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Federal Politics 2013-

Mar 17, 2016

BludgerTrack: 51.2-48.8 to Coalition

The recent trend to Labor in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate levels off this week, after a stronger result for the Coalition from Ipsos.

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An above-trend result for the Coalition from Ipsos this week has halted the long run of momentum to Labor in the BludgerTrack poll aggregate – although it hasn’t reversed it, partly thanks to a stonger result for Labor from Essential Research. Technically there has been movement in Labor’s favour for the seventh week in a row, but the movement on this occasion was inside 0.05%. Perhaps not surprisingly, this has not resulted in any change on the seat projection. The Ipsos poll also provided leadership ratings which, as BludgerTrack interprets them, were perfectly in line with an overall trend that shows Malcolm Turnbull in freefall, and Bill Shorten improving modestly.

Preselection bits:

• The latest federal MP to announce their retirement is Teresa Gambaro, who held the seat of Petrie for the Liberals through the Howard years, then made a comeback in the seat of Brisbane in 2010. Gambaro said she wished to spend more time with her family, but unnamed party sources complained to the media that Gambaro was engaging in a “dummy spit” over her failure to win promotion in recent reshuffles, and that the late hour of her announcement meant she was “all but handing it to Labor”. There was a short-lived flurry of speculation that the preselection might be contested by former Premier Campbell Newman, after his biographer, former Cairns state MP Gavin King, told ABC Radio he was “weighing it up”. However, Newman promptly knocked the idea on the head, and Cameron Adfield of Fairfax reports the preselection is likely to go to National Retail Association chief executive Trevor Evans, who was talked out of pursuing a challenge against Gambaro last year by then Prime Minister Tony Abbott. It is also expected that Robert Cavallucci, who won the state seat of Brisbane Central in 2012 and lost it again in 2015, will nominate.

• Labor’s candidate to succeed Melissa Parke in Fremantle is Chris Brown, whose CV as listed in The Australian includes 29 years as a wharfie, ten months as an organiser for the Maritime Union of Australia, and ownership of small businesses in Fremantle. Brown’s victory was owed to factional arrangements that secured him overwhelming support in the 75% of the vote determined at head office, including all but unanimous support from the union delegates who account for half the overall vote. This easily negated his 155-110 defeat in the local party ballot at the hands of Josh Wilson, the chief-of-staff to Melissa Parke and deputy mayor of Fremantle. A full account of the results is provided by Gareth Parker of The West Australian.

Joe Kelly of The Australian reports that New South Wales Liberal Senator Concetta Fierravanti-Wells faces a threat to her preselection from Jim Molan, a former senior army officer who was heavily involved in the government’s efforts against unauthorised boat arrivals. Fierravanti-Wells is said to have lost support among the Right for telling journalist Niki Savva she had confronted then Prime Minister Tony Abbott over perceptions he was having an affair with his chief-of-staff, Peta Credlin. It was earlier reported that factional moderates were organising a challenge by Richard Shields, a former ministerial adviser and manager with the Insurance Council of Australia, but the threat appeared to subside when Fierravanti-Wells was appointed to the ministry.

• The Liberal preselection for Bronwyn Bishop’s seat of Mackellar has been set for April 16.

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3122 comments

3,122 thoughts on “BludgerTrack: 51.2-48.8 to Coalition

  1. Darn

    William

    How did you weight the Ipsos poll?

  2. victoria

    Morning bludgers

    Financial Review
    Financial Review – Verified account ‏@FinancialReview

    Owner-occupiers, foreign investors will drive new #housing even if tax incentives taken away http://bit.ly/1U7rRfN
    Financial ReviewFinancial Review

  3. victoria

    The insults and fiery exchanges are likely to continue on Thursday, with Labor and most of the crossbench accusing the Greens of doing a ‘dirty deal’ with the government in order to wipe out independents and smaller parties.

    Labor frontbencher Sam Dastyari on Wednesday took aim at Greens leader Richard Di Natale’s recent photo shoot for GQ magazine, slamming him for dressing up ‘like the cat burglar of Australian politics’ and advertising high-end clothing worth more than $5000 while pretending to represent the working poor.

    Greens s

    – See more at: http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2016/03/17/senate-reforms-set-to-come-to-a-head.html?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=56e9b7bd04d30142c4605b33&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter#sthash.tPh5Eksp.dpuf

  4. victoria

    [Bridget O’Flynn
    Bridget O’Flynn – ‏@BridgetOFlynn

    Barnaby’s debating @TonyHWindsor at Tamworth Hotel tomorrow night. On Sky live. How dumb is he to do this so early?
    @FightingTories
    5:42 AM – 16 Mar 2016
    23 RETWEETS11 LIKES]

  5. victoria

    How frickin unsurprisement

    [MARK COLVIN: A company at the centre of the Trade Union Royal Commission has gone into liquidation

    Lis-Con Concrete Constructions owes hundreds of thousands of dollars to the tax office, and tens of thousands in workers compensation premiums.

    The company claimed at the Royal Commission that the construction union, the CFMEU, had tried to drive it out of Queensland.

    At the commission, the industry superannuation fund CBUS came under fire after two staff leaked confidential superannuation records of Lis-Con employees to the union.

    Now the union has hit back, saying the commission should have focused on the company’s failure to pay workers comp insurance, super and tax.]

  6. BK

    Good morning Dawn Patrollers. Another bumper edition today!

    Peter Martin reckons he’s worked out what Turnbull’s budget direction will be.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/turnbulls-budget-will-be-big-and-bold-and-about-boom-20160315-gnjd2y.html
    Turnbull’s next target could be work related expenses deductions.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/turnbull-governments-next-target-limiting-claims-for-work-related-expenses-at-tax-time-20160316-gnk7g8.html
    This SMH editorial is impressed by Shorten and his policies but says he is still weighed down by union baggage.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/bill-shorten-impresses-on-policy-but-union-doubts-linger-20160316-gnkc10.html
    Mark Kenny doesn’t think Turnbull himself would pass his new effects test.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/if-only-a-political-effects-test-applied-to-the-prime-minister-20160316-gnkl54.html
    Judith Ireland outlines Jenny Macklin’s two years of policy development work.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/the-policy-platform-two-years-in-the-making-jenny-macklins-magnum-opus-20160316-gnkdfr.html
    Labor is ramping up the pressure and ridicule directed to Morrison.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/labor-claims-scott-morrisons-position-as-treasurer-untenable-after-retreat-on-gst-and-tax-cuts-20160315-gnk2gd.html
    Have the Liberals bitten off more than they can chew with this IPA tyro?
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/james-patersons-maiden-speech-proves-the-28yearold-liberal-senator-will-shake-things-up-20160315-gnjwse.html
    Woolworths shows us what ruthless and lazy management does as it strives to greatly stretch out the terms of trade for its suppliers.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/retail/woolworths-stretches-supplier-payments-to-save-cash-20160316-gnkh3t.html
    The pressure is on Turnbull to extend the 2% budget repair levy on high income earners. But it won’t affect those leeches who arrange their affairs to keep their taxable income down to very low levels.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/pressure-on-government-to-make-budget-repair-levy-permanent-20160316-gnkfhv.html
    McDonalds puts the pressure on employees and process. Typical.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/it-sucks-mcdonalds-workers-criticise-new-allday-breakfast-menu-20160316-gnkq9w.html

  7. BK

    Section 2 . . .

    Sydney is a too expensive environment for start ups.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/sydney-is-too-expensive-for-young-people-to-take-a-risk-on-a-good-idea-20160316-gnk6lh.html
    “View from the Street” and the rambunctious right wing rump’s apoplexy over the Safe Schools program.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/view-from-the-street/view-from-the-street-backbench-angry-about-safe-schools-review-demand-review-20160316-gnklgs.html
    Here’s George Christensen firing off again.
    http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/mar/16/george-christensen-accuses-safe-schools-advocate-of-promoting-paedophilia
    Using Stephen Smith as an example Kristina Keneally writes that there are no second acts in Australian political lives. KK is becoming a seriously good media contributor.
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/16/in-politics-when-the-curtain-comes-down-its-time-to-get-off-the-stage
    The types of people who are terrified of Donald Trump.
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/16/why-im-terrified-donald-trump-muslim-african-americans-women-journalists
    Why is the Senate so precious about press photography in its chamber.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/all-eyes-are-on-the-senate-right-now-but-youre-banned-from-seeing-exactly-whats-going-on-20160316-gnkd7k.html
    Andrew Leigh writes about the government’s economic falsehoods, fantasies and fiction.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/comment/economic-falsehoods-fantasies-and-fiction-20160316-gnka4x.html
    This is not at all a very good economic report card for Australia!
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/money/2016/03/16/australias-economy-class/
    How the Great Dividing Range was made – and it wasn’t through tectonic movement.
    http://www.smh.com.au/environment/kosciuszko-explained-mystery-of-the-snowy-mountains-solved-20160314-gnj2zg.html
    The boss of Westfarmers says “Bring it on – we’re not going to change!” to Turnbull over the effects test.
    http://www.smh.com.au/environment/kosciuszko-explained-mystery-of-the-snowy-mountains-solved-20160314-gnj2zg.html

  8. BK

    Section 3 . . .

    The UK will introduce a sugar tax on soft drinks from 2018.
    http://www.smh.com.au/lifestyle/diet-and-fitness/uk-introduces-sugar-tax-on-soft-drinks-that-jamie-oliver-says-will-travel-to-australia-20160316-gnkxoz.html
    Remember Manildra? They’re at it again.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/manildra-had-20-meetings-with-nsw-ministers-before-new-ethanol-laws-introduced-20160316-gnkefz.html
    Trump warns that there will be riots if the Republican machine denies him the presidential candidature. Classy! (Google search the following string).
    /business/wall-street-journal/trump-warns-of-riots-if-his-votes-ignored-by-republicans-at-convention/news-story/4da3087433a35b92c1ffd43db963e5fd
    Miners improving biodiversity? Pull the other one!
    http://www.smh.com.au/environment/very-poor-environment-office-opposed-miners-using-rehabilitation-work-as-biodiversity-offset-20160315-gnjfb3.html
    Petrol prices in Adelaide have gone out of control recently.
    http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/petrol-retailers-hike-prices-in-adelaide-by-between-20c-and-35c-a-litre/news-story/11dd88c39060f95bf555d91ffce05677
    Mark Dreyfus writes on why Turnbull should reverse the destructive, clumsy and dumb CSIRO cuts,
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/16/why-malcolm-turnbull-should-reverse-the-destructive-clumsy-and-dumb-csiro-cuts
    Between Abbot and Turnbull this is the worst Australian government ever says the New Matilda.
    https://newmatilda.com/2016/03/16/tonys-onions-malcolms-muddles-still-the-worst-australian-government-ever/
    Mr Denmore has penned an article for The Independent Australia about how gutless the media have been over the negative gearing issue. However the AFR article linked earlier in the Dawn Patrol bucks this trend.
    https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/australian-journalism-on-the-gear-click-go-the-fears,8781
    A very good article on why there are waiting times in hospital emergency departments and for various types of surgery. It says there is no silver bullet.
    https://theconversation.com/why-do-we-wait-so-long-in-hospital-emergency-departments-and-for-elective-surgery-54384
    Obama nominates a worthy moderate for the SCOTUS and the Republicans go apeshit.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/merrick-garland-is-obamas-choice-to-replace-scalia-on-us-supreme-court-20160316-gnkxob.html
    The AFR calls “bullshit” on the negative gearing scare campaign. (Google search this string).
    /opinion/tax-breaks-and-myths-for-rent-20160316-gnkict
    ASIC warns insurers.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/asic-seeks-data-on-life-insurers-20160315-gnj3hi.html

  9. BK
  10. victoria

    BK

    Indeed a bumper edition. Thanks!

  11. Raaraa

    WB

    Why is there now two seats of the week? Why not just combine them into one article?

  12. ratsak

    From TPOF last evening

    [That’s the only bit of genuine political courage Turncoat has shown since he got the job. I wouldn’t be surprised if the criticism from big business scares him off completely.]

    Courage? Turnbull (and most of the Libs) were against the Effect’s Test. (passionately?)

    He rolled over to the Nat (again). Burke and Shorten had him bang to rights yesterday.

    He puts the vain in weather vane.

  13. ratsak

    Oh Peter…

    [If he is really bold, Turnbull will change the way the budget is presented, showing the income and expenses related to the ordinary running of government on one page (where the deficit is hopefully shrinking) and the borrowing and spending on major projects as well as the projected payoffs on another (where the borrowing will be hopefully growing).

    Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/comment/turnbulls-budget-will-be-big-and-bold-and-about-boom-20160315-gnjd2y.html#ixzz435jmhUrb
    Follow us: @theage on Twitter | theageAustralia on Facebook]

    Yes Peter that would be an outstanding reform and go a long way to fixing the Surplus Fetish bullshit brought to us by Howard and Costello. You would also of course bring into the budget the value of Commonwealth assets so that lack of investment in maintenance/renewal showed up as a cost and the loss from privatisations that simply transfer wealth from the Commonwealth to the spivs would be fully accounted for.

    These are real reforms, and that’s why they’ll never happen under this Prime Miniature. The glaring fallacy in your first proposition explains why.

    [It will take some explaining. But Turnbull, more than any prime minister since Hawke, is capable of explaining good ideas and taking the Australian public with him.]

    Here’s a tip Pete – don’t write when you’re drunk. Name just one good idea Turnbull has explained and taken the public with him Peter. Any guesses?
    Republic?
    Water Conservation?
    Climate Change?
    Same sex marriage?
    Tax reform?

    Seriously where does the delusion that the prattlings of this backsliding buffoon represents the summa cum laude of political persuasion come from?

    Kool Aid! Kool Aid for everyone! Get it before it’s all gone!

  14. TPOF

    ratsak @ 13

    Only ‘political courage’ in that he didn’t put it off to maintain the status quo. I’m neither for it or against it (reasonable arguments on both sides), but it does leave Turncoat exposed to attack by some on his own side, which he has been incredibly averse to.

  15. victoria

    ratsak

    I guess Peter Martin reckons today’s pitch to Turnbull is what is gonna turn him around on infrastructure

    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/new-melbournesydney-fast-rail-pitch-to-malcolm-turnbull-20160316-gnkrc6.html

  16. victoria

    Yesterday when Shorten and Burke gave it to Turnbull with both barrels, Turnbull sat there grinning. He does that quite often. Not sure what to make of it

  17. victoria

    The other day, mafioso Melbourne Lawyer was gunned down. Interestingly, his connections were tied up with the gentleman who Amanda Vanstone granted a visa to. Remember the four corners report a few months back on this? It was a collaboration with fairfax.
    Now this gentleman is being mentioned again as being connected to this killing. All very interesting

  18. ratsak

    [Morning bludgers

    Financial Review
    Financial Review – Verified account ‏@FinancialReview

    Owner-occupiers, foreign investors will drive new #housing even if tax incentives taken away http://bit.ly/1U7rRfN
    Financial ReviewFinancial Review]

    That’s an excoriation, an absolute flaying. No wonder BIS Shrapnel have apparently admitted that they erred releasing a report that DIDN’T model Labor’s policy and withholding the identity of the commissioning client to Media Watch (another absolute flaying).

    [http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2016/03/media-watch-slams-bis-shrapnel-negative-gearing-farce/]

    Thankfully finally some people are waking up to the fact most modelling produced is nothing short of fraudulent crap commissioned to disguise the truth in assistance of rent seekers and vested interests. These dopes are shitting in their own nest by refusing to uphold any semblance of professional ethics.

    The first question anyone presented with ‘modelling’ should ask is simple. What bullshit assumptions have you built into the model in order to produce the result the client was looking for?

  19. victoria

    Here is one such piece in fairfax on the killing of Acquaro

    [It was Mr Acquaro who arranged the community lobbying campaign, which included a series of donations to the Liberal Party, and which ultimately resulted in then immigration minister Amanda Vanstone granting a visa to criminal figure Frank Madafferi. Madafferi is now doing an extended stint in prison for Australia’s biggest ever party drug import.
    In recent years, though, Mr Acquaro had developed many enemies in the Mafia. He fell out with senior figures who were one-time clients of his criminal law practice. He had a fist fight with one of them in his shop. His family was estranged from him. Some friends chose other people to spend their time with.]

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/national/if-anything-happens-to-joseph-acquaro-well-know-where-to-start-looking-police-20160315-gnjp3h.html#ixzz436OdeRjH
    Follow us: @smh on Twitter | sydneymorningherald on Facebook

  20. ratsak

    [Only ‘political courage’ in that he didn’t put it off to maintain the status quo.]

    Because Barnyard has a vice like grip on his testes.

  21. victoria

    Is anyone bloody surprised? Savva continuing with her cheerleading of dear leader Turnbull.

    [The Australian
    The Australian – Verified account ‏@australian

    Labor’s wooden warrior Bill Shorten tries hard to fit the bill, writes Niki Savva. http://bit.ly/1Wri9m0 #auspol
    Embedded image
    1:12 PM – 16 Mar 2016
    9 RETWEETS9 LIKES]

  22. Richard Koser

    Morning Bludgers. Here’s a news story BK missed and it’s actually about a poll, so I thought I would share.
    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/17/climate-change-a-vote-changer-at-federal-election-says-poll

  23. ratsak

    [This SMH editorial is impressed by Shorten and his policies but says he is still weighed down by union baggage.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/bill-shorten-impresses-on-policy-but-union-doubts-linger-20160316-gnkc10.html ]

    Final the SMH starts noticing what was there for anyone with eyes to see for over two years. Shorten has been leading this clusterfuck of a government by the nose into traps since he became leader.

    Of course they can’t let go of their Unions BOO BS, but good luck with getting that to bite when the government is seeking to be reelected on a record of idiocy, ideology and infighting. Oh and the prayer that the “Real Malcolm” might not be gutless dunce we’ve seen for the last six months if only we gave him another chance. It will be interesting to see how much life that myth has in it.

    Scales falling from eyes all over the nation.

  24. victoria

    Thanks Richard. I really do hope the nation is embracing the need for action

  25. ratsak

    [http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/new-melbournesydney-fast-rail-pitch-to-malcolm-turnbull-20160316-gnkrc6.html]

    Right, so it’s big news that someone is going to pitch an idea to Turnbull is it?

    They’d better be verwy verwy afraid. Their pitch might be so good that Malcolm becomes passionate about it.

  26. victoria

    ratsak

    Lol! Passionate = doomed!!!

  27. victoria

    ratsak

    Lol!

    Passionate = doomed!!

  28. Strong UnionsStrongCountry

    wasn’t Turnbull passionate about delivering a world class NBN?
    Look how that has turned out

  29. victoria

    ABC Radio Melbourne
    ABC Radio Melbourne – Verified account ‏@774melbourne

    ‘Effects test’ architect @BruceBillsonMP talks duopoly w/ #Faine now: https://radio.abc.net.au/stations/local_melbourne/live?play=true … #auspol

  30. John Reidy

    Morning all.
    The clip of channel 9 news posted here last night is revealing and worth watching if you didn’t see it last night, A good summary of the day
    http://www.9news.com.au/national/2016/03/16/19/20/government-fails-to-indicate-timing-for-election-or-budget
    Unlike the 7:30 wrap they did show a shot of Tony Abbott in Burke’s SSO speech.

  31. ratsak

    Just got to watch this again and again…

    https://youtu.be/GWwCZNNO5Ls

  32. Boris

    [Yesterday when Shorten and Burke gave it to Turnbull with both barrels, Turnbull sat there grinning. He does that quite often. Not sure what to make of it]

    lexxy downer used to sit there with a silly smile on his face whilst Keating applied the blowtorch 🙂

  33. Boris

    and speaking of lexxy looks like he has been giving bishop coaching tips on diplomacy learnt from his time in Cyprus.

    Who would have ever have thought this would be the outcome? 🙂

    Last week, Julie Bishop was quoted talking up the strength of the relationship in an article published by the foreign minister’s hometown newspaper The West Australian, which predicted a deal would be struck during her Iranian counterpart’s visit.

    But the Iranian Ambassador to Australia swiftly rejected speculation of an agreement.

    Iran’s Foreign Minister says Australia’s treatment of asylum seekers, thousands of whom are Iranian, is “unconscionable”.

    And Dr Zarif said while any Iranian who opted to come home would have their safety guaranteed “without question”, his government would never accept the forced return of its citizens.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/irans-foreign-minister-mohammed-javad-zarif-criticises-australias-treatment-of-asylum-seekers–20160316-gnky1p#ixzz436ZBIlvV

  34. Question

    [ratsak, @14]

    Good post, very amusing… I suppose I better get around to reading the article, but it sounds like Martin is one of the few still in a hypnotic stupor.

  35. Strong UnionsStrongCountry

    Like too many cheap products we buy a disposal stores Trump, Turnbull and even Abbott are more cheap nasty packaging that ends up at the rubbish tip than they are product

  36. victoria

    Boris

    We had the cheersquad in the msm telling all and sundry that a deal with Iran was imminent. You gotta laugh

  37. victoria

    Of course he is

    [ABC Current Affairs
    ABC Current Affairs – Verified account ‏@amworldtodaypm

    On senate reform @RichardDiNatale: I’m really proud we’ve got an opportunity to take power away from back room preference operators]

  38. Boris

    [Courage? Turnbull (and most of the Libs) were against the Effect’s Test. (passionately?) He rolled over to the Nat (again).]

    barnaby is thinking ahead when it comes to the effects test.

    After Windsor rolls him barnabay will likely return o his old trade as an accountant.

    he can use the effects test to stop any of the big 4, or minor firms offering services in his town, which could include on-line services.

    rather than go through the hassle of drawn out investigations, legal costs et all the firms would likely say the towns all yours.

    the effects test can result in a lessening of competition as firms may be concerned about the negativities of offering any new services/ products in any new area(s).

    so much for exciting times, attracting investment and innovation.

    any foreign firms looking at the investing setting up a presence in Australia would look at the effects test and go WTF you’re kidding.

    same reaction as when hockey told holden to fuck off, they weren’t wanted.

  39. Question

    On the effects test, no one likes the idea of big retailers bullying smaller players, but it can be hard to quantify the difference between bullying and competition. While it’s usually apparent to the observer, it’s quite hard to create an objective test.

    It wouldn’t surprise me if Coles and Woolworths start backing small players to block new Aldi stores.

  40. Boris

    [We had the cheersquad in the msm telling all and sundry that a deal with Iran was imminent. You gotta laugh]

    yar Vic.

    Brought to mind when Hayden as FM got done over by Vietnam.
    But at least Vietnam waited till Hayden left the country before humiliating him.

  41. Rossmore

    Victoria @ 17

    Yes Turnbull’s fixed grin during assaults in QT and SSO yesterday was interesting. It’s clearly a look designed for the cameras and aims to exude calm intent and unflappability – no doubt a product of his years at the bench.

    I studied him carefully yesterday. One’s eye is certainly drawn to the confident smile but I thought I noticed a real sense of angst and panic in his eyes – suggesting that forced smile was indeed just that. His attempt to appear relaxed and comfortable, and that air of patrician superiority despite Labor’s points hitting home didn’t fool me.

    You also only had to see the glum, deadpan faces of his front benchers and backbenchers. The only one smiling in the entire Government was Mr Smily Turnbull. Smiles might win/fool some people but in a long election campaign they wont be enough.

  42. jenauthor

    Don’t get me wrong, I dislike Fierravanti-Wells intensely … but they say Labor is ruthless …

  43. CTar1

    I don’t think Billson got a mention yesterday when the Govt was talking about the proposed ‘Effects Test’ ??

  44. Boris

    [It wouldn’t surprise me if Coles and Woolworths start backing small players to block new Aldi stores.]

    or a small miner could use the effects test to block the Adani mine.

    Big company using its power to drive prices lower making it uneconomical for smaller miner to survive.

  45. Question

    [or a small miner could use the effects test to block the Adani mine.]

    Not that I’d complain.

  46. Boris

    but I thought I noticed a real sense of angst and panic in his eyes.

    there was a rumour lexxy took to wearing diapers in parliament after keatings blow torch.

    outwardly smiling, inwardly sh**ting himself.

  47. Boris

    Oh Peter…

    If he is really bold, Turnbull will change the way the budget is presented, showing the income and expenses related to the ordinary running of government on one page (where the deficit is hopefully shrinking) and the borrowing and spending on major projects as well as the projected payoffs on another (where the borrowing will be hopefully growing).

    Read more: http://www.theage.com.au/comment/turnbulls-budget-will-be-big-and-bold-and-about-boom-20160315-gnjd2y.html#ixzz435jmhUrb

    Ratsak

    I like reading Martin, he writes very well and impartially.

    The above article looks like he has been given some inside info on turnbulls proposed direction and he has given a fair analysis of it.

    The proposals by Martin on the budget style are what martin sees should be done.

  48. John Reidy

    Savva’s article is an epic polish, even rolling out Eden-Monaro,with its 8000 negative gearers.
    Apparently the seat is a ‘bellwether’ which the ALP must win, however a redistribution has made it safer for the Liberals.
    So after the redistribution is it still a bellwether or not?

    Also all of the budget speculation is normal process, however Turnbull ‘must’ go to a DD due to a ‘revolting’ senate cross bench.

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