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Federal Election 2016

Jul 26, 2014

Seat of the week: Goldstein

Covering established areas of southern coastal Melbourne, the electorate of Goldstein doesn't swing much, and has provided a safe base for Andrew Robb's parliamentary career since 2004.

Created with the expansion of parliament in 1984, Goldstein covers coastal southern Melbourne starting from Brighton, located about 10 kilometres from the city centre, and proceeding southwards through Hampton, Sandringham and Black Rock to Beamaris. The northern part of the electorate extends inland beyond the Nepean Highway to accommodate Caulfield South, Bentleigh and surrounding suburbs. The more inland areas are naturally marginal, but the affluence of the coastal suburbs has kept the seat in Liberal hands by stable margins ranging from 5.5% in 1993 to a new high of 11.0% in 2013.

Blue and red numbers respectively indicate size of two-party majorities for Liberal and Labor. Click for larger image. Map boundaries courtesy of Ben Raue at The Tally Room.

The area now covered by Goldstein was accommodated by the electorate of Balaclava in the years immediately after federation, and then by the new seat of Henty when Balaclava was pushed northwards by a redistribution in 1913. Brighton was put back into Balaclava after 1937, and the new seat of Higinbotham covered the remainder after parliament was expanded in 1949. When Higinbotham was abolished in 1969, the area was divided between Balaclava, Henty and the new seats of Hotham and Isaacs. Beaumaris and Black Rock remained in Isaacs after Goldstein was created in 1984, at which time the new electorate extended northwards to St Kilda East. It assumed a more familiar form when it absorbed Beaumaris in the redistribution of 1996, which greatly reduced the Liberals’ competitiveness in Isaacs.

The various electorates which dominated the modern area of Goldstein were at all times in conservative hands, with the partial exception of Labor’s win in Isaacs at the 1974 election. Don Chipp held Higinbotham for the Liberals from 1960 to 1969, at which time he moved to the new seat of Hotham. Balaclava and then Goldstein were held from 1974 to 1990 by Ian Macphee, who emerged as the figurehead of the party’s moderates. Macphee was ultimately defeated for preselection ahead of the 1990 election by David Kemp, an intellectual leader of the party’s rising neo-liberal tendency, an event that provided a catalyst for Andrew Peacock’s successful challenge to John Howard’s leadership in May 1989. Kemp went on to serve in the Howard cabinet from October 1997 until his retirement at the 2004 election, as Education Minister until 2001 and Environment Minister thereafter.

Goldstein has since been held by Andrew Robb, a former Liberal Party federal director who had long been spoken of as a potential candidate for safe seats in New South Wales, where he had lived for two decades. However, Robb had originally hailed from Victoria, having been raised in a working-class Catholic family that supported the Democratic Labor Party. He came to the Liberal Party via student politics and a job at the newly established National Farmers Federation, which was an assertive voice for labour market deregulation during his period as executive director after 1985. As federal director of the Liberal Party, Robb oversaw the 1990, 1993 and 1996 election campaigns, after which he set up the marketing company Acxiom for Kerry Packer. His first term in parliament was the last of the Howard government, in which he was promoted to parliamentary secretary in January 2006 and thence to the outer ministry as Vocational and Further Education Minister in January 2007.

Robb nominated for the deputy leadership after the 2007 election, but was defeated by Julie Bishop. He instead became Shadow Foreign Affairs Minister, and was briefly discussed as a leadership candidate when Malcolm Turnbull was embroiled in the “Utegate” affair in the middle of 2009. Shortly afterwards he made the surprise announcement that he was moving to the back bench owing to a depressive illness. He returned to the front bench in the finance portfolio in March 2010, from which he was resassigned to trade and investment after the 2013 election victory.

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845 comments

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Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

very tired tonight, I just drove from Lizzie’s place to
warnabool and we are staying at a dog friendly B and B for the night. It was a long drive so I am saying nite dint let the bedbugs bite.\\

bug1
Guest

If he cant get AFP in there, Abbott should threaten to send Crocodile Dundee in to get the remains of MH17.
Im sure his mate Rupert has some contacts over there to sell the story.

slothy
Guest

confessions @ 832

[But how can this be only hours after ABbott uses yet another staged media appearance to inform Australians that we’d be sending AFP officers to the site?

Wasn’t the necessary ground work done wrt the dangers of the mission before making an announcement?]

Very good question. At 7am this morning breakfast TV was showing footage of many civilians fleeing Donetsk because the Ukrainian army had fought its way to the outskirts of the city. That was more than 15 hours ago. The offensive would have begun perhaps 24 hours ago

Fran Barlow
Guest
DL [The media of course also has an ethical duty to not pay too much attention to the these recent arrivals, lest their MO be shared in the region and encourage more boats, which is in no-one’s interests, except maybe lawyers’.] This is a bizarre claim on a number of grounds. 1. It’s not an ethical duty of the media to become part of the existing regime’s policy narrative — well not in a country said to have n accountable government. If the media can be said to have an ethical duty at all, then that duty lies in offering… Read more »
pedant
Guest

To be blunt, Mr Abbott needed MH17 to have been brought down by Al Qaeda or one of its affiliates to get enduring political benefit. What happened is a complete tragedy, but one which really can’t be made to resonate with any of the more enduring recent themes of Australian politics.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Margin of error? 🙂

Pegasus
Guest
Centre [So all the unemployed will need to work for the dole? Great news…I’m sure the Greens will be ecstatic.] Reported in the msm no less. The Greens Party support evidence-based policies. [The Greens has condemned plans by the federal government to force all jobseekers to work for the dole, saying there’s nothing to prove it’s effective. Greens family and community spokeswoman Rachel Siewert says in a statement today the tough new rules fail to address barriers to employment such as lack of available jobs and training or discrimination. Ms Siewert says the announcement is all about punishing people and… Read more »
guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #Galaxy Poll 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 48 (+1) ALP 52 (-1) #auspol”

Darn
Guest

[gloryconsequence
Posted Sunday, July 27, 2014 at 10:09 pm | PERMALINK
Newspoll will report a big shift. I predict 50-50, Abbott’s dissatisfaction down and level on PPM.
]

It seems we can always depend on you Glory to put the worst possible slant on everything. What are you predicting for the polls after all this blows over and Abbott has to get back to the real world of trying to get his despised budget through the senate.

Rex Douglas
Guest

confessions #832

The Govts carrier pidgeons have a long way to travel.

zoomster
Guest

As I’ve said before, if they bring in a 40 jobs a month requirement, I’ll be actively encouraging anyone in that position to apply for jobs at MPs electorate offices.

Just Me
Guest

[783
confessions

>There’s no point worrying about who might come to your funeral — by definition, you will be dead!

A funeral isn’t for the person who’s dead – they’re dead. It’s for the people left behind.]

The dead don’t need reminding.

confessions
Guest

[ HOPES Australian police would be deployed to the MH17 crash site are on ice again tonight after the mission leaders said it was too dangerous.]

Okay, so maybe it’s an evolving story.

But how can this be only hours after ABbott uses yet another staged media appearance to inform Australians that we’d be sending AFP officers to the site?

Wasn’t the necessary ground work done wrt the dangers of the mission before making an announcement?

What is going on?

guytaur
Guest

DL

That may apply to instructions received from Sauron for some. Not for the rest. They report facts and let the chips fall where they may.

Most complaints about MSM here are when they do not do that,

Darren Laver
Guest

The media of course also has an ethical duty to not pay too much attention to the these recent arrivals, lest their MO be shared in the region and encourage more boats, which is in no-one’s interests, except maybe lawyers’.

Rossmcg
Guest

Guytaur

As far as Morrison is concerned the asylum seekers are POWs. Prisoners taken in the war on people smugglers.

Bushfire Bill
Guest

From the Daily Telegraph:

[Aussie bid to reach MH17 stalls
HOPES Australian police would be deployed to the MH17 crash site are on ice again tonight after the mission leaders said it was too dangerous.]

Couldn’t they just shoot their way in, grab the bodies and then be helivacked to a waiting RAAF C-17, thence to the nearest “Bring Them Home” military node in time for tomorrow’s “We are lucky to have Tony Abbott as our Prime Minister” (by Simon Benson) headlines?

zoidlord
Guest

A Labor policy working?

Wonder if Libs will claim as their own?

Retweeted by Graeme Innes
Fiona Anderson ‏@NDISQld 4h

#NDIS to generate 13,000 new jobs in Qld. Premier Newman says “disability sector creating the jobs of the future” http://statements.qld.gov.au/Statement/2014/7/27/13000-new-disability-sector-jobs-in-queensland

guytaur
Guest

DL

It is in the public interest to break the secrecy of Abbott to keep facts from the public they have a right to know,

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