Menu lock

Federal Politics 2013-

Jul 15, 2014

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

Little change in the latest Essential Research, with other polls reporting this week likewise bouncing around within the margin of error.

The latest fortnightly rolling average from Essential Research has the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 38%, but is in all other respects unchanged on last week with Labor on 40%, the Greens on 9%, Palmer United on 6% and two-party preferred at 53-47 in favour of Labor. Other questions:

• Thirty-seven per cent of respondents said they trusted financial planners to provide independent and appropriate advice versus 49% with little or no trust, and 73% a royal commission into banks and financial planning with only 11% opposed.

• On coal seam gas mining, 22% want a complete ban, 32% want restrictions on farm land, and only 12% think current regulation sufficient.

• The existing renewable energy target is supported by 36% of respondents, with 29% thinking it too low and only 13% too high.

• Fifty-two per cent approve of Australia having closer defence links with Japan, versus 18% who disapprove. Five per cent rate relations with Japan more important than China versus 15% for vice-versa, while 62% rate them as equally important.

A quick run through the other polling of the past few days:

• Newspoll in The Australian had Labor leading 54-46, down from 55-45 a fortnight ago, from primary votes of 36% for the Coalition (up one), 37% for Labor (steady) and 11% for the Greens (down two).

Roy Morgan’s fortnightly result had the Coalition down one to 34%, Labor up two to 38.5%, the Greens down half a point to 11.5%, and Palmer United up half a point to 7.5%. Labor’s lead is up from 54.5-45.5 to 56-44 using preference flows from the previous election, but the Coalition gains slightly on respondent-allocated two-party preferred, with Labor’s lead down from 57.5-42.5 to 56.5-43.5.

• The National Tertiary Education Union published UMR Research robo-polling of 23 marginal electorates showing Labor set to clean up in the lot, including Christopher Pyne’s seat of Sturt. Kevin Bonham has his doubts.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

886 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Boerwar
Guest

William

[Quiz time! Going on median family income, which always seems to me the measure that best compares like with like, what is Australia’s wealthiest state electorate?]

I am curious about Australia’s ten least wealthy state electorates.

Raaraa
Guest

I think Hawthorn is among the top up there but can’t be too sure it’s there.

Also admittedly, the only reason why Triple J is on top of my list is that at least I can avoid that “Frank Waler, National Tiles” ad.

Back in Brisbane in my uni days, I listen to the local community radio on AM, Switch, which I believe is one of the few youth radio stations on the AM. I got reminded of this when I was listening to local 774 and a work mate went and said, “What are you, some old man?”

I resent that remark.

mari
Guest

wondered about the mining electorates, but wonder how much longer??? Night Night William only 6.50pm here and the sun will be up for another 3 hours yet

mari
Guest

William

Put me out of my misery then what is it? Will rush out and buy a house as soon as I get back to Australia 😀 Then I will let you go to bed!!! Did all my guesses without resorting to the internet either

Otiose
Guest

Nett_NEWS++™ by @Otiose94 http://bit.ly/1nAtjp1 #Budget2014, #JoHo, Man on as Ledge, by @rowe_david © http://bit.ly/1nwYNrV

mari
Guest

Final one

Kew in Victoria I think is state Kooyong is Federal???

mari
Guest

As most of my old bosses lived in Davidson will go for that one “grin”

mari
Guest

William

My final guess Bradfield?

mari
Guest

William

Vaucluse then ?

mari
Guest

William

Wentworth Malcolm Turnbull’s seat?

wpDiscuz