may target human beings in WA: Kim Hames http://www.watoday.com.au › WA News Jan 4, 2014 – Acting Premier Kim Hames has defended his Government’s shark mitigation policy and says big sharks may be deliberately targetting human … WA Deputy Premier Kim Hames resigns as tourism minister … http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-07-22/barnett…hames…as…/4835916 Jul 22, 2013 – The WA Premier Colin Barnett has announced that Kim Hames has …… Read more »
Norwester
Guest

Thanks William.

DisplayName
Guest

BB @ 1337
Let’s give him the benefit of the doubt. Assuming he’s telling the truth, that just puts the lie to the Coalition’s claim that the current budget measures are necessary to “fix” Labor’s “mess”. They are there (in part, at least) to pay/pave the way for a future Liberal policy.

crikey whitey
Guest

William, while I think of it.

Do you have and are able to provide the Nielsen SA breakdowns?

I looked for them but no cigar.

Merci.

Norwester
Guest

Many years ago in time/space far away, Kim Hames should have instead chosen the *good* side of the force.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-05-21/perth-hospitals-to-lose-24300m-over-four-years/5468844

crikey whitey
Guest

Carefully avoiding the other stuff, Deblonay.

However, totally agree with your observation.

‘But his kids aren’t into the same political passions as he ..and like Packer they may branch into a range of things,,,and even avoid politics Packer in into gambling

His father and grandfather were right-wingers and would be politicians

but Murdoch the Monster is like his late father Keith…a interfering would be politician of the right’

___cog___
Guest
deblonay
Guest
The Murdoch Empire will perish when he does The Oz will be gone in a few months It loses 1/2 million a month but is his pivate vanity paper It gives him influence over politicians, It’s his pride and joy A recent book on Murdoch paints him as a would=be politician …and he is just that….he has many hates In the US he runs The Weekly Standard…a very neo-con ,warmongering weekly journal …it is a similar function for Murdoch It’s also a heavily zionist journal…another of Murdoch’s loves…Isreal..and it’s leads his campaings against the welfare state and Obamacare…which he loathes(as… Read more »
crikey whitey
Guest

It will, Norwester.

Hopefully before I do.

crikey whitey
Guest
https://newmatilda.com/2014/05/21/leaked-documents-cast-doubt-abbotts-60k-scholarship-claims Comments. GraemeF Posted Wednesday, May 21, 2014 – 23:58 I hope this organisation is not in line to benefit from the deregulation of higher education where funds that were previously only provided to universities would be open to more ‘colleges’. Gavin Moodie Posted Thursday, May 22, 2014 – 00:27 Whitehouse Institute of Design would be a very considerable benficiary of the changes announced in the 2014 Commonwealth budget; its higher education programs would receive subsidies of from $6,021 to $9,033 per equivalent full time student, depending on the disicpline of each subject. Furthermore, for the first time its students… Read more »
Norwester
Guest

CW

May the Murdoch empire perish unto dust.

crikey whitey
Guest

Where is Mari to tweet when we need it?

Norwester
Guest

Abbott approval rating and hence credibility last seen heading in the direction of Antarctica…

Watch out for the New Idea homey schtick type articles from those close to him who covet his job. They’re a’sellin.

crikey whitey
Guest

Murdoch puts new meaning into The Old Contemptibles.

zoidlord
Guest

haha, making excusing again “lets continue to blame”.

crikey whitey
Guest
Shades of. ‘Let me be clear. Many of the measures in this budget are objectionable, the attacks on Medicare; the abolition of the baby bonus which the government had promised never to touch; robbing Peter to pay Paul on education; and forcing more businesses to do the tax paperwork monthly, not just quarterly. But thanks to Labor’s poor management over five years, there is now a budget emergency. Hence the Coalition may decide not to oppose any of them; doesn’t commit to reverse any of them; and reserves the option to implement all of them, in government, as short-term emergency… Read more »
crikey whitey
Guest
Especially love Para 3!!! Tax-cut pay-off coming for those who wait, Tony Abbott vows SID MAHER and DAVID CROWE The Australian May 22, 2014 12:00AM Will the Senate save Australians from Abbott’s budget cuts? Many Australians are concerned about the impact the 2014 budget will have on their lives, could an obstructive Upper House save their savings? TONY Abbott has raised the prospect of tax cuts after the next election, delivering a prosperity dividend for tough measures in the budget, as Labor faced calls to back tax rises for higher-income earners to rein in the deficit. The Prime Minister, fending… Read more »
Norwester
Guest

Man I am looking forward to those graphs.

Norwester
Guest

William, Do you apply a bias to pollsters in your leader approval and PPM graphs?

wpDiscuz

Advertisement

Telling you what the others don't. FREE for 21 days.