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Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

After a career-threatening result for Malcolm Turnbull three weeks ago, Newspoll records the Coalition bouncing back to near-competitiveness.

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Newspoll records a much improved result for the Coalition, with Labor’s two-party lead cut from 55-45 to 52-48. The Coalition is up three on the primary vote to 37%, Labor is down two to 35%, One Nation are steady on 10%, and the Greens are down one to 9%. Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 30% and down two on disapproval to 57%; Bill Shorten is down one to 29% and up one to 57%; and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has improved from 40-33 to 43-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1819. Report from The Australian.

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925 comments

925 thoughts on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

  1. Doyley

    Good morning all,

    If Turnbull has folded on 18c then he has left himself open to so many lines of attack it is amazing.

    Even putting aside the internals this will generate you have Turnbull breaking a election promise on 18c without blinking yet refusing to change the position of the government on SSM because he refuses to break a election promise. As well, Turnbull has to push through child care changes etc etc yet his government is focused on this issue, important though it is, instead of the main stream concerns of voters. How many would have any idea what 18c actually is in regional Queensland and other parts of Australia which are grappling with huge unemployment issues ?

    Then, you will have the fight back from ethnic groups across the country. The list goes on.

    Turnbull must really be in a corner and under extreme pressure internally because I cannot think of any other reason he would even consider this action at this time. He will lose whatever momentum and focus he may have had simply for the sake of placating a mad rump of right wing Libs.

    Amazing.

    Cheers

    The rest of this week is now, no space for his

  2. KayJay

    lizzie @ #498 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:04 am

    Does the Man from Snowjob River have any solution for this?

    Sally Neighbour‏Verified account @neighbour_s · 12h12 hours ago
    If sea levels rise one metre, Bangladesh will lose 20% of its land mass. That means up to 30 million refugees. #4Corners

    Why sure Señorita. Answer is easy.

    Fingers in ears and follow the bouncing ball ♫ la la la la la ♪.

  3. Trog Sorrenson

    The Man from Snowjob River
    I love it.

  4. lizzie

    KayJay

    While acknowledging Zoomster’s point about border protection, I think that the Coalition response to climate change is the equivalent of “Fingers in ears and follow the bouncing ball”.
    🙂

  5. C@tmomma

    CTar1,
    You are no doubt correct about the ultimate outcome for the 18C changes. Xenophon has already said he will block them in the Senate.

  6. cud chewer

    TallebudgeraLurker
    Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 12:42 am
    Cud Chewer @ 420,
    I share some of Player One’s concern about the capacity of the medium and large Australian contractor’s (most of whom are now owned by the Spanish, French, Singaporians (spelling), Malaysians or Chinese) to cost effectively deliver the renewable energy projects in the timeframe that we need. These projects will not be delivered by less than Tier 2 contractors as the prime contractors.
    My concern comes from direct involvement as a technical project manager in the big surge in projects in Australia in the period from 2004 to 2012.
    In that period, the cost of skilled labour went through the roof, contractor’s margins trebled and asset owners paid a high price for any type of project (roads, rail, oil and gas, minerals processing, etc as well as in my area of the urban water industry).
    On the matter of electrical power generation project delivery, I watched the 320 MW Laverton North Gas Fueled Power Plant owned by Snowy Hydro being built as I drove past on my way to and from one of my projects in the Geelong region, it took just over 26 months from beginning to end of construction between 2004 and 2006; I understand that it has Siemens gas turbines delivered under a Siemens EPC contract. This project may be a little dated, but without the skilled workforce (professionals and trades), we won’t as a nation be able to ramp up quickly enough and cost effectively enough to met the timeframe for implementing renewables generation and upgrading the transmission grid within the $$$ budget that planners are likely forecasting.
    On the matter of renewables project approvals, I have watched with childhood parochial interest as the Malaysian owned company Ratch has moved the 180 MW nameplate Mt Emerald Wind Farm on the Atherton Tableland from gestation to construction. Its gestation started about 6 years ago in about 2010/2011 and it has only now started construction in February 2017.
    Engineering projects take time to get going and deliver regardless of the sector.
    In my opinion and if its passes Infrastructure Australia’s project approval criterion (leaving partisan politics aside i.e the East West Link in Melbourne which has an inadequate rate of return), Snowy 2 will take at least 4 to 5 years from now to completion, particularly if there is more than 25 km of very hard rock large bore tunneling to be completed albeit by large tunnel boring machines on a 24 h/7 d programme. I am waiting to see when Snowy Hydro invites proposals for the feasibility study to start my stop watch for project completion.
    As further evidence, the Pacific Highway in NSW between Tweed Heads and Newcastle has take more than 30 years to upgrade to 2 lanes each way and it is still a work in progress.

    The issue of Australia’s readyness to engage in large infrastructure projects is one close to my heart given my main occupation is working on high speed rail. The point I did make though is that to the extent that construction capabilities is an issue, its an issue for adding large amounts of additional gas fired generation as it is for adding large amounts of additional renewables.

    One of my aims with high speed rail design is to keep the design simple. The AECOM design was a disaster – particularly the section from Sydney to Newcastle. If you’re curious, ask.

    The Pacific Highway was a different issue. Its a case of where the money got doled out at a certain rate. I think we could have scaled up construction on that one – even if we had to (shock, horror) borrow.

  7. ratsak

    Going to 18c just shows how thin The Man from Snowjob River gambit was. If it had even the slightest substance this week would be non-stop energy crisis.

    But nothing. The most critically important thing this government needs to do is change a couple of words to appease Blot, the GG, and the rest of the loonies.

    I’ve said it before. The only way to make sense of Turnbull is to start from the premise that he is a piss weak idiot. Everything follows quite smoothly from that.

  8. victoria

    PhoenixRed

    from my observations to date, the only GOP members that actually are taking country over party is Senator John McCain and Senator Lindsay Graham. The rest of them are behaving in a disgraceful fashion. Not only is Trump mentally not suited to be leader of the free world, they colluded with a foreign adversary to gain power and money. but the biggest punch line is that this adversary will continue to do so going into the future, and the GOP are behaving as if nothing to see here move along. there is so much at stake that it should be obvious to these traitors, but alas no.

  9. lizzie

    Stephen Koukoulas‏Verified account @TheKouk · 1h1 hour ago

    Sort of telling that, since 2016 election, the Coalition Party room has not met to discuss what to do about unemployment & under employment

  10. Rex Douglas

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/mar/16/why-are-bill-shorten-and-labor-scared-to-run-on-the-economy

    The Kouk raises a very good question when considering the economic facts.

    Rightly calls out Bill Shorten’s weakness on the economy issue.

  11. KayJay

    trog sorrenson @ #503 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:13 am

    The Man from Snowjob River
    I love it.

    Et moi aussi, monsieur.
    I noted with interest the post about our supreme leader as head prefect ❓ yesterday.
    I wonder, now that it seems that the government want to be able to treat our fighting (defence) troops like garbage should that become necessary; (as usual arrange punctuation to suit yourself) what the troops have to say about Mr. Hastie.
    ✌ :really curious emoji:

  12. Doyley

    Today is ” International day for the elimination of racism ” and it will be on this day that Turnbull will announce changes to 18c.

    A small number of right wing Libs, the whole of the right wing media and a few others will be patting themselves on the back while the rest of the country gets on with their life wondering ” is this really what they are focused on ? ”

    Meanwhile labor gets on with the fight on penalty rates etc.

    All this angst and pain coming for Turnbull for very little if anything given other posters have notedthevhigh chance this legislation may not even pass the senate.

    Amazing.

    Cheers.

  13. Torchbearer

    ‘Essential 55 – 45 – Oh, my God’…….Trumble wasn’t back in the game for long..

  14. phoenixRED

    victoria Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:26 am

    PhoenixRed

    from my observations to date, the only GOP members that actually are taking country over party is Senator John McCain and Senator Lindsay Graham. The rest of them are behaving in a disgraceful fashion. Not only is Trump mentally not suited to be leader of the free world, they colluded with a foreign adversary to gain power and money. but the biggest punch line is that this adversary will continue to do so going into the future, and the GOP are behaving as if nothing to see here move along. there is so much at stake that it should be obvious to these traitors, but alas no.

    *******************************************
    Day by day – the creditability of the US must be losing its shine in the eyes of the rest of the world – and Putin has achieved beyond his wildest dreams more in months than all the enemies of the US have been attempting to do for decades

    I saw this bit in the Washington Post :

    Perhaps now Republicans can stop treating the president’s outbursts seriously. They need to call them what they are: Wild lies and accusations designed to distract from the very real investigation into Russian attempts to throw the election his way. In just a few brief lines, Comey eviscerated whatever credibility Trump still had. Whether the intelligence agency will find evidence of collusion remains to be seen. But what we do know is that Trump will not be able to lie his way through this nor distract the public.

    Rep. Will Hurd (R-Tex.), who appeared Sunday on ABC’s “This Week,” made an interesting observation. “It’s going to go down in the history of Mother Russia as the greatest covert action campaign, not because President Trump won,” he said. “There was no manipulation of the vote-tallying machines. It’s going to go down as the greatest covert action because it drove a — created a wedge, whether real or perceived, between the White House, the intelligence community, and the American public.” Well, it will also go down as the greatest covert action in history because Russia sought to manipulate the outcome of our election and provided assistance to the Trump campaign. Moreover, Vladimir Putin has convinced a significant chunk of the American electorate that Trump is “illegitimate.” (One poll shows 57 percent of young voters between 18 and 30 consider him “illegitimate.”)

    And worse, it’s convinced many Americans that our president’s word cannot be trusted.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2017/03/20/comeys-testimony-humiliates-trump/?utm_term=.e290e9bec66e

  15. victoria

    PhoenixRed

    Trump could never be trusted. He is a clear and present danger

  16. grimace

    gary @ #449 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 6:48 am

    Newspoll closes the gap, Essential in today’s guardian widens it 45 – 55. Who to believe?

    The trend is our friend here, and the trend suggests that the Mal and the Liberals are in desparate trouble.

  17. ratsak

    Doyley, they are stuck in a bubble of their own ineptitude with a feedback loop of loopy right wing nonsense provided by the media.

    It’s what happens when you get stuff you never had to work for. They never had to have a policy on anything that could ever actually work – their media mates would polish up any brainfart whenever they caught a breath between attacks on Labor. They never had to actually be decent human beings – despite everything our media could make enough people believe Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull were capable of being PM.

    When you’ve never had to suffer the consequences of being a completely malign imbecile you get the idea that being a malign imbecile actually works.

  18. imacca

    Sam Dastyari ✔ @samdastyari
    Welcome to the “International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination”. Seriously. YOU CAN’T SCRIPT THIS.
    5:40 AM – 21 Mar 2017
    31 31 Retweets 54 54 likes

    I thought this was a joke. It appears not. FFS??

  19. Barney in Saigon

    c@tmomma @ #483 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 8:41 am

    Disgusting!
    How the hell do you apply the term ‘Harass’ to one of Bolt’s disgusting columns!?! Oh, that’s right, you not meant to be able to any more, that’s the whole point of the exercise.

    You need to remember c@t that Bolt’s problem wasn’t the offensive opinion he expressed in his articles but the distortions and untruths he used when he named people to support his opinion.

    That’s why 18D did not provide an escape which it would have if he had just expressed the opinion.

  20. victoria

    Turnbull is following the Trump playbook. Obviously seeing how good it is working out for the USA. Turnbull sees the same benefit applying to Australia. Lol!

  21. confessions

    Welcome to the “International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination”. Seriously. YOU CAN’T SCRIPT THIS.

    Knowing how nasty and spiteful the Liberals are, it’s a good chance this was a deliberate move.

  22. Player One

    imacca @ #518 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:47 am

    Welcome to the “International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination”. .
    ..
    I thought this was a joke. It appears not. FFS??

    It is deliberate. This is the way their minds work.

  23. Doyley

    Ratsak,

    Spot on.

    I promise myself over and over that I will no longer be surprised with the ineptitude and weakness of Turnbull. Yet he continues to raise the stupidity bar time after time.

    Today, with this latest ” event ” he had once again raised the bar and I am once again gobsmacked.

    Cheers.

  24. guytaur

    Good Morning

    ACTCOSS: We are joining @ACOSS at 10am at Parliament House to speak out against harsh measures in the omnibus bill

  25. guytaur

    Doyley

    It appears the Turnbull government can chew gum and walk at the same time. It has gotten expert in getting people to hate its very existence.

  26. guytaur

    Colvinius: Home doctors bracing for Medicare cuts in budget smh.com.au/federal-politi…

    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/home-doctors-bracing-for-medicare-cuts-in-budget-20170320-gv1z92.html

    Thats going to hurt in an election campaign. Actual cuts to Medicare.

  27. phoenixRED

    victoria Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:52 am

    Turnbull is following the Trump playbook. Obviously seeing how good it is working out for the USA. Turnbull sees the same benefit applying to Australia. Lol!

    ******************************************
    Well Malcolm got torpedoed by *ute-gate* …… hopefully it works out the same for Trump with wire-tap gate

    Ute affair backfires on shaken Turnbull

    http://www.smh.com.au/national/ute-affair-backfires-on-shaken-turnbull-20090622-cu07.html

  28. KayJay

    doyley @ #524 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:55 am

    Ratsak,
    Spot on.
    I promise myself over and over that I will no longer be surprised with the ineptitude and weakness of Turnbull. Yet he continues to raise the stupidity bar time after time.
    Today, with this latest ” event ” he had once again raised the bar and I am once again gobsmacked.
    Cheers.

    Question ❓
    What drinks are served in the stupidity bar ❓ Are the staff paid penalty rates:?:

    ☕ after cleverly removing a 4 mm strip from the bottom of a door.
    I guess that Murphy will bite my bum later and want the strip replaced. 웃
    😎

  29. Steve777

    The editors of the Daily Telecrap have decided that 18C is very important to their readers. It gets second billing on the site after a sex scandal.

    Headline: “Free speech debate boils over”

    In paper edition “PM acts to safeguard free speech”

    First paragraph / clickbait:
    “MALCOLM Turnbull will overhaul the Human Rights Commission and reform the Racial Discrimination Act to protect free speech by saving everyday Australians from the threat of prosecution for offending people based on their race.”

    Of course, 18C is unlikely to impact “everyday Australians” unless they have their own column in a major newspaper or a spot on radio or TV. It’s an elite issue if ever there was one, of no more concern to most Australians that, I don’t know, the Apple and Pear Marekting Act. However, Rupert and his lieutennants have been going to a lot of troubke to make them think that it is, in fact, very important to them.

  30. guytaur

    Victoria

    I could not sleep last night so watched the Intel hearings live.

    The GOP members were desperate to save their President and his credibility. They twisted and turned like crazy. All failed.

    The damage had already been done with confirmation of the investigation happening.

  31. poroti

    Confessions

    Of course it was deliberate. A giant middle finger FU from the RWNJ to all those god damned pinko smashed avacado progressives.

  32. victoria

    PhoenixRed

    Utegate did backfire on Turnbull, but he still got to be PM!! Trump is a bona fide conman and he still became President! It is just a tad depressing!!

  33. confessions

    Bill Shorten MP
    9 mins ·
    Turnbull to weaken racial hate speech on Harmony Day – of all days. Shameful.

  34. citizen

    Oh dear, the theme for International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination is:

    “2017 Theme: Racial profiling and incitement to hatred, including in the context of migration”

    http://www.un.org/en/events/racialdiscriminationday/

  35. guytaur

    RichardEngel: A sr US official told me he’s worried if there’s a major event, like terrorist attack, trump/allies will take more power, point of no return

    Richard Engel is an NBC/MSNBC Foreign Correspondent

  36. antonbruckner11

    Just chatted to a friend who voted Liberal at the last election. He said, with real anger: “Never again”. The expectations Malcolm created are really coming home to roost now. Winning back a lot of people he has lost will be almost impossible.

  37. guytaur

    political_alert: Greens Leader @RichardDiNatale and @SenatorLudlam will hold a press conference to discuss 18C and the U.S. alliance at 11am, APH #auspol

  38. antonbruckner11

    Steve777 – s18C changes will impact on ethnic communities though – and that is the massive danger for this govt. You’d think that, after muslim leaders in WA mobilising support for labor the govt would be a bit more careful. Nope, all holding hands and going off the cliff together.

  39. Rossmcg

    Turnbull cops another pounding in The West Australian today over GST distrubutions.

    Based on WA elections numbers Christian Porter would probably lose his seat at the next election. I wonder if he might think he should try for the top job sooner rather than later.

  40. Player One

    lizzie @ #520 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 9:52 am

    http://www.alternet.org/environment/why-its-impossible-capitalist-society-cope-extinction-crisis
    Capitalism cannot solve the environmental crises it is causing.

    Yes, depressing. I find this snipped to be especially pertinent to what we see here on PB on a daily basis …

    Despite this dramatic collapse of global ecosystems, the climate change crisis has unleashed a fresh round of accumulation, obscured by upbeat language about the investment opportunities opened up by the green economy.

    Some people don’t see global warming as a looming catastrophe, they see it as a marketing opportunity.

  41. Steve777

    Confessions @10:12AM Turnbull to weaken racial hate speech on Harmony Day – of all days. Shameful.

    “Defund Harmony Day” is number 73 on the IPA’s wish list. Repealing 18C is number 4.

    http://ipa.org.au/publications/2080/be-like-gough-75-radical-ideas-to-transform-australia

  42. kakuru

    Antonbruckner11
    “Steve777 – s18C changes will impact on ethnic communities though – and that is the massive danger for this govt. ”

    There’s a number of Lib-held marginals in Sydney alone with large ethnic communities.

  43. Alan Davis

    What Obama should consider is, to Sue Trump for millions and announce the money will go for ‘meals on Wheels’

  44. briefly

    It will be interesting to see how the Right greet the proposed changes to 18c.

    They basically want the provision repealed.

    There’s also the matter of 18d defences. What possible defence could be argued against harrassment? It’s possible to argue that on public interest/fair comment grounds, it us permissible to give offence. Why would harrassment (something similar to assault) be excusable?

    This proposal is likely to attract opposition from all sides.

  45. guytaur

    ellehardytweets: US congress: debating fundamental changes to healthcare
    UK parliament: negotiating Brexit
    Australian parliament: legalising the n word

  46. JimmyDoyle

    Kakuru
    There’s a number of Lib-held marginals in Sydney alone with large ethnic communities.

    And Melbourne. And Brisbane.

  47. KayJay

    alan davis @ #546 Tuesday, March 21, 2017 at 10:36 am

    What Obama should consider is, to Sue Trump for millions and announce the money will go for ‘meals on Wheels’

    ✔ ✔ ☑

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