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ReachTEL: 53-47 to federal Labor in Western Australia

A new poll conducted in WA records very substantial federal wash-up from state Labor's landslide last weekend.

The weekend edition of The West Australian has results of a ReachTEL poll of federal voting intention in Western Australia, presumably conducted on Thursday night. It shows Labor with a lead of 53-47, which if borne out would amount to a 7.6% swing compared with last year’s election. I’m not sure about a federal poll conducted in the immediate aftermath of a state election, but there it is. More detail to follow.

UPDATE: After exclusion of 3.2% undecided, the primary votes are Liberal 38.7%, Nationals 5.1%, Labor 35.7%, Greens 11.6% and One Nation 5.3%. The poll also finds Malcolm Turnbull leading Bill Shorten 54.5-45.5 as preferred prime minister; Turnbull rated very good or good by 29.3%, average by 37.2% and poor or very poor by 33.5%; Shorten respectively coming in at 27.7%, 36.7% and 35.6%; and 75.5% rating it very important, 17.0% somewhat important, 5.6% “indifferent” and 1.9% not at all important that Western Australia get a bigger share of GST revenue. The poll was conducted on Thursday from a sample of 1554.

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phoenixRED
Guest

All eyes on FBI Director James Comey as Russia and wiretap claims swirl

FBI director James Comey will be in the hot seat Monday facing lawmakers who accuse him of stonewalling Congress, as they demand answers about Donald Trump’s potential Russia ties and the president’s extraordinary accusation of wiretapping by his predecessor.

http://www.rawstory.com/2017/03/all-eyes-on-fbi-director-james-comey-as-russia-and-wiretap-claims-swirl/

cud chewer
Guest

There’s other forms of polyethylene coating that I’ve not seen here and there’s also copolymer “paints”.

cud chewer
Guest

TallebudgeraLurker
Sunday, March 19, 2017 at 9:58 am
Cud Chewer @ 400,
Is sprayed PE coating available in Australia?
I haven’t encountered it to date.

Its coming slowly..

Google “Fusion Bonded Medium Density Polyethylene site:au”

Socrates
Guest

Regarding the Newspoll, there was a line in Annabelle Crabbe’s Malcolm from Snowy piece that seemed most apt:
“The Man From Snowy River then clapped on his Driza-Bone
His hat and his elastic sided boots.
He summoned his advisers via WhatsApp, text and phone.
“We need a press announcement, friends! When suits?”

His acolytes came running; at his rustic foot they kneeled.
They ventured their advice to him when pressed.
“Newspoll’s Tuesday, so that means the pollster’s in the field
On Thursday: Make it Thursday. Thursday’s best.”

Twitter: annabelcrabb”

TallebudgeraLurker
Guest

Frednk @ 789,
As I understand it, the Gold Coast Desalination Water Treatment Plant is kept idling (i.e. it is not in mothballs) and produces water from one of its modules in turn every fortnight thereabouts so that it can on demand and reliably ramp up to full capacity of 125 ML per day within a very short time period – less than 48 hours possibly.
I am not sure what was happening at Wonthaggi with mothballing or idling the Victorian Desalination Water Treatment Plant, BUT lucky that the Napthene Government didn’t have the RO membranes removed and throw out with the rubbish. That is what the Newman Government did in Queensland with the water reclamation plants (treated wastewater to indirect potable re-use water) that formed the treatment component of the substantially large Western Corridor Water Scheme, all of the RO membranes were trashed. It is at least 18 months to 2 years to reinstate the plants the next time there is a serious drought in SE Queensland and indirect potable re-use of reclaimed wastewater is needed.

cupidstunt
Guest

Lyon out last ball of day Aus 2-23

Socrates
Guest

TL
Yes that is certainly the analysis needed, for both demand and supply. You would think that the Federal ministry, AEMO, and all the players are already doing it. Surely Turnbull and Frydenberg have received such analysis? So why can’t the rest of us see it?

BTW you were correct about Splityard Creek being able to do pumped hydro – I had not known that. However it is not clear to me how the capacity could be increased. We need to see a lot more of these details to know if Snow Job is a real solution or not.

DB Cooper
Guest

Simon,

Yep.

Simon Katich
Guest

Nathan Lyon as nightwatchman?

Nathan Lyons test bowling average, strike rate and economy rate is almost identical to the chap he replaced – Nathan Hauritz. Although Haurits batting avaerage is about twice that of Lyon.

Is Lyon out yet?

Leroy Lynch
Guest

Rossmore – its easy to get a bounce when the earlier low figure was probably MOE anyway.

Rossmore
Guest

A Snowy River bounce …. trouble is you can only do a Snowy once in each term …

Rossmore
Guest

A Snowy River bounce …. trouble is you can only do a Snowy once in each term …

Henry
Guest

And Warner fails yet again.
Lion at home, lamb abroad.

Leroy Lynch
Guest

Its been 53-47 in Essential to Labor for three weeks. I doubt the earlier 55-45 in Newspoll was based on anything other than sampling error. I recall Possum mocked it on twitter when it came out, he thought it was noise.

TallebudgeraLurker
Guest

Socrates @ 779,
What neither Uhlmann nor any other mainstream commentator reports for the east coast (SA, Vic, Tas, NSW, ACT and Qld) is:
1. Generating capacity in MW by type;
2. Actual availability of this generating capacity, say converting the GWh or MWh per annum to MW (dividing by 365 x 24) to average out coal fired generator availability, or wind turbine availability, or solar panel output availability;
3. Actual minimum daily demand in MW;
4. Peak daily demand in MW; and
5. Time of day for the peak demand,
then leaving out all the gamesmanship of the national energy market, we would all know how serious or otherwise the ‘energy crisis’ is and what needs to be quickly done or more cautiously done to address the real problem – isn’t that what an energy policy should address?
Rather there is comment from a shift operator (or whatever his role is) from Hazlewood Power Station as to his perception of the dire status of the situation.

mari
Guest
grimace
Guest

c@tmomma @ #790 Sunday, March 19, 2017 at 9:48 pm

Grimace,
Look above you!

Thanks. If there is an auto update function for this blog it isn’t working on my PC. I did check #ghostwhovotes before I hit submit.

John Reidy
Guest

Possibly C@t, people still want Turnbull to succeed, so if he does anything positive he gets a bounce, a bit like he CPG really.

C@tmomma
Guest

Galaxy were also in the field today. I don’t know who for because they wanted to not only ask about Voting Intention but Beverage consumption habits!

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