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Federal Politics 2013-

May 27, 2014

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Essential Research again fails to record evidence of a budget backlash on voting intention, but finds Tony Abbott is now considered out of touch, untrustworthy, and less good in a crisis.

The regular weekly Essential Research is the only new national poll this week following last week’s post-budget deluge, and true to the pollster’s form it fails to reflect a big shift evident elsewhere. Labor’s two-party preferred lead is at 52-48 for a fourth consecutive week, and it is fact down a point on the primary vote to 39%, with the Coalition steady on 40%, the Greens up one to 9% and Palmer United steady on 5%. Also featured are semi-regular questions on leaders’ attributes, finding a sharp decline in Tony Abbott’s standing since six weeks ago, including an 11 point rise on “out of touch with ordinary people” to 67%, a 10-point drop on “good in a crisis” to 35% and an 11-point drop on “trustworthy” to 29%, while Bill Shorten has gone up in respondents’ estimations, enjoying nine-point lifts on “understands the problems facing Australia” (to 53%) and “a capable leader” (to 51%).

The poll also canvassed sources of influence on the major parties, finding the Coalition too influenced by property developers (53% too much to 18% not enough), mining companies (52% to 20%) and the media (44% to 24%). Labor’s worst ratings were for unions (47% to 24%) and the media (46% to 18%), and it too scored a net negative rating on property developers (39% to 21%). Both parties were deemed most insufficiently responsive to students, welfare groups and average citizens (in last place for both), with employer groups also in the mix for Labor. Other findings show strong opposition to increasing the GST to 12% (32% support to 58% oppose) or expanding it to cover fresh fruit and vegetables (18% support to 75% oppose); 51% concerned about Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations being closed to the public and the media against 37% not concerned; 37% supporting an agreement to resettle refugees in Cambodia versus 39% opposed; and only 5% thinking the government should be funding religious chaplains only, with 17% opting for secular social workers only and 37% opting for both.

Another poll nugget emerged yesterday courtesy of the Construction Mining Forestry and Energy Union, which produced a UMR Research poll of 1000 respondents in the marginal seats of La Trobe in Victoria, Forde in Queensland and Lindsay in New South Wales, respectively showing results of 60-40 to Labor (a swing of 14%), 58-42 to Labor (12.4%) and 50-50 (3%).

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1627 comments

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victoria
Guest
Bushfire Bill
Guest

I know I’ve made “Fat” jokes about Joe Hockey, but did I just hear Joe Hockey make a “Fat” joke about Clive Palmer?

(on ABC-24… “He looks like he has more than one meal a night…”)

guytaur
Guest

sceptic

Yes looks like it. Missed William’s post.

sceptic
Guest

Is there a new PB thread?

victoria
Guest

Okay so Clive is saying ghat Truffles hasnt changed his budget views

guytaur
Guest

“@latikambourke: Clive Palmer – dinner with Malcolm Turnbull wasn’t an official discussion. Says Libs have a ‘charismatic’ leader in @TonyAbbottMHR(Mocking)”

guytaur
Guest

“@latikambourke: Clive Palmer says he and Martin Parkinson talked about Princeton and the IMF.”

meher baba
Guest
Is the world going mad? Is Christopher Pyne a Labor plant in the heart of the government? Yesterday Tony Windsor metaphorically describes the Abbott government as grave robbers and then Pyne jumps up and merrily confirms that they are in a literal sense. If I were trying to advise this mob (and, frankly, they couldn’t pay me enough) I would tell them that the time has well and truly come to abandon a crash through or crash strategy. They need to curl up into a ball and make themselves a very small target. All they need right now to complete… Read more »
guytaur
Guest

“@latikambourke: Clive Palmer says they talked ‘chopstick diplomacy’ at dinner with @TurnbullMalcolm and Treasury Sec Martin Parkinson last night.”

guytaur
Guest

Palmer on 24 now talking dinner

guytaur
Guest

victoria

Well you saw my tabloid style speculation on reasons for that dinner.

The serious part is I think Palmer is looking after himself and if he can foster Liberal division he would be pleased

victoria
Guest

guytaur

As you know, i dont trust Clive. I will wait and see what comes out of his meeting with Truffles

guytaur
Guest

victoria

I have no complaints about Labor strategy. An example is Clive Palmer not embarrassed by having his photo splashed across the tabloids in a meeting

victoria
Guest

guytuar

Last night Kate Ellis was interviewed by Richo on Sky channel re the education changes.

As in QT yesterday, Labor is focussing on this issue.

victoria
Guest

Oh and i thought Pyne was the minister charged with getting Palmer on side?

victoria
Guest

Morning all

So Palmer had a little dinner with Truffles and the head of Treasury……..

guytaur
Guest

“@latikambourke: Govt’s @M_McCormackMP says the Government hasn’t broken ‘too many’ promises in #Budget2014.”

sceptic
Guest

More trouble for Abbott….

The NSW government has broken ranks with conservative counterparts in Canberra and the other states by declaring its strong support for the national renewable energy target.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/mike-baird-gives-backing-for-renewable-energy-target-20140528-394ri.html#ixzz33362ukwb

guytaur
Guest

@ReutersWorld: Why Japan and Australia are considering a submarine deal that could rattle #China: http://t.co/epoVQ58ezj

wpDiscuz