There now appears to be something of a breakout in Hillary Clinton’s favour on the presidential tracker, which is showing up clearly in the trend chart below. This has caused her razor thin lead on recent readings of the electoral college projection to blow out to 317 to 221, with Florida and North Carolina now in her column. Still absent from it, by the barest of margins, is Nevada, where the Democrats have been greatly buoyed by the pattern of early voting turnout, with one noted local observer all but calling the state for Clinton. This has led to suggestions that pollsters have been coming in low for Clinton across the board by underestimating turnout among Hispanics. The latest interactive map of the results below can be viewed here.

2016-11-07-us-poll-tracker

State Margin Swing EV
Alabama Safe 9
Alaska Trump 10.5 3.5 3
Arizona Trump 2.7 6.4 11
Arkansas Trump 21.6 2.1 6
California Clinton 21.9 1.2 55
Colorado Clinton 2.8 2.6 9
Connecticut Safe 7
D.C. Safe 3
Delaware Clinton 18.3 0.3 3
Florida Clinton 0.3 0.6 29
Georgia Trump 5.0 2.8 16
Hawaii Safe 4
Idaho Trump 20.9 11.0 4
Illinois Clinton 13.8 3.1 20
Indiana Trump 10.0 0.2 11
Iowa Trump 3.1 8.9 6
Kansas Trump 20.0 1.7 6
Kentucky Safe 8
Louisiana Trump 14.8 2.4 8
Maine Clinton 6.9 8.4 4
Maryland Clinton 33.4 7.3 10
Massachusetts Clinton 27.0 3.9 11
Michigan Clinton 6.0 3.5 16
Minnesota Clinton 7.7 0.0 10
Mississippi Safe 6
Missouri Trump 10.9 1.5 10
Montana Trump 15.1 1.5 3
Nebraska Trump 18.9 2.9 5
Nevada Trump 0.1 6.8 6
New Hampshire Clinton 2.0 3.6 4
New Jersey Clinton 11.3 6.5 14
New Mexico Clinton 5.0 5.2 5
New York Clinton 18.7 9.5 29
North Carolina Clinton 0.1 2.1 15
North Dakota Safe 3
Ohio Trump 2.6 5.6 18
Oklahoma Safe 7
Oregon Clinton 6.8 5.3 7
Pennsylvania Clinton 4.4 1.0 20
Rhode Island Clinton 21.9 5.6 4
South Carolina Trump 8.3 2.2 9
South Dakota Trump 13.7 4.3 3
Tennessee Trump 14.2 6.2 11
Texas Trump 8.9 6.9 38
Utah Trump 9.1 38.9 6
Vermont Clinton 26.2 9.4 3
Virginia Clinton 5.8 1.9 13
Washington Clinton 12.6 2.3 12
West Virginia Safe 5
Wisconsin Clinton 4.7 2.2 10
Wyoming Safe 3
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