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Federal Politics 2013-

Mar 25, 2016

Double dissolution (maybe) minus 14 weeks

Senate preselection wreaks more discord among the NSW Liberals; Tim Wilson snatches victory in Goldstein; Stan Grant fields approaches from the Liberals; preselection challenges aplenty to sitting Liberals in WA; and Bronwyn Bishop reportedly in strife in Mackellar.

As the likelihood of a July 2 election firms, the preselection treadmill gathers pace. All the action this week is on the conservative side of the fence:

• New discord has emerged in the fractious New South Wales branch of the Liberal Party over its preselection for the Senate, after a party vote on Saturday delivered top position to Hollie Hughes, Moree-based autism support advocate and the state party’s country vice-president. This reduced the remaining incumbent, Concetta Fierravanti-Wells, to number two, in defiance of the wishes of the Prime Minister, who had recently signalled his support by promoting her to the ministry. With number three reserved for Nationals Senator Fiona Nash, the result also meant neither of the Liberals’ winnable positions was available to Jim Molan, a former senior army officer who was heavily involved in the government’s efforts against unauthorised boat arrivals. Hughes has since forestalled a looming state executive intervention by agreeing to be relegated to number two. At issue was the presence on the preselection panel of two lobbyists and moderate factional operatives, Michael Photios and Nick Campbell, two years after Photios had been forced off the state executive by a Tony Abbott-sponsored rule forbidding the involvement of lobbyists. Opponents of the moderates cited in a report by David Crowe of The Australian claim that without the involvement of Photios and Campbell, Fierravanti-Wells and Molan might have taken the top two spots, with number three going to Andrew Bragg, policy director at the Financial Services Council. Tony Abbott described the outcome of the vote as “another exercise of stitching up”, which had been “tainted” by the involvement of Photios. If a double dissolution elections is called, the entire process will need to be revisited in a way that also accounts for Marise Payne, John Williams and Arthur Sinodinos, who were elected in 2013.

• Outgoing Human Rights Commissioner Tim Wilson has been preselected to succeed Andrew Robb as Liberal candidate for the Melbourne seat of Goldstein. The Australian reports Wilson prevailed in the local party ballot over Denis Dragovic, a “lecturer, former hostage negotiator and columnist”, by the paper-thin margin of 142 votes to 140. Eliminated in the first round were Georgina Downer, with 66 votes, and Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry chief executive John Osborn, on 18 votes. The vote came shortly after a pamphlet was distributed to preselectors describing Wilson as “a danger to our families, schools and the local community”, owing to his “unrelenting campaign for gay rights issues”.

• The Daily Telegraph reports Bronwyn Bishop faces defeat in the Mackellar preselection at the hands of Jason Falinski, owner of aged care business Carewell Health. Falinski was Malcolm Turnbull’s Wentworth campaign manager in 2004, and has worked for John Hewson and Barry O’Farrell. While Falinski is strongly associated with the moderates faction, the Telegraph reports he “will get the support of much of the Right because of an anyone-but-Bronwyn attitude caused by her switching sides on Tony Abbott”.

• A further three challenges have emerged against federal Liberals in Western Australia, in addition to the widely reported contest between Tangney MP Dennis Jensen and the state party’s former director, Ben Morton. Liberal sources invoked by Andrew Burrell of The Australian suggest Nola Marino is under pressure from Ben Small, although all I can discern of Small is that he lives in Bunbury. Elsewhere, Swan MP Steve Irons faces Carl Pallier, state manager of Suncorp Insurance, and Durack MP Melissa Price is opposed by David Archibald, a geologist.

• Seven Liberal Party members have nominated for preselection in the new southern Perth seat of Burt. Andrew Burrell of The Australian suggests the front-runner is Matthew O’Sullivan, “who runs Andrew Forrest’s GenerationOne philanthropic movement aimed at ending indigenous disparity”. However, Gosnells councillor Liz Storer is reported to be “backed by conservative forces”. Also in the field are Marisa Hislop, a small business owner; Daniel Nikolic, a company director; Lance Scott, the party’s divisional president; and a low-profile figure named Lesley Boyd.

Sarah Martin of The Australian reports the Liberal Party has approached indigenous journalist Stan Grant about running for preselection against Labor’s Julie Owens in her highly marginal seat of Parramatta. The Liberals will be choosing their candidate for the seat through a trial plebiscite of local party members of more than two years’ standing, amid an ongoing brawl within the party over the power of head office in the party’s preselections.

• Melissa Grant of AAP reports on a second contestant for the Liberal National Party preselection to succeed Ian MacFarlane in the Queensland seat of Groom, joining the widely touted state member for Toowoomba South, John McVeigh. The candidate is Toowoomba general practitioner David van Gend, who describes himself on his Twitter bio as a “combatant on matters of life and death: euthanasia, cloning, abortion, gay ‘marriage’, faith and freedom” – his perspective on such matters being conservative.

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1390 comments

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Bushfire Bill
Guest

A more than usually impenetrable column from Mandy Vanstone, full of “union thuggery, Labor hopelessly caught up in their patronage, venal Senate cross-benchers, cunning Malcolm, lazy Press Gallery (who will cheer Abbott, then turn on him, then turn on Malcolm and then round it off by attacking just about everybody else)… youse get the drift?

http://www.smh.com.au/comment/selfinterest-is-the-horse-running-hardest-20160326-gnrj2z.html

About the only one who doesn’t get a guernsey is Uncle Arfur.

BK
Guest

Section 2 . . .

The Pakistani Taliban has just claimed responsibility for this atrocity.
http://www.theage.com.au/world/multiple-fatalities-following-explosion-at-public-park-lahore-20160327-gnrz21.html
The AFP have been called in to investigate an undefined issue at Defence Housing. Could become interesting.
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/afp-asked-to-investigate-defence-housing-20160327-gnrynz.html
John Kerry describes the US presidential election as an embarrassment to his country.
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/mar/27/john-kerry-presidential-campaign-embarrassment-cruz-trump
How to inoculate people against Trump’s fact-bending claims. The science of misleading.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/how-to-inoculate-people-against-donald-trumps-fact-bending-claims,8819
The pressure is building on airlines to stop fleecing customers.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/life/2016/03/27/pressure-airlines-stop-fleecing-patrons/
The worldwide refugee problem has been fixed!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/pope-francis-washes-refugees-feet_us_56f4611fe4b014d3fe22b8bd?ir=World§ion=australia&utm_hp_ref=world
Mark Knight gives us “Not Batman vs Superman”.
http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/faf0791f47a7ab66f88ee5c59003698c?width=1024&api_key=zw4msefggf9wdvqswdfuqnr5

BK
Guest

Good morning Dawn Patrollers. rather a small collection for you today – but it IS Easter.

Shorten says Abbott is at the heart of the government’s division and chaos. And the CPG get a bit of a serve.
http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/mar/27/tony-abbott-at-heart-of-government-division-and-chaos-says-bill-shorten
Turnbull declares war on Abbott with his captain’s call for an early election.
http://urbanwronski.com/2016/03/27/turnbull-declares-war-on-abbott-with-his-captains-call-for-an-early-election/
Up to 90000 vacant homes in NSW. And most of them are investment properties supported by negative gearing and CGT treatment.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/thousands-of-empty-homes-adding-to-sydneys-housing-crisis-experts-say-20160323-gnpc52.html
Protest as he might, Arfur’s getting deeper and deeper into the poo.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/liberallinked-free-enterprise-foundation-failed-to-declare-1m-in-donations-20160327-gnrs1m.html
Reopening the Parramatta gaol will ruffle a few feathers.
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/nsw-government-set-to-decide-on-reopening-parramatta-correctional-centre-20160323-gnpah0.html
Tim Dick has a justified dig at the selection of the date for the Easter.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/we-need-to-agree-on-a-fixed-date-for-easter-20160326-gnrqo3.html
These Tory messages show is why faith has no place in politics.
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/27/tory-messages-christian-values-faith-politics-vote-with-tribes-not-minds
Amanda Vanstone says a July 2 DD is not a foregone conclusion. Rather a poisonous contribution.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/selfinterest-is-the-horse-running-hardest-20160326-gnrj2z.html
Could the flawed Boris Johnson become the next UK Prime Minister?
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/26/boris-johnson-mendacious-eu-referendum-next-prime-minister
The Coalition is bringing out the big guns for the New England contest.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/in-challenge-for-new-england-coalition-brings-out-the-big-guns-20160316-gnkql8.html

CTar1
Guest

Ptmd

[This state is very different and beyond the ken of people who don’t live here.]

The rest of us watch with wonder as very strange interlinked murders unfold in SA on a regular basis.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

I had a thought, though, on that SA poll result. Weatherill is holding that review of nuclear power and one of the things being talked about is storing nuclear waste (including overseas waste) in SA, as an industry.

we have a love/hate relationship with the international nuclear industry down here. We put up with and benefit from exporting uranium, but any talk of storing waste here bristles the average SA person.

Marralinga is within living memory and the protests over uranium mining were strong at the time it was started.

It is quite possible that Weatherill publically stating that it is being considered would drive people to The Greens or Undecided. I do not remember the Libs saying much about it, so I cannot see a protest vote going there, but you never know. This state is very different and beyond the ken of people who don’t live here.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Except for Pyne, of course and he is no good advertisement for the Libs in SA.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

I doubt anyone here could name a Fed lib mp in SA and the state lib opposition has no profile, with whatisname as leader, so i don’t see from where the sudden increase in lib support is coming.

Also the feds are seen as the catalyst of all our economic problems, so unless people are trying to go liberal to get a bit of relief from the SA bashing in the fed lib gov’t i just cannot understand it.

I think that is a rogue.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

I cannot believe that SA figures, something is wrong there.

Diogenes
Guest

TPOF

Allowing for 80% Greens prefs, they are allocating others at 50/50, which I think is a bit generous to the Libs.

imacca
Guest

[ and how to pay for this is the biggest difference. ]

It certainly wasn’t at the last election…a unity ticket no less!!!

Oh,,,i forgot..its Liberal, It Lies, and they cut the funding.

TPOF
Guest

Those SA TPP figures don’t make sense. I wonder if the allocation of NXT preferences unrealistically favours the Liberals (i.e., NXT this time round is attracting voters from Labor who will return preferences to Labor in much larger percentages than occurred in 2013).

lefty e
Guest

Emmo on the money here:

[‘The former Labor minister Craig Emerson said it was strange the prime minister had left the timing of the next election in the hands of four senators “who hate his guts”.

‘“That’s a master stroke, apparently,” Emerson said.’]

LOL. Exactly. Cant believe journos have bought in to this crap. Here’s an alternate narrative for ya: TURNBULL DOESNT KNOW WTF HE’S DOING!

http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/mar/27/tony-abbott-at-heart-of-government-division-and-chaos-says-bill-shorten?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_URLy

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 10m10 minutes ago

#Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly SA Federal Primaries: L/NP 41 (+3) ALP 29 (-7) GRN 10 (-1) Others 20 (+5) #auspol

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 10m10 minutes ago

#Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly SA Federal 2PP: L/NP 53 (+5) ALP 47 (-5) #auspol

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 11m11 minutes ago

#Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly WA Federal 2PP: L/NP 53 (-1) ALP 47 (+1) #auspol

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 10m10 minutes ago

#Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly QLD Federal 2PP: L/NP 51 (-1) ALP 49 (+1) #auspol

zoidlord
Guest

GhostWhoVotes ‏@GhostWhoVotes 10m10 minutes ago

#Newspoll Jan-Mar Quarterly VIC Federal 2PP: L/NP 47 (-4) ALP 53 (+4) #auspol

TPOF
Guest

I looked at the comments under the report in the GG that Leroy has linked at 1368

As long as there are lots of Liberal supporters who think like those commentators, Labor can look forward to an excellent electoral victory. It’s worse than Labor v the Greens here – but at least those are separate parties!

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