Menu lock

Federal Politics 2013-

Jul 22, 2014

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

A slight shift to the Coalition in this week's Essential Research, which also finds the recent Senate turmoil has changed very few minds about the utility of minor parties holding the balance of power.

This week’s Essential Research result ticks back a point to the Coalition on two-party preferred, who now trail by 52-48, from primary votes of 39% for both the Coalition and Labor (respectively up one and down one), with the Greens and Palmer United steady on 9% and 6%. Other findings:

• Perceptions of the Senate balance of power have not changed since last year, with 32% thinking it best when the government has a majority (up one), 25% favouring independents and minor parties holding the balance of power (up one), 8% preferring the opposition holding the balance of power (down two), 7% saying it doesn’t matter, and 28% saying they don’t know.

• Perceptions of the present situation are likewise unchanged on immediately after the election, with 36% thinking the micro-parties good for democracy (steady), 28% bad (up two) and 15% opting for makes no difference (down two).

• Twenty-seven per cent would sooner the Greens hold the balance of power versus 22% for Palmer United, with 34% saying no difference.

Other inquiries relate to respondents’ retirement and superannuation arrangements. Another polling nugget to emerge yesterday was a ReachTEL result commissioned by the Electrical Trades Union showing Queensland Treasurer Tim Nicholls facing a 13% swing in his affluent Brisbane seat of Clayfield, but nonetheless leading 57-43 on two-party preferred.

UPDATE (ReachTEL): The Seven Network this evening brings us a ReachTEL automated phone poll of national voting intention, as it does one a month or so, conducted to gauge reaction to Tony Abbott’s handling of the MH17 disaster. The poll shows a slight tick to the Coalition, which now trails 52-48 from primary votes of 36% for the Liberals, apparently not including the Coalition (up one); 37% for Labor (down one); 10% for the Greens (steady); and 8% for Palmer United (up one). Abbott scores strong ratings for his handling of MH17, being rated very good or good by 51%, satisfactory by 26% and poor or very poor by 23%.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

835 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

The GG going to the Netherlands was a good thing. Out of Abbott’s desire to grandstand, some accidental good sometimes happens.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

I can but only compare Abbott’s sociopathic handling of this tragedy with how PMJG would have acted and spoken.
Abbott tries to fake something he does not have and Julia Gillard had in spades, empathy.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Abbott is reported to write his own speeches. After his latest ham-fisted insensitive effort, I do not doubt it. It reflects his complete inability to emphasise with the suffering of others. When he wants to make a point he makes it, and if people are hurt in the process, well, ‘shit happens’.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Psyclaw, on a head of state to head of state invitation level I too have no issue with Cosgrove attending, and he may well have given comfort to the bereaved.

My objection was the fantasy or arrogance as expressed on the ABC that Abbott had any authority to direct him to do so.

BlindFreddy
Guest

Fulvio

When I first heard of GG Cosgrove going to Netherlands this morning I treated it with some derision.

However after just watching the reception of victims ceremony as the first caskets arrived from Ukraine, and seeing the formality and dignity of it, including our GG being there with many other dignitaries including the King and Queen of Netherlands, I have changed my mind.

This ceremony was highly formal, each of the caskets was unloaded separately and given utmost respect and recognition. In normal times the event would appear to have required months of organisation.

It would appear to me that GG Cosgrove was there by formal invitation to represent Australia. IMHO even as an ardent disrespecter of Abbott, it was most fitting that he was there.

I have absolutely no doubt that families of Australian victims would have been much comforted by what they will/did see in this reception ceremony. This was one event that cannot be criticised as a politicisation of the MH17 tragedy by Abbott.

In fact the “polish” which characterised the welcome back to Netherlands of the victims defines it as an event which Abbott and his mob played no role in organising. It was too appropriate, too warm, too empathic, too respectful and thus beyond any capacity of the Abbotteers.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

And the Queen’s race horse tested positive for drugs.

What are the chances of her being charged?

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

I heard on ABC radio this morning that Abbott had requested the Governor General to go somewhere overseas to put the Australian Government’s position on something or other.

Where does he get off giving directions to the GG? Or even “requests” of this sort for that matter?

Otiose
Guest

Nett_NEWS++™ by @Otiose94 http://bit.ly/1nAtjp1 #Economics, #JoHo, Abridged by @rowe_david © http://bit.ly/1rKz8RQ

imacca
Guest

Interesting chart.

comment image:large

probably out of date by now though.

guytaur
Guest

Good.night

Rossmore
Guest

Slothy my huge apology, a mistake on my part, it was the other military Angus, Angus Campbell in Delhi.

Still distasteful that these senior military types are now routinely dragged into these non-military issues. It’s as if the pollies need the cloak of the military to give credence to their position….

Pegasus
Guest

Castan Centre for Human Rights Law – The High Court’s Sri Lanka asylum seeker case: the legal issues

http://castancentre.com/2014/07/09/2543/
[The case raises a range of legal questions. These go to the legality of the Australian Government’s policy towards, and treatment of, asylum seekers. They also go to broader questions concerning the relationship between Australian domestic law and international law.

When it comes to dealing with asylum seekers, the Australian Government has three principal sources of power.]

imacca
Guest

[ Age online imacca. ]

Sad. But i guess not that surprising given the people in the area. There will be a lot of them pretty much hard cases who dont give a toss and who have guns. Although there are obviously decent people there too as shown by the locals who helped search for bodies.

slothy
Guest

Rossmore @ 819

Houston was in India?

imacca
Guest

[ I think you’re a bit too quick to rule out Her Majesty having questions to answer, Steve. ]

And it was mentioned under the English Test team list after all.

Rossmore
Guest

Nice try but no cigar Scott.

http://www.smh.com.au/world/delhi-offers-little-comfort-to-morrisons-boat-mission-20140723-zw2wr.html

Is it me, or isn’t there something a bit distasteful about Angus Houston sitting with Morrison in Delhi one day trying to organize the forced repatriation of 150 asylum seekers and the next day parading around in Ukraine telling the Ukrainians what to do about MH17?

Personally, whatever the merits of each case I would have preferred some separation between these roles. But perhaps I’m a bit old fashioned.

Kevin Bonham
Guest

http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com.au/2014/07/poll-roundup-brief-history-of-disaster.html

Poll Roundup: A Brief History Of Disaster Bounces. Aggregate 53.1 to ALP (-0.6 from last week)

taylormade
Guest

Age online imacca.

guytaur
Guest

On the HC AS Case. I think the government will be in for a rude shock if they are relying on them being outside the territory.

As soon as the AS are on board an Australian government ship that is Australian Territory with the captain exercising Australian Maritime law.

Just as we saw with the Japanese Whaling ships taking Sea Shepherd activists to Tokyo.

So I very much doubt that outside our territory will work

wpDiscuz