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Still only the weekly Essential Research results to go on so far this year, and this week’s figures have made very little difference to this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, except that Labor gains an extra seat in Queensland. Also of note is that One Nation’s upward trend shows no signs of abating, with the party now level with the Greens. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings. The looming resumption of parliament suggests Newspoll’s end-of-year sabattical will come to an end either Sunday or Monday night.



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533 thoughts on “BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

  1. It's Time

    BBC reporting Federal Appeal Court has reject Trump’s initial request for staying the injunction. Watch this space.

  2. john smith

    Australia maintains a Current Account Deficit with the United States of on average $17 Billion per annum.
    In the broad scheme of things, this is not a lot of money, yet it is highly significant…
    In the years since John Howard signed the Free Trade Agreement, this equates to about $118 billion (adjusted) in losses our country has accepted to import juice-less lemons, overtly processed cheese and loud mouthed tourists.
    I love the United States, and I enjoy visiting the place.
    Los Angeles smells like dog urine, but that is because it don’t rain there.
    New York smells like a septic tank, because 16 million people all poopin the same hole.
    A REAL Aussie Prime Minister would tell Trump to go and get STUFFED.
    They cannot run a war without us…
    Re-take Pine Gap.
    Re-take Darwin from the Chinese
    Re-take Sydney, Brisbane, Perth And Adelaide.
    Tell the Yanks to stick the F-22 Raptor they won’t sell uss right up it’s arse.

  3. C@tmomma

    Wow! Good on Australia! Not kowtowing to the global phenomenon of Trumpzilla! Voting with their heads.

  4. confessions

    Oooh Newspoll. That’s gotta hurt the Turnbull govt!

  5. John Reidy

    Wow, that is amazing…
    54-46 2pp.

  6. victoria

    Meanwhile Trump doing his best to incite trouble

    Donald J. Trump
    Donald J. Trump – Verified account ‏@realDonaldTrump

    The judge opens up our country to potential terrorists and others that do not have our best interests at heart. Bad people are very happy!
    4:48 PM – 4 Feb 2017

  7. John Reidy

    Yes I would be interested to know what Abbott ‘s worst figures were, say post sir prince.

  8. James J

    Turnbull: Satisfied 33, Dissatisfied 54
    Shorten Satisfied 32, Dissatisfied 54
    Better PM: Turnbull 42, Shorten 30
    1734 sample. Feb 2-5

  9. C@tmomma

    And, for the record, I don’t actually, in reality, wish ill of Donald Trump. At the end of the day he is a father to that 10 year old little boy. 🙂

  10. C@tmomma

    Why are people so dissatisfied with Bill Shorten? I really would like to know.

  11. Boerwar

    I was talking to some people and the gist of it is that they don’t think he has any principles to which he sticks consistently.

  12. C@tmomma

    I’m sure Trump views his Tweets as akin to writing a fairy story for the American people.

    Pity there is a glaring inconsistency in his logic about where the ‘bad people’ are coming from who wish to do harm to the United States. Eg. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan…

  13. victoria

    James J


  14. Darn

    54-46 to Labor.

    That should give the next Bludgertrack update a good kick along.

  15. Greg McAuliffe

    C@Tmomma……….Because the Libs in conjunction with their media mates want to do a job on him.They have tried since he took over. You know what I mean…faceless man,blah,blah union hack,blah blah,the thing is it hasn’t affected the polls and won’t. Turbull had a chance to change the rhetoric and direction of the Libs but has failed.He will get rolled and soon I think.

  16. C@tmomma

    There’s an element of Liberal typecasting in there. He’s the guy who came up with the NDIS, FOFA, and got Labor to agree to a binding SSM vote!

  17. Boerwar

    I make that around 19% on the primaries for PHON, Xteam and assorteds. I suspect that that means we can assume that we are looking at primary vote of 10-15% plus for PHON.

  18. Player One

    james j @ #495 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 9:54 pm

    54-46 2pp to Labor
    Primaries: Coalition 35, Labor 36, Greens 10

    That’ll do nicely!

  19. Gorkay King

    Media will try to emphasize preferred PM ratings but trend is clear.

  20. Gary

    The consolation for Shorten is that the voters view Turnbull (or is that Trumbull) as being equally as bad and are prepared to rid themselves of this useless government.

  21. C@tmomma

    Greg McAuliffe,
    ‘Tis true. Bill could wear his underpants on the outside and leap tall buildings in a single bound and The Daily Telegraph would still Photoshop a ‘H’ for Hack where the ‘S’ should be! 😀

  22. Libertarian Unionist

    Bemused: Yes, lots of thorium about, about as much as lead, and fairly widely spread about the place.

    Just the small matter of handling molten fluoride salts to overcome.

  23. Boerwar

    I am constantly surprised that intelligent people get Shorten fundamentally wrong.
    They have just swallowed the MSM Kool Aid.
    Shorten is flawed, no doubt about it.
    But his achievements as minister and as LOTO are significant.

  24. Question

    What is the count since the L-NP were in front?

  25. Desert Qlder

    My mother-in-law has been critical of Shorten with the ‘faceless man, backstabber’ routine. I have taken her opinion seriously as she is a staunch Labor voter, teacher and self made woman.

    However, on her last visit she said during one of Shorten’s PCs, “he is very calm!” The exclamation point was valid in this case.

    This demonstrated to me that even Labor people who were not Shorten supporters have noted his qualities regarding stability.

    I refuse to be concerned by PPM.

  26. Darn

    For those not happy with Shorten’s netsat numbers just remember that Abbott was elected PM in a landslide in 2013 with figures similar to that.

  27. Steve777

    54-46 2pp to Labor

    Great news. Would love to see it in areal election. The Dark Side, the agents of Big Money, the spivs, the shonks, the bigots, thoroughly trounced.

    Hadn’t happened in a real election since 1946. Closest since then 1983 (53.2%). What I’d really like is the 1943 result – wipe the (ex-nuptuals) out:

  28. matt31

    New thread link directs to a previous Newspoll.

  29. Brian_Boru

    William 8:20 A bit hard on the Greens. Anti vaxxing, in my opinion, is more a right wing phenomenon, which doesnt, of course, disqualify all Greens.

  30. don

    player one @ #390 #390 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 6:59 pm

    don @ #385 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 6:41 pm

    There are 13 sites on the US coast at risk of rising sea levels:

    Kind of ironic that if we had more nuclear reactors, we would not need to be so worried about sea level rise.
    Also, interesting point in that article …

    Nuclear could be part of the solution, because it can deliver large, steady amounts of carbon-free electricity. That’s why China, the world’s largest carbon emitter, aims to expand its nuclear capacity by spending $78 billion to add six to eight nuclear reactors each year for five years.

    The Chinese seem to get it, so there is some hope, at least.

    The nuclear option is more likely to be to mask weapons production.

    They are spending a much greater amount on renewables per year.

    China intends to spend more than $360 billion through 2020 on renewable power sources like solar and wind, the government’s energy agency said on Thursday.



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