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Federal Politics 2013-

Jan 19, 2016

Essential Research: 51-49 to Coalition

Slight movement to Labor in Essential Research's first poll for the year, which also finds that Labor and Coalition voters feel almost exactly the same way about the US presidential election.

Essential Research has opened its account for 2016 with a poll that records a one-point shift away from the Coalition off what was already a very low base for them, relative to the other pollsters. Compared with the last poll in mid-December, the Coalition is down a point to 44%, while Labor and the Greens are steady on 35% and 10%. This being the first result of the year, the result encompasses 1011 respondents polled from Friday to Monday, rather than Essential’s usual two-week rolling average. Also featured are the monthly personal ratings for the leaders, which find Malcolm Turnbull down five on approval to 51% and up two on disapproval to 25%, while Bill Shorten is exactly unchanged at 27% and 47% respectively. Turnbull’s lead on preferred prime minister is down from 54-15 to 51-18.

The poll also has a straightforward question on favoured candidate to win the US presidential elections, offering four named options: Hillary Clinton on 40%, Donald Trump on 12%, Bernie Sanders on 6% and Ted Cruz on 2%, leaving 8% for “someone else” and 32% for “don’t know”. Remarkably, breakdowns by party support show statistically identical results for Labor and Coalition supporters (but nearly ten times as much support for Sanders among Greens voters). Further questions find consistent agreement that sexism and discrimination against women exists to at least some extent in workplaces, media, politics, advertising and sport (from 58% to 62% opting for a lot or some), but less so in schools, where 44% opted for a lot or some, and 41% for a little or none.

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688 comments

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frednk
Guest

[
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Steelydan
Posted Thursday, January 21, 2016 at 12:16 am | Permalink

I would not presume to think I could change anyone’s mind here but Oh My God am I going to enjoy the first few days after the next federal election. I feel a shiver with Anticip…………..pation
]
You think Mal is going to be able to keep the Mad right under control to the next election? If the polls narrow (which they will) it is all going to get very ugly; and if Labor pull ahead again; what then?

Question
Guest

Agreed frednk @673 and davidwh @677, TBA was never abusive, and better than a competition to see who gets the last word on Gillard and Rudd. (Also known as the most tedious poster competition.)

zoidlord
Guest

@TPOF/683

“Let’s do the time warp again!”……

WeWantPaul
Guest

Following Beazley with Hockey is like following a glass of fine wine with kero.

If Labor appointed such a failed buffoon to such an important role there would be media outrage and a royal commission.

TPOF
Guest

[ I feel a shiver with Anticip…………..pation]

And Abbott is planning to do the Time Warp

Goosh Goosh
Guest

TBA leaving? Yeah, probably will only last three weeks

Steelydan
Guest

I would not presume to think I could change anyone’s mind here but Oh My God am I going to enjoy the first few days after the next federal election. I feel a shiver with Anticip…………..pation

Steelydan
Guest

If TBA has really gone this could get real messy for me

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

There’s always you, David …

bemused
Guest

davidwh@677

I guess that means folks will start fighting each other again. Why couldn’t you all see the benefit TBA brought to PB?

Well I thought he was highly amusing.

davidwh
Guest

I guess that means folks will start fighting each other again. Why couldn’t you all see the benefit TBA brought to PB? 🙂

imacca
Guest

[ would you like to give us an index of all the posts where you’ve given us “evidence and facts ]

You are a collector very short lists then Jack A Randa??

bemused
Guest

confessions@665

To be fair to TBA he’s at least choosing the responsible option ie he knows that his abuse of those who disagree with him is falling on deaf ears and he’s decided to retreat.

There are other PBers like him who have routinely abused other commenters who could have a similar come to jesus moment and do likewise.

Oh. So we can expect you to be leaving like markjs did?

Rossmore
Guest

Just watched Bridge of Spies, my movie of the year so far but yet to see Spotlight and Joy. Mark Roylance must be a shoe in for best supporting actor at the Oscars, a captivating performance as the unarchetypal Russian spy

frednk
Guest

TBA

I think you view of the world is weird; but I have been impressed by your ability to not return serve when abused.

Good luck with the roses. Can I suggest a trip to Greenland; watching the ice melt; is a sobering experience.

Nicholas
Guest

*Non-Coalition governments can’t afford to be squeamish.

C@tmomma
Guest

pedant @ 657,

😳

Nicholas
Guest

The ABC’s contribution to our national life goes beyond its news and current affairs output. Despite the rightly maligned decline in rigour in news and currency affairs, the ABC still produces some gems. Background Briefing on ABC Radio National. Certain episodes of Four Corners. Landline. Documentaries.

The problems stem from the attitudes of ABC managers. They have absorbed the pernicious view that impartiality means ‘he said, she said’ stenography that sheds no light on the issues raised. They slather conservatives with oil because conservatives are the squeakiest wheel among the ABC’s critics. The solution is simple: non-Coalition governments have to make no bones about the need to change the ABC’s managerial direction. Deadwood needs to be removed. People with a wide frame of reference and superb capacity to investigate public affairs with depth and rigour must be given preference over the time-servers who appease conservative critics and who infest the ABC at present. The values of public broadcasting need to be described and defended by non-Coalition parties, non-government stakeholders, and ABC senior managers. Conservatives will scream, but then they always do that. Look at this this way. When a non-Coalition group gains power, they don’t put their stamp on the public broadcaster. They don’t assert and implement their vision of public broadcasting. They think that would be bad form. But Coalition governments are relentless in putting their stamp on the ABC. They want to undermine the ABC as a genuine alternative to lazy commercial broadcasting. If only one side stands up for what they believe, that side wins. Non-Labor governments can’t afford to be squeamish about changing the ABC in their preferred direction. A public broadcaster is not supposed to ape commercial broadcasters. It is supposed to be something that conservatives find uncomfortable.

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

Well, I got part of it right.

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