Newspoll has published New South Wales state voting intention numbers from its polling in March and April, from a sample of 1584, providing the first such results from Newspoll since Gladys Berejiklian succeeded Mike Baird in January. It records the Coalition with a two-party lead of 51-49, which is unchanged from the November-December result. The primary vote readings are disturbed by the entry of One Nation on 8%, with the Coalition down a point to 40%, Labor down two to 34% and the Greens down one to 10%. Berejiklian opens her account with an approval rating of 44% and disapproval of 21%, while Labor’s Luke Foley is down on both measures, by two points to 32% on approval and four on disapproval to 36%. Berejiklian holds a 43-21 lead as preferred premier, which compares with 43-26 in Baird’s last poll.
There will also be three New South Wales by-elections tomorrow, including a contested race in a marginal seat (Gosford) and two in blue-ribbon Liberal seats where Labor is not fielding candidates (North Shore and Baird’s old seat of Manly). More on that shortly also.