Menu lock

Queensland Politics

Jul 13, 2014

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll finds majority support for repeal of the carbon tax, but otherwise brings the Abbott government little cheer.

The Australian has come good with Newspoll a day earlier than we have recently been accustomed, and it has Labor’s two-party lead at 54-46 after an above-trend 55-45 result a fortnight ago. The primary vote has the Coalition up a point to 36%, Labor steady on 37% and the Greens down two to 11%. Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten are both unchanged on approval at 31% and 34% respectively, but Abbott is down two points on disapproval to 60% while Shorten is up two to 43%. The poll also finds 53% want the carbon tax repealed, versus 35% who want it retained. Preferred prime minister ratings to follow shortly (UPDATE: Abbott narrows the gap from 44-34 to 41-36). Hat-tip: GhostWhoVotes.

Also worth noting that the Courier-Mail is unrolling Galaxy results from the Queensland state seats of Pumicestone, Gaven, Hervey Bay and Maroochydore, which I presume to be automated phone polls from samples of about 550. The only numbers available at this point are for Pumicestone, where the Liberal National Party is credited with at 52-48 lead in a seat it holds on a margin of 12.1%. Primary votes are 41% for the LNP, 37% for Labor and 13% for Palmer United. More to follow here presumably as well.

UPDATE (Galaxy Queensland electorate polls: Queensland poll results from the Courier-Mail here, showing the LNP leading 56-44 in Gaven, 54-46 in Hervey Bay and 58-42 in Maroochydore, for respective swings of 13.1%, 17.7% and 12.9%. Pumicestone was in Labor’s hands prior to the 2012 election, Gaven and Hervey Bay were gained by the LNP in 2009, and Maroochydore has consistently been conservative. The current member for Gaven is Alex Douglas, who since the last election has thrown his lot in with Palmer United. The poll result is not encouraging for him, showing Palmer United third placed in Gaven with 21% to 40% for the LNP and 29% for Labor.

UPDATE 2 (UMR Research electorate polls): Mark Kenny of the Sydney Morning Herald also relates results from robo-polling conducted for the National Tertiary Education Union by UMR Research, chiefly noted as Labor’s internal pollster, encompassing 23,176 respondents over 23 electorates. The overall picture of a double-digit swing to Labor is hard to credit, but it is nonetheless interesting to learn of a particularly heavy swing against Christopher Pyne in his Adelaide seat of Sturt, and that the best net approval ratings of the incumbents in the electorates polled were recorded by Darren Chester (Nationals, Gippsland), Alannah MacTiernan (Labor, Perth), Kate Ellis (Labor, Adelaide), Anna Burke (Labor, Chisholm) and Matt Thistlethwaite (Labor, Kingsford Smith). FURTHER UPDATE: The NTEU has published the full set of results here, and they show Labor ahead in every single electorate targeted, including such unlikely prospects as Dunkley and Gippsland.

UPDATE 3 (Morgan): This fortnight’s Morgan result, combining its last two weekends of face-to-face and SMS polling, has the Coalition losing further ground with a one point drop on the primary vote to 34% and a two point increase for Labor to 38.5%, while the Greens and Palmer United are respectively down and up half a point, to 11.5% and 7.5%. Using preference flows from the previous election, Labor’s lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 56-44. However, the Coalition gains slightly on respondent-allocated two-party preferred, on which it now trails 56.5-43.5 rather than 57.5-42.5,

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

986 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Diogenes
Guest

bemused

Baden-Clay switched connected his mobile phone to his charger at 2am (evidently your phone records that), four hours after he said he went to sleep.

jules
Guest

bemused @ 695

re the tax thing … I have a friend whose old man worked in the ATO. When a particular soft drink manufacturer wanted to open a factory in Australia and receive substantial tax benefits/incentives to do so they used the income generated by the factory and the tax paid by workers as a reason for their claim. They said they’d get better results overseas – ie cheaper production but were prepared to open the factory here if they got tax concessions.

The govt’ agreed’ much’ to old mate’s dad’s unhappiness’.

deblonay
Guest

I understand from a friend who lives in Adelaise the “boots” issue has been big on the media there ,and it has been here too
in a way such small issues are something many peole can handle better than big ones…but all bad news for Abbott

deblonay
Guest
Re Murdoch’s power _______________ While I agree with all the comments on The Monster,I suspect that we will have to wait,hopefully, on the Angel of Death to solve the problem and that may happen…..none of his children have the same drive or stature as Rupert Murdoch…and perhaps like the Packers none of the offspring had much time or talent for the politics beloved of father /.grandfather…and the present head honcho seems more interested in his gambling/casino empire .which keeps him out of politics…His grandfather and father both lived for the power that media moguls often enjoy and wield…like Black and… Read more »
slothy
Guest
[In clinical trials and public use, there have been cases where antidepressant users have thought about, attempted or committed suicide] Just like depressed people do! drugwatch.com is a front for a large American legal firm, The Peterson Firm, whose main business is running class actions against pharmaceutical companies. Claims that antidepressants, particularly SSRIs cause people to kill themselves aren’t supported by the evidence. If they were a significant cause of suicide then rates should have begun to climb dramatically after these drugs became available in the late 1980s. Instead they have either fallen or remained the same. When the FDA… Read more »
JimmyDoyle
Guest

Well it’s not like anyone needed more proof that Morrison is an Orwellian Fascist, but still…

http://www.theage.com.au/national/public-service/border-forces-menacing-logo-a-lesson-in-getting-design-right-says-its-creator-20140715-zt7pk.html

guytaur
Guest

Shorten sorry I dropped the O

poroti
Guest

guytaur

A dozen ministers have been given the royal order of the boot by “Dave” .Apparently old white guys feature very prominently on the list.

guytaur
Guest

mh

You saying Credlin is a dementor?

guytaur
Guest

Nice to see Shrten keen on doing his job

bemused
Guest

BK@968

bemused
I was out at RM WIlliams’ factory early this year and was told that the Army is delighted with the product AND SERVICE they are getting.
As for DMO I reckon purchase price alone would be the deterrminant.

I hate these purchasing procedures which are simply a quest to see who can provide the least for the least amount of money while appearing to meet requirements.

Rossmcg
Guest

Poroti

Lying no problem for Tories. It is in their DNA.

mikehilliard
Guest

poroti

I understand that as a prerequisite for the Abbott front bench you have your soul sucked out by Credlin.

poroti
Guest

The Fact Check Truzzz bored us with was on a very particular and single point.

[return of old-style commissions for financial advisers]

guytaur
Guest

ICYMI

“@WilliamJHague: Tonight I am standing down as Foreign Secretary after 4 years to serve as Leader of the House of Commons”

“@WilliamJHague: I will not stand as an MP in the May 2015 General Election, after 26 years as an MP”

triton
Guest

Centre@967

Now Robb having a shouting match on the carbon tax…

I’m switching channels, I want to enjoy my coffee with a cup cake/strawb icing

You can hop over to the Senate and listen to Senator Abetz.

poroti
Guest

Watching Robb I again wonder what it must do to the soul to, as a job, repeatedly stand up and tell what you must know are the most blatant of lies.

BK
Guest

bemused
I was out at RM WIlliams’ factory early this year and was told that the Army is delighted with the product AND SERVICE they are getting.
As for DMO I reckon purchase price alone would be the deterrminant.

Centre
Guest

Now Robb having a shouting match on the carbon tax…

I’m switching channels, I want to enjoy my coffee with a cup cake/strawb icing 😀

wpDiscuz