Menu lock

Federal Politics 2013-

Aug 11, 2014

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest fortnightly Newspoll records a shift in the Coalition's favour, including a primary vote improvement that exceeds the error margin.

Newspoll has given the Coalition its best result since early April, with Labor’s lead at 52-48 from primary votes of 40% for the Coalition (up four), 34% for Labor (down two) and 13% for the Greens (up one). This amounts to a two-point shift to the Coalition’s favour on two-party preferred – although it should be noted that last fortnight’s result was above trend, whereas this one is right on it. Tony Abbott’s 41-37 lead as preferred prime minister puts him ahead of Bill Shorten for the first time since early May, the result a fortnight ago having been 38-38. This reflects a worsening in Shorten’s personal ratings, with approval down two to 36% and disapproval up three to 44%, rather than an improvement in Abbott’s, which are little changed at 36% (steady) and 54% (up one).

Also out today was a result from Roy Morgan that supports the proposition that Newspoll’s fluctuations are largely statistical noise. Both major parties are down fractionally on the primary vote, the Coalition by half a point to 37.5% and Labor by one to 38%, with the Greens and Palmer United both gaining half a point to 11% and 5.5% respectively. An improvement in Labor’s respondent-allocated preferences gives them an impressive headline lead of 56-44 on two-party preferred, up from 54.5-45.5 a fortnight ago, but the two-party result based on preference flows from the previous election is unchanged at 54-46.

UPDATE (Essential Research): Also a quiet result from Essential Research, which has the major parties steady on 41% for the Coalition, 39% for Labor and 51-49 to Labor on two-party preferred. The only change is that the Greens are down a point to 8%, and Palmer United up one to 5%. We also get Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which are the first to record Tony Abbott’s MH17 bounce – up three on approval to 37% and down four on disapproval to 54%, and back in front on preferred prime minister for the first time since April at 37-36, compared with a 37-34 deficit last time. Bill Shorten’s personal ratings are little changed, his approval down two to 34% and disapproval up one to 40%.

The most interesting finding from the supplementary questions is that 51% oppose the government’s internet surveillance proposals with only 39% in support, while 68% profess little or no trust in the government and ISPs to protect the stored information from abuse. The survey also asked respondents to rank a series of environmental issues as either important or not important, and while all scored strongly, it’s perhaps curious to note that climate change scored lowest at 71% important and 27% not important, with protecting the Great Barrier Reef highest at 91% and 7%. Respondents were also asked to assess the government’s record on asylum seekers according to a range of criteria, with pleasing results for the government in that responsible and fair (along with “too secretive” and “just playing politics”) topped the list at 45%, while “too hard” and “too soft” were bottom at 29% and 26%.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

1139 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
Fran Barlow
Guest

BBP

[It was only after the scandal that it became a Belgian colony – about 1908 the same time as Leopold’s death. As events were to show in 1960, the Belgians didn’t do colonialism well.]

Hardly anybody does do colonialism well. No colonising state goes in with good intentions, and those from the colonising state who have good intentions rarely grasp that their good intentions are misconceived. Anyone who does get what’s wrong with their good intentions and develops more culturally apt and practicable ideas finds that the colonising state has no or little interest in supporting them.

sceptic
Guest

It seems soooo long ago, April 2014, didn’t Bruce Baird seek & receive assurance form LNP party room…that there were NO MORE sticky / corrupt fingers amongst them.
Given the % of North Coast LNP pollies that are corrupt Bruce must be praying that ICAC don’t open another lead out of Newcastle

Surly he should resign his & all minsters commissions & call in the administrators till the March election, given it can’t be held early… ether that or call a by- election for all NSW seats now.

victoria
Guest

1121
mikehilliard
Posted Thursday, August 14, 2014 at 2:16 pm | PERMALINK
Only those who have been close to a person addicted to ice can fully appreciate what it does to them. I have nothing but pity.

Agreed. It breaks my heart

imacca
Guest

So, with those pesky Ruski’s putting our Mesma in her place, what are the odds of big bad Vlad finding that he has more important things to do than come to Australia when the G20 rolls around??

Or will he come just to make Abbott and Co, really squirm?? 🙂

Bushfire Bill
Guest

Ctar1,

[It seems more like a bowling alley than a Commission of inquiry.]

:LOL:

jules
Guest

As far as a Federal ICAC goes there is a petition at Change.org calling for the establishment of something along those lines. (There may be a couple of similar petitions at Change.org set up by different people, sign ’em all I reckon.)

I’ve got a feeling its been posted here before but if it hasn’t or you haven’t seen and signed it here is the link.

http://www.change.org/en-AU/petitions/tony-abbott-and-bill-shorten-immediately-establish-a-federal-anti-corruption-watchdog

deblonay
Guest

A Euro site looks at the way the US having used Maliki in Iraq… decides that now that he is being uncoperative they have lined up a replacement ,…given Maliki’s disasterous sectarian polices which have reduced Baghdad to crisis again

The article charts a similar course in other US colonies where the puppet ruler has gone off the rails ,and Washington suddenly decided he is a very bad man ,and not the clever leader that they said he was earlier in the operation

http://www.moonofalabama.org/

CTar1
Guest

deb

[ made a stong call for Australia to take up a neutral foreign policy]

Kennett! Bloody Hell.

If the Libs did this they’d have hunt down John Burton to do it.

CTar1
Guest

zoid

[Move over! Garry Edwards, Lib member for Swansea, has just joined the cross benches.]

It seems more like a bowling alley than a Commission of inquiry.

zoidlord
Guest

Retweeted by Possum Comitatus
Evan Keith Beaver ‏@evcricket 7m

Inspired RT @matttburke: Updated #icac map on the news that Swansea MP has stood aside. #nswpol

Clarke and Dawe – The Exceptions that Prove the Rules:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Md7_rhlVgoE

CTar1
Guest

shellbell

[and released after 2 years plus in jail pending trial.]

Somebody really deserves a proper ‘spanking’ on that one – suggest at least 2yrs ‘in’.

‘Outrageous’ comes to mind.

Go at it!

antonbruckner11
Guest

SHELLBELL – It is ridiculous that the High Court effectively said that corporations have political rights (they don’t) and therefore should be allowed to make political donations. What a perversion of the political system.

BK
Guest

No Austalian MH17 bodies to bring triumphantly home. A severely depleted supply of Iraqui Christians to bravely rescue.
Abbott’s supply of unicorns is severely compromised.

deblonay
Guest

Kennett makes significant statement on 3AW Melb today
____________________________
Kennett a regular on 3AW Thursday(and he loves it) today made a stong call for Australia to take up a neutral foreign policy
He said all our military excursions into the islamic world…Iraq/Afghanistan have been disasterous, and waste of young lives and much money

He surprised Mitchell who is still an old-fashioned militarist of a kind which sees all problems solved by in tervention
Not Kennett…He seems to have moved to the same sort of view that is held by Malcolm Fraser(not that THEY would be buddies!)
The callers that followed were without exception in his support whioch shows in a way how out of touch Abbott is with his vague talk of sending the military to Iraq….but it ashows the total rejection of policies of military in tervention Kennett also excepts the view that the Taliban will flood back into power after the US leaves Afg’stan..

The ALP would do well to take up this neutralist positiion…instead of taging along behind the Usual US policies
Fraser puts this view in his new book and Kennet obviously holds the same viewpoint

the times are a-changing ,when we have senior Libs speaking like this

zoidlord
Guest

@MH/1122

Nah, Gina’s $2 dollar a day rate.

Another one bites the dust?

Kate McClymont @Kate_McClymont · 8m

Move over! Garry Edwards, Lib member for Swansea, has just joined the cross benches.

Bushfire Bill
Guest

[Only those who have been close to a person addicted to ice can fully appreciate what it does to them. I have nothing but pity.]

Yep.

mikehilliard
Guest

zoidlord@1119

Are they on award rates?

mikehilliard
Guest

Only those who have been close to a person addicted to ice can fully appreciate what it does to them. I have nothing but pity.

shellbell
Guest

CTar1

I am looking at the case of a young woman arrested during a very large scale drug seizure.

Her case was she was doing office work while her recently acquired boyfriend, completely unknown to her, was dealing with drugs.

At a joint trial with a perpetrator, a case was hardly run against her and she was acquitted…and released after 2 years plus in jail pending trial.

wpDiscuz