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Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Bill Shorten's personal ratings take a hit in Essential's latest poll, while Galaxy charts One Nation's ongoing progress in Queensland.

The Essential Research fortnight rolling average moves a point back to the Coalition for the second week in a row, reducing Labor’s lead to 52-48. Labor is down two points on the primary vote to 35%, with the Coalition steady on 36%, One Nation steady on 10% and the Greens up a point to 9%. The monthly leaders ratings find Bill Shorten taking a big hit, down seven points on approval to 30% and up three on disapproval to 47%, and Malcolm Turnbull a smaller one, down three on approval to 34% and up one on disapproval to 49%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is out from 39-28 last month to 39-25.

The survey also asked respondents if they would be likely to vote for Cory Bernardi’s Conservative Party, to which 14% said yes – which, as is always the case when questions like this are asked, is well above the party’s plausible vote share. Sixty-two per cent say they would be unlikely to, which is on the high side as these things go. The poll also has 17% saying Bernardi’s defection is good for the Liberal Party, 26% bad, 29% neither, and 28% don’t know. As of next week, the Essential Research poll will be published in conjunction with The Guardian.

We’ve also had federal voting intention results from the weekend’s Queensland poll by Galaxy for the Courier-Mail, which has One Nation on 18% (up six since November), the Coalition on 35% (down four), Labor on 29% (down one) and the Greens on 8% (steady), with the Coalition down a point on two-party preferred to lead 51-49. The poll was conducted last Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 867.

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Socrates
Guest
Afternoon all. I saw this article on a quite absurd statement by SA opposition transport spokesperson David Personi that new trams being ordered for Adelaide were “old technology” and at an “inflated price”. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-02-19/old-trams-considered-at-inflated-prices-in-sa/8283970 FFS! Minister Mullighan probably does not need me to point out all of the many things wrong with this statement, but here are a few for starters: – the trams being bought are state of the art, with upgraded air con for our summer (essential) and regenerative breaking similar to a hybrid car. They are the same as what you would see Alstom supplying in Paris… Read more »
Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

who is Pamela Anderson?

grimace
Guest
don @ #1948 Sunday, February 19, 2017 at 5:47 am The savings don’t stack up for the Zcell as far as I can see. Let’s suppose it lasts for an optimistic 15 years and there are no disposal costs. That’s $1200 a year. Interest paid (or foregone because you used cash) is (generous estimate, 4% simple interest) over $700. It’s a lot, lot worse if you use a more realistic compound interest formula. So call it $2000 (probably a lot more) you have to save each year on the use of the battery, just to break even. Not for me.… Read more »
TPOF
Guest
psyclaw @ #1943 Sunday, February 19, 2017 at 1:14 am A R @ 11.07pm “I too though it was strange that body-/slut-shaming Pam Anderson seems to be in-bounds. Particularly amongst a group that had an extended debate about whether or not it was okay to call a known drug-cheat a drug-cheat, on the basis that having the label (accurately) applied to them could cause psychological distress.” Yes A R. Tonight C@t, Confessions, and Zoomster once again were in accord to ward off any challenge to any one of them. No-one here should be misogynous, they have argued for years ……regularly… Read more »
lizzie
Guest

Question

If given a choice between subsidising crap jobs and giving people money to go off and surf all day then I would opt for the latter every time.

Bravo! Although surfing wouldn’t be my choice. There was once optimism that technology would give us all more leisure time and shorter working hours. It was not expected that the employed would be working many more hours, and there would be higher unemployment.

Question
Guest
Steve777 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:56 pm Driverless trains means trainless drivers. And the only elite that counts gets all the benefits then wants to screw the trainless drivers. They want to keep all the benefits although they have no entitlement to do so. Technology advances, maybe lots of us no longer need to work 40 hours a week, especially in menial jobs. Like the early industrial revolution, those running the show want to keep all the benefits of the replacing menial labor with technology. The Luddites were on the right path in smashing the machines when they were… Read more »
don
Guest

The savings don’t stack up for the Zcell as far as I can see.

Let’s suppose it lasts for an optimistic 15 years and there are no disposal costs.
That’s $1200 a year.

Interest paid (or foregone because you used cash) is (generous estimate, 4% simple interest) over $700. It’s a lot, lot worse if you use a more realistic compound interest formula.

So call it $2000 (probably a lot more) you have to save each year on the use of the battery, just to break even.

Not for me.

don
Guest

But it is pricey. You’d have to be in the situation of really, really needing battery storage.

The 10kWh ZCell will sell for between $17,500 and $19,500, pricey by comparison with its competitors. But Redflow says its ability to discharge 100 per cent of its power, and its longer life, and its greater size, means that its delivered cost of energy will match its rivals.Mar 30, 2016

don
Guest
A very good article about the good and bad things about the redflow zinc bromide zcell. Some quotes: It has a 10 kilowatt-hour usable storage capacity, can provide 3 kilowatts of continuous power, and is suitable for on-grid and off-grid use. The chemistry of the ZCell battery is very interesting. It is, at its heart, a reversible electroplating machine. When the ZCell is charged, electrical current is sent through the battery which causes zinc to be removed from zinc bromide and electroplated onto plastic electrodes. When the battery is discharged, the opposite happens and zinc is removed from the electrodes… Read more »
don
Guest

RRL for those on this blog who are not from Victoria:

The Regional Rail Link project was a multi-billion dollar project that separated metropolitan and regional services through Melbourne’s west. The project built dedicated tracks for the Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat trains through the metropolitan system from Sunshine to Southern Cross Station.

don
Guest

kayjay @ #1840 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 9:24 pm

cud chewer @ #1815 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 8:41 pm

No one here but us cows
moo

At great expense to the management we bring you, Daisy the cow.
Apropos of absolutely SFA.
&#x1F404
Goodnight all. ❤ ❤

Daisy redux:

🐄

BlindFreddy
Guest
A R @ 11.07pm “I too though it was strange that body-/slut-shaming Pam Anderson seems to be in-bounds. Particularly amongst a group that had an extended debate about whether or not it was okay to call a known drug-cheat a drug-cheat, on the basis that having the label (accurately) applied to them could cause psychological distress.” Yes A R. Tonight C@t, Confessions, and Zoomster once again were in accord to ward off any challenge to any one of them. No-one here should be misogynous, they have argued for years ……regularly as clockwork when it comes up every 6 weeks or… Read more »
Libertarian Unionist
Guest

Memory leak sorted (muppet error)

Machine working (remote access destroys home lives, but I can drink while “working”)

Night all!

Libertarian Unionist
Guest

No I’ve never had much to do with inverter companies. Over the last couple of years I’ve heard persistent whispers about the financial difficulties that a well known inverter manufacturer is experiencing, so it would surprise me if there were under supply issues in the market.

Big thanks.

grimace
Guest

I should say that inverter manufacturer is *supposedly* experiencing financial difficulties

grimace
Guest

libertarian unionist @ #1936 Sunday, February 19, 2017 at 12:14 am

Top info, Grimace.
Had any dealings with inverter providers, particularly residential? I hear word of a supply bottleneck. Though not an issue at the scale you are talking about.

No I’ve never had much to do with inverter companies. Over the last couple of years I’ve heard persistent whispers about the financial difficulties that a well known inverter manufacturer is experiencing, so it would surprise me if there were under supply issues in the market.

Gorkay King
Guest
There are bus services to the Caroline Springs and other stations but most people hate using buses. I used to catch the bus during high school but have stopped as soon as I got my licence. Just too slow, too many stops and lack of real time information is a source of uncertainty when you are waiting. There were plans to introduce real time information but I am not sure if the project is complete. Also despite being a train driver I can see how eventually the job will be replaced even though we are decades away from it in… Read more »
bemused
Guest
frednk @ #1933 Sunday, February 19, 2017 at 12:09 am Bemused the thing is with the train; it doesn’t wander all over the place. Door to door a train is faster to the CBD than a car. Less than $10.00 return ( cheaper than CBD parking). What is there not to like. All true, in fact train fares are absurdly cheap for some users. You are right about existing busses wandering all over the place. They are also relatively infrequent. So they don’t serve the purpose of picking up commuters within the catchment area of a station at all well.… Read more »
Libertarian Unionist
Guest

Top info, Grimace.

Had any dealings with inverter providers, particularly residential? I hear word of a supply bottleneck. Though not an issue at the scale you are talking about.

Rossmcg
Guest

Bemused

You are right, the focus in Perth is buses to link to the trains.
You have to start pretty early in the day to get a park at the stations here.

grimace
Guest
rossmcg @ #1656 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 12:04 pm GRimace Since the purchase of the Sunday Times the West Australian has become a quasi Murdoch rag. Part of that deal involved a copy sharing arrangement which is why columns by Bolt and Miranda Devine are appearing in the paper. I wonder at its influence these days. Circulation has been in decline for decades and I suspect there are very few regular readers out in the territory you are working. When you live in Ellenbrook and work elsewhere I would think you don’t have much time to read the paper… Read more »
frednk
Guest

Bemused the thing is with the train; it doesn’t wander all over the place. Door to door a train is faster to the CBD than a car. Less than $10.00 return ( cheaper than CBD parking). What is there not to like.

frednk
Guest

Bemused
There are bus services to the station; people use them; I wouldn’t. Hate buses; love trains. People are people.

bemused
Guest
frednk @ #1927 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:59 pm bemused The answer is no no and no. Car parks at the station is why it is happening. A place for the car at the station is a lot cheaper then a another highway lane to park them on between 6 am and 9 am in the morning and 4 pm to 6 pm at night. What is wrong with a local bus service with a station catchment to pick up commuters rather than them driving to the station? I think it could work and have heard there is something… Read more »
grimace
Guest
@ Player One You seem to have some concerns around the ability of the renewable energy industry’s ability to produce enough solar panels / wind turbines / etc, to go to gW scale. I’ve had professional dealings with Canadian Solar (I’m an accountant) around the supply of several hundred mW of solar panels for a solar farm project I was involved with about 18 months back and they confirmed in writing that they were able to produce that sort of volume *in addition* to their current demand on a very quick time frame, with a volume discounts. I can’t put… Read more »
frednk
Guest

steve 777
We are as likely to get driverless trains as we are driverless cars. Possible with dedicated purpose built lines; but not with a system in transition from one built 100 years ago.

bemused
Guest
steve777 @ #1926 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:56 pm Driverless trains means trainless drivers. And the only elite that counts gets all the benefits then wants to screw the trainless drivers. They want to keep all the benefits although they have no entitlement to do so. Technology advances, maybe lots of us no longer need to work 40 hours a week, especially in menial jobs. Like the early industrial revolution, those running the show want to keep all the benefits of the replacing menial labor with technology. The Luddites were on the right path in smashing the machines when… Read more »
frednk
Guest

bemused
The answer is no no and no. Car parks at the station is why it is happening.
A place for the car at the station is a lot cheaper then a another highway lane to park them on between 6 am and 9 am in the morning and 4 pm to 6 pm at night.

Steve777
Guest
Driverless trains means trainless drivers. And the only elite that counts gets all the benefits then wants to screw the trainless drivers. They want to keep all the benefits although they have no entitlement to do so. Technology advances, maybe lots of us no longer need to work 40 hours a week, especially in menial jobs. Like the early industrial revolution, those running the show want to keep all the benefits of the replacing menial labor with technology. The Luddites were on the right path in smashing the machines when they were deprived of their livelihood. The industrial revolution held… Read more »
bemused
Guest
frednk @ #1923 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:46 pm Caroline Springs was opened this year. The carpark is almost full after three weeks service. They doubled the Carpark at Baccus Marsh over Christmas almost full. Offer a decent service and people will use it. They built a multi-story car park at Syndal station and it was full in no time. It is now full by 7:30am each morning, maybe earlier. It seems that no matter how big the car park is, it will fill up. I have wondered if it might not be better to run a local bus… Read more »
frednk
Guest

And since the wheels have been fixed the velocity trains are great; they used to jerk around a bit but now; flat out; as smooth as smooth.

frednk
Guest

Caroline Springs was opened this year. The carpark is almost full after three weeks service. They doubled the Carpark at Baccus Marsh over Christmas almost full.
Offer a decent service and people will use it.

Steve777
Guest

One Nation might get the “Liberals” over the line in WA. They could well have a big role in the 2018/19 Federal election if the party hasn’t imploded by then.

One Nation voters who preference “Liberals” will be voting for the “establishment” they claim to deplore. They would be turkeys voting for an early Christmas. Labor can surely appeal to them without pandering to their particular prejudices and obsessions. Big Money is their oppressor, not Muslims, not gays, not ‘political correctness’, not ‘elites’ other than the only one that counts – Big Money in all its various guises.

paaptsef
Guest

exactly 🙂

Libertarian Unionist
Guest
Good observations Cud: Because if you implement wind over a broad enough geographical scale, its actually pretty damn predictable. This is a fact we’ve known for a long time. I modelled it back in the 80s. The numbers stack up. You build a lot of wind generators over a wide enough geographic and you almost never approach zero power. Indeed, what you always end up with is enough power for true baseload (15% peak). This highlights a flaw in the way the RET was established, for both LREC and SREC. These credits are allocated for energy only, whereas they should… Read more »
bemused
Guest

paaptsef @ #1918 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:36 pm

C’mon Bemused have a go at me about my attitude towards Pamela Anderson geez

I haven’t been taking any notice.

paaptsef
Guest

C’mon Bemused have a go at me about my attitude towards Pamela Anderson geez

bemused
Guest
gorkay king @ #1916 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:24 pm @Bemused I agree. I am happy Victoria is not following NSW on new trains. Also I am happy trains are being built in Dandenong rather than being bought from Korea like NSW. It is inexcusable for us to be buying trains from overseas. I think part of the problem is that we have a relatively small market and the local industry has been fragmented. If the manufacturing could consolidate it would become more competitive and have better utilisation of facilities. I don’t see driverless trains in Victoria and even… Read more »
Gorkay King
Guest

@Bemused
I agree. I am happy Victoria is not following NSW on new trains. Also I am happy trains are being built in Dandenong rather than being bought from Korea like NSW.

paaptsef
Guest

Any chance there will be a nuclear powered Pamela Anderson up and running within a few years?

cud chewer
Guest
Breaking this down, I see that P1 really doesn’t understand that yes, you can actually replace coal fired power today with wind and solar and still have a reliable system with baseload power, provided there is a certain level of either gas or pumped hydro or some other highly available backup. He seems to think that you need to replace every watt currently provided by coal fired power with “baseload” power, which is just plain wrong. He also seems to think that energy storage needs more research. Wrong again. The technology is available today. It may not be as cheap… Read more »
Libertarian Unionist
Guest

I had a go on the driverless rubber-wheeled variety in Toulouse. Very smooth, and up and down significant gradients too.

bemused
Guest

gorkay king @ #1910 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:16 pm

@ Bemused
Sydney is planning on going driverless for their new line.
http://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/design/sydney-unveils-new-single-deck-and-driverless-trains/news-story/794e16114205bc10769a09c5d9e0f345

Must have missed that driverless bit.
I have been reading about how the new trains are different dimensions and the tunnels for them will not be able to take existing trains.
That struck me as insanity almost on a par with Fraudband.

Libertarian Unionist
Guest

Ahh, looked on Google maps and thought it was single track. That is just unbelievable.
Do you know much about the Sydney rail network?
They seem to build a lot more track there, with track quadruplication in places.

Nothing beats the planning genius of the Merivale bridge in Brisbane. The only city rail crossing? You can have two tracks.

Gorkay King
Guest
@ Bemused Sydney is planning on going driverless for their new line. http://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/design/sydney-unveils-new-single-deck-and-driverless-trains/news-story/794e16114205bc10769a09c5d9e0f345 @Taylormade RRL is not proving a disaster for Geelong, not at all. RRL has introduced new services and travel times are similar to old route. Geelong punctuality isn’t good, but that was also the case before. There has been a massive uptake of new service in Wydnham Vale and Tarneit, in fact Tarneit is the second busiest V/Line station after Southern Cross. That is great news. RRL has also improved services to Deer Park and Ardeer, which were served with 1 train EVERY 2 HOURS off peak.… Read more »
bemused
Guest

fulvio sammut @ #1907 Saturday, February 18, 2017 at 11:08 pm

That’s where I’ve experienced them too.
The technology is there, if there is the will to adopt it.

But their whole system is set up for them. I don’t think Melbourne’s infrastructure is up to scratch.
BTW, I was told they do have ‘train drivers’. Their ‘train driver’ is a person at a station who presses a button to send the train onto the next station. My source was not authoritative, but if true we have a problem there as not all Melbourne stations are staffed.

paaptsef
Guest

Pamela Anderson is hot baby H.O.T HOT woohoo do that thing Julian you big stud you

Fulvio Sammut
Guest

That’s where I’ve experienced them too.

The technology is there, if there is the will to adopt it.

a r
Guest

Pamela Anderson’s body appears to be fair game amongst female posters here over the past 24 hours. Her body size, signs of ageing, and makeup V no makeup have all been canvassed.

Perhaps the PB rules have changed.

I too though it was strange that body-/slut-shaming Pam Anderson seems to be in-bounds. Particularly amongst a group that had an extended debate about whether or not it was okay to call a known drug-cheat a drug-cheat, on the basis that having the label (accurately) applied to them could cause psychological distress.

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