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BludgerTrack: 50.8-49.2 to Labor

With the only new poll being a status quo result from Essential Research, it's a dull old week for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

The only new poll this week was the regular weekly finding from Essential Research, which produced an essentially status quo result. With earlier polling that was stronger for Labor washing out of the system, the latest reading on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a minor continuation of the trend to the Coalition, who are up 0.2% on two-party preferred. There is also a one-seat shift on the seat projection to the Coalition, who make a gain in New South Wales. For what it’s worth, this leaves the numbers looking very much as they did at the 2010 election. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

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BK
Guest

Section 2 . . .

The great Public Service redundancy ripoff.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/act-news/the-great-public-service-redundancy-ripoff-20140907-109ubn.html
This is a good article on the phantom menace of atheism.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/07/militant-atheism-religious-apologists-intellectuals
The Libs can fix this – less regulation.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/nursing-homes-too-slow-to-install-sprinklers-20140907-10djea.html
Morrison is making us much unloved by UN Human Rights Commissioners.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/new-un-human-rights-chief-attacks-australia-over-asylum-seeker-rights-violations-20140907-10dlkx.html
Aussies feel “tasered” by Abbott’s first year says Xenophon.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/aussies-feel-tasered-by-abbotts-year-xenophon-20140907-3f0vq.html
Child care support accessibility is suffering.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/childcare-support-needs-to-be-more-accessible-20140907-10dixb.html
Essendon now has to deal with some big decisions.
http://www.theage.com.au/afl/afl-news/essendon-has-to-deal-with-some-big-decisions-20140907-10dmfa.html
Andrew Dyson with Abbott’s first birthday cake.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/andrew-dyson-20090819-epqv.html
Ron Tandberg mourns the demise of the RET.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/ron-tandberg-20090910-fixc.html
David Rowe gives us plenty to see at Abbott’s debauched first birthday party.
http://www.afr.com/p/national/cartoon_gallery_david_rowe_1g8WHy9urgOIQrWQ0IrkdO

BK
Guest
Good “morning” Dawn Patrollers. Like an adolescent schoolgirl Abbott has several “best friends”. http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/china-takes-dig-over-closest-friend-remark-20140907-10dngp.html Jodi McKay has a simple ICAC “bucket list” – get rid of Eric! http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/jodi-mckay-calls-for-eric-roozendaal-to-be-expelled-from-the-labor-party-20140907-10dl5j.html The New Matilda on Abbott’s first year. https://newmatilda.com/2014/09/07/year-tony-credit-where-credit-due-and-theyre-running-lot-credit Abbott “absolutely clear” that federal Libs won’t get dragged into the ICAC donations scandal. I thought it already had been! http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/abbott-absolutely-confident-federal-libs-wont-be-dragged-into-donations-scandal-20140907-10dnib.html Calls grow for an inquiry into tax avoidance by international companies. http://www.smh.com.au/business/calls-grow-for-inquiry-into-tax-avoidance-tactics-of-multinationals-20140907-10bt88.html Lenore Taylor on Abbott protecting his vulnerable claim that he hasn’t broken any promises. What a dill! http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/07/tony-abbott-protects-a-vulnerable-claim-that-he-hasnt-broken-promises One would tend to believe Ashby’s story rather than Pyne’s. http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/christopher-pyne-allegedly-offered-to-help-find-james-ashby-a-lawyer-and-a-job-20140907-10dor0.html And The… Read more »
BK
Guest

Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
I’m afraid I have slept in this morning and am just getting to start the patrol. With what’s been going on here the last thee weeks it’s unsurprising that I spent 10 hours asleep last night.
Back later!

CTar1
Guest

Zoid

[You are quiet pathetic, arguing with a Disabled person GG.]

That GG is an aggressive ars%hole is established.

But you claiming this is worse,

Otiose
Guest

Nett_NEWS++™ by @Otiose94 http://bit.ly/1nAtjp1 8/9/14

CTar1
Guest

shellbell

[The Supreme Court/Federal Court building is one of the more stark examples of the concrete lined with sprayed asbestos period of construction.]

That’s it’s a bit so is a bit down to me.

The place nearly next door –

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbican

On the dust stuff, that is regrettable.

deblonay
Guest

and Swamprat…only last week Shorten admonished a WA Labor Senator for cricising Abbott’s “imperialist military”policy “

swamprat
Guest

The UK Labour Party’s response to an independent Scottland is to build Hadrians Wall II.

Such a stupid thugish pseudo leftist party it has become since Blair/Brown.

The ALP is not far behind. Dependent as it is on outrageous crumbs falling from the LNP table.

swamprat
Guest

lefty e

spme think proportional representation was imposed because it would preclude a SNP majority.

That backfired 🙂

swamprat
Guest

Raaraa

The current view of the SNP is to maintain the Queen like Canada and Australia.

But the SNP is not all Scottish independents by a long way.

The Unionsists make Alecsammon the evil splittist, but many Scots support independence who are not SNP.

lefty e
Guest
[The Scottish Parliament is more democratically elected, it sits in semi circle with largest party in the centre, it secretely elects the Presiding Officer (speaker), it has powerful all-party committes to draft legislation and meet in various places around Scotland (all recorded, open to public), it has avenues for all citizens to comment on draft legislation and recommend changes to legislation).] Interesting. All of which stems, of course, from having a proportional electoral system,which is what Westminster imposed on Edinburgh and Cardiff. Suspect the aim was keeping nationalists from getting easy majorities (as FPTP does in Westminster) but it had… Read more »
Tom the first and best
Guest
Tom the first and best

1832

Howard was trying to make changing the flag harder. Having legislation to require a plebiscite creates a political expectation of a plebiscite before the flag can be changed. This is particularly hard to overturn without a Senate majority because Senate minor parties that favour a new flag are more likely to insist on a plebiscite if there is legislation they can prevent from being removed that requires it.

A plebiscite always has the chance that it will produce a no change vote.

Raaraa
Guest

Not sure what Howard meant to achieve by legislating change by plebiscite.

If it was to stop future governments from drastically changing the flag, they’d need control of both houses or bipartisan support to bring about a change anyway. And one able to achieve that could easily have repealed that legislation.

On that note, good night.

deblonay
Guest
Scotland and Abbott ________________ Abbott’s mad statement that the Scot Nats aren’t the friends of freedom and liberty couldn’t have been further from the truth…but I quess it sprang from his anglocentric view of the world as well as his ignorance Perhaps the anger in Scotland over his comments has helped the growing trend of voters for an independent Scotland BTW …The British Labour Party Pensions Shadow Minister Rachel Reeves ,in a manner that you might expect from one of Tony Blair’s former mates,,says a Labour Govt in the UK will be even more strict on Pension Entitlements than the… Read more »
Raaraa
Guest

Sorry WB, didn’t meant to come across as demanding. Just thought there was a change of pattern.

Raaraa
Guest

Do the Royal Family really care whether Scotland go independent or not?

I mean even if they do, they wouldn’t make it public. After all the Queen will probably remain head of state if Scotland goes on its own? I could be wrong though.

Raaraa
Guest

Oh, heavens, we must never let the MPs go into hardship by falling so far behind! 😛

zoidlord
Guest

@swamprat/1826

Yeah I noticed that earlier, didn’t think of it much at the time though.

swamprat
Guest

I think bloody Murdoch is now supporting Scottish Independence…(though his one papaer in Scotland still hates the Jocks)

Look at the Pic of the Royal Family in the Times….

comment image

swamprat
Guest

Nicholas,

I think NZ was the first Commonwealth Country to abolish Westminster dualism in Parliament.

I know UK, Canada, Australia (and of cause the rebels in the USA) still find it lucrative.

zoidlord
Guest
Steve777
Guest
The flag is not in the constitution. The Howard government legislated that the flag could only be changed by a plebiscite. This was probably populist grandstanding as the current flag had bipartisan support and there was no momentum to change it. Of course, what was legislated can be unlegislated, but I think that the flag is one of those issues that frightens the horses. It should be left until Labor is safely back in office, has shredded Abbott’s legacy and has settled in as the natural party of government, which in my political memory (going back to the late Menzies… Read more »
zoidlord
Guest

At the time that UK Government doesn’t need, MPs going to get a pay rise:
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-29098334

“But speaking to the Sunday Telegraph in his first interview since taking on the job, Mr Boo said a review of evidence had shown that economic forecasts were improving while MPs’ salaries had “fallen behind” others working in comparable public sector roles. ”

Meanwhile millions are still looking for a job.

swamprat
Guest
Nicholas Yes, the Anglo-Saxon obsession with dualism is terrible for community resolving problems. Fundamental to preventing change is the archaic single member electorates which is handy in preventing new ideas being discused in Parliament because it is very hard for new ideas to get a look in, apart from local passions electing one MP on a sing;e issue. It ensures that once revolutionary parties like the Labor Party are gradually castrated to the ineffective bunch of me-too careerists that they have become. Instead of graciously vacating the space they squat in, they now fight tooth and nail to prevent a… Read more »
pedant
Guest

Raaraa: It’s by no means clear that a referendum is needed to change the flag. That’s simply in legislation, which might well be able to be repealed. (Of course, that could turn out to be politically challenging.)

Raaraa
Guest

No seat of the week this weekend?

Nicholas
Guest

I meant to write Westminster not Westminister.

Nicholas
Guest

swamprat

Interesting post. I hadn’t heard about the good democratic practices of the Scottish Parliament. If we were to design a set of political institutions for the express purpose of solving real-world problems in a free and peaceful society, it’s hard to imagine anyone coming up with the Westminister system. The best problem-solving processes promote collaboration, analysis, creativity, listening, humility, open-mindedness. The Westminister process is adversarial, egotistical, theatrical, didactic, self-indulgent, arrogant, insular, and narrow-minded.

The more I think about it, the more I believe a Yes victory in the Scottish referendum would be a deserved rebuff to a broken political system.

pedant
Guest

The Ashby/Slipper story won’t get much public traction for the simple reason that all the main protagonists were and are basically unsympathetic, unlikeable characters: “bottom dwelling slugs”, to use Joseph Alsop’s phrase, who seem rather to have deserved each other.

Raaraa
Guest

lefty e

We’ll still need a referendum to change the flag, and if we’re changing it, we might as well dump the Jack.

Of course, getting that referendum means our politicians will have to vote for one.

Steve777
Guest

Mr Pyne also allegedly threatened to call Mr Ashby a “pathological liar” if he told the media about their discussion and Mr Pyne’s offer of assistance.

Pot calling the kettle black.

swamprat
Guest
lefty e I think more important than what ‘rag’ you honour about Scottish independence is the deliberate decision by Scotland to create a Parliament and form of Government that is NOT westminster. It is a work in progress and cannot be realised until independence as the Scottish Parliament currently has very little wriggle room. The Scottish Parliament is more democratically elected, it sits in semi circle with largest party in the centre, it secretely elects the Presiding Officer (speaker), it has powerful all-party committes to draft legislation and meet in various places around Scotland (all recorded, open to public), it… Read more »
Steve777
Guest

Raaraa @1791: yes, Singapore – population at 5.4 million c.f. Scotland 5.3, economically successful, high standard of living, although not a proper democracy and no so good on human rights.

bemused
Guest
Jake@1808 Sorry to disappoint the collective genius of The Poll Bludger, but Ashby’s interview is bad news for the government. Sure, it’s not a silver bullet. It’s manageable. But it’s bad news nonetheless. It weighs nicely against Abbott’s current Commander in Chief strategy. There’s some synergy with the Kathy Jackson matter. It was broadcast to an audience that the ALP struggles to access. There were fresh assertions which are damaging to the government. Skilled politicians complement a slow and steady policy narrative with the merciless exploitation of these little opportunities. Well said. It was comical how the analysis and denunciation… Read more »
lefty e
Guest
[Scottish independence and consequent changes to “The Butchers’ Apron” will have no effect on the Australian flag debate. A lasting legacy of Howard is that the flag can not be changed without a plebiscite and the chances of that happening is close to zero.] I disagree. If Scotland leaves the Union, we’ll have a flag plebsicite inside 10 years. And thats even if the Brits keep the Jack. If they change it its game over. Its one thing to have another nation’s flag on your own. Once that nation no longer exists as previously constituted, the clock is ticking. Especially… Read more »
Jake
Guest

Sorry to disappoint the collective genius of The Poll Bludger, but Ashby’s interview is bad news for the government. Sure, it’s not a silver bullet. It’s manageable. But it’s bad news nonetheless. It weighs nicely against Abbott’s current Commander in Chief strategy. There’s some synergy with the Kathy Jackson matter. It was broadcast to an audience that the ALP struggles to access. There were fresh assertions which are damaging to the government.

Skilled politicians complement a slow and steady policy narrative with the merciless exploitation of these little opportunities.

lefty e
Guest

I beg to differ: this is pretty big. If the harrassment occurred it sounds a lot like corruption of witnesses or conspraicy to defeat justice. If it didnt its suborning perjury.

[Federal Education Minister Christopher Pyne allegedly offered to help find former speaker’s aide James Ashby a lawyer and a job if he made a claim of sexual harassment against speaker of the House of Representatives Peter Slipper.

Mr Pyne also allegedly threatened to call Mr Ashby a “pathological liar” if he told the media about their discussion and Mr Pyne’s offer of assistance.]

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/pyne-allegedly-offered-to-help-find-ashby-a-lawyer-and-a-job-20140907-10dor0.html#ixzz3CdLf2K17

guytaur
Guest

Night all

zoidlord
Guest

“I will give you more scotland! Just don’t leave me anymore!
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/sep/07/scotland-powers-george-osborne-support-parties

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

So Abbott is fire walled.

“There is no greater love than laying one’s political reputation down for another. You do know that I will always appreciate your sacrifice, Chris?”

“Don’t be so dramatic Tony! Those fools er voters in my electorate would still vote for me even if I was found on the Speakers Chair with a shaved goat, a pound of mango butter and me jocks down around me sox. Got any more wine?”

confessions
Guest

[We’ve seen it so many times now – the difficult, emotional interview or press conference that causes Troy Buswell to shed a tear.

Each one has followed a public indiscretion. On Wednesday afternoon, in the boardroom at Newspaper House, Mr Buswell would face the camera and the microphone for the last time.]
https://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/wa/a/24919752/troy-finds-local-deeds-overshadow-big-stage/

We can only hope it’s for the last time.

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 1m

#ReachTEL Poll QLD State 2 Party Preferred: LNP 51 (-1) ALP 49 (+1) #qldpol #auspol

guytaur
Guest

“@GhostWhoVotes: #ReachTEL Poll QLD State 2 Party Preferred: LNP 51 (-1) ALP 49 (+1) #qldpol #auspol”

swamprat
Guest

Ed Milibrand and border protection aginst the Scots:

https://twitter.com/Cuphook108/status/508396495478222848

confessions
Guest

The Age reports on 60 minutes report, but as with that program isn’t telling us anything we didn’t already know.
http://news.theage.com.au/breaking-news-national/slipper-staffer-says-pyne-offered-him-job-20140907-3f1m6.html

How this is explosive, dynamite, will rock the Abbott govt is anyone’s guess.

guytaur
Guest

@GuardianAus: James Ashby: Christopher Pyne knew about Peter Slipper allegations http://t.co/z9C8R8Ks1y

bemused
Guest

confessions@1794

SUNSHINE Coast member for Fisher and former Howard-era minister Mal Brough has conceded that he asked Peter Slipper’s former staffer James Ashby to procure copies of Mr Slipper’s diary.

It is the latest revelation in a 60 Minutes “special report” with journalist Liz Hayes interviewing Mr Slipper’s former advisor James Ashby.


http://www.gladstoneobserver.com.au/news/james-ashby-claims-sexual-advances-peter-slipper/2378667/

Only it’s not a revelation. We knew this before.

You knew of suspicion or allegations. Now it is admitted.

Spot the difference?

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