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Before we proceed, please note posts below on British and French elections, and a bumper post on Tasmania that encompasses newly published federal and state electorate boundaries, today’s three elections for seats in the state’s upper house, and a state poll result that provides good news for the new Labor leader, Rebecca White.

The only new addition to the BludgerTrack aggregate this week is the usual weekly Essential Research result, an all too common state of affairs in Newspoll’s off weeks that should finally be rectified with YouGov’s imminent entry to the Australian polling caper. The trendline is now doing something it hasn’t done since the election – bending back slightly in favour of the Coalition. The Coalition have also picked up two this week on the seat projection, one apiece in Victoria and South Australia. The other trend worth noting is that One Nation are down for the seventh week in a row. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

I’ve had two paywalled articles this week in Crikey, which is well worth your subscriber dollars if the state of the Australian news media is of concern to you, as it should be. One of these tackled Peta Credlin’s revisionism concerning the electoral gender gap:

In defiance of the conventional wisdom, Credlin sought not just to dispel the “myth” of the Tony Abbott “woman problem”, but also to argue that the charge could more properly be levelled at his successor. The implications of Credlin’s claim run well beyond the small matter of the Turnbull-Abbott rivalry, as gender has been the most volatile demographic element in the federal electoral equation since the knives came out for Kevin Rudd on June 23, 2010.

The other considered One Nation’s recent fadeout and its implications for the looming Queensland state election:

The One Nation renaissance is once again inviting comparisons to Groundhog Day, as the party faces the possibility of deregistration in Queensland over irregularities in its legal structure. The latest development adds to an accumulation of bad news not just for One Nation, but also for Queensland’s Liberal National Party opposition, which has been hoping that One Nation will provide the key to a quick return to office after its shock defeat in January 2015.

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1881 comments

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don
Guest

player one @ #1825 Tuesday, May 9, 2017 at 10:23 pm

steve777 @ #1778 Tuesday, May 9, 2017 at 9:53 pm

P1 @9:26PM: Jeezus H Christ! What dies the ‘H’ stand for?

‘Hominum’ – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christogram

Nonsense.

I told you before, the H in Jesus H. Christ stands for Harold.

As in:

“Our Father, which art in Heaven, Harold be thy name”

😉

zoidlord
Guest

Fairness is only a term that LNP Uses when minimising the losses for the rich, it has nothing to do with those who are not rich.

Norwester
Guest

Personal banking about to become more expensive across the board. Likely to be another cost shift that impacts the poorest the hardest as such things always do.
As for the drug testing, it will just lead to a spike in suicides and property crime.

a r
Guest

It’s an enticement to put capital into loss-making investments. Incredibly detrimental loss-making investments that also have the side-effect of driving up the price of homes for everyone else at the same time.

Banks probably love it, especially since the low interest rates currently mean they can’t generate much revenue unless they’re lending out huge sums of cash. They need astronomical real-estate prices to lift their operating margins.

Tom the first and best
Guest
Tom the first and best

Negative gearing is not just for the middle class, it is for the upper class. It is not welfare, it is a wealth subsidy.

Matt
Guest

Of course this Budget could have been handed down by Labor. That’s half the bloody problem in this country!

cud chewer
Guest

I love the expression on the part of the unicorn, with the tongue hanging out.

Blanket Criticism
Guest

Maybe we should be drug testing the immeasurable number of Australian receiving Middle Class Welfare in the form of negative gearing.

ItzaDream
Guest

Bed Time. Fire’s gone out.

Dear Diary
Today I watched Scott Morrison talk for 30 minutes. Sincerity didn’t cross my mind once.

Diogenes
Guest

Paaptsef
The AFP have done very well out of all governments in recent times.

Diogenes
Guest

Rraara
“How much is a drug test per recipient anyway? I remembered there being a similar debate in a US state and it turned out that it cost more to test all the welfare recipient than the amount saved denying drug failures their payout.”
Completely true. Punitive drug testing had been tried and failed in many countries but its the optics that matter nowadays.

paaptsef
Guest

“I know this won’t be a popular comment but 75% of this budget could have come from Labor.”
bloody APF raids

Diogenes
Guest

I wouldn’t be surprised to see an ad campaign by the banks trying to stop their hit, a bit like the miners.
Anna Bligh is going to have to work very hard for her 30 pieces of silver.

ItzaDream
Guest
Barney: Good question. My assertion was a hyperbolically expanded impression that a sense of purpose, a sense of worth, a sense of belonging is not unrelated to employment status, and that drugs may well be a refuge and one of the ways that the less adequate, or less supported, have of dealing with rejection, and to wit, the converse might apply. Here’s one major study, a literature review 1990-2010, Henkel, Frankfurt, published 2011 Current Drug Abuse Review. Abstract here. * Risky alcohol consumption is more prevalent in the unemployed * Problematic substance abuse increases likelihood of unemployment * Unemployment is… Read more »
Diogenes
Guest

I know this won’t be a popular comment but 75% of this budget could have come from Labor.

Raaraa
Guest

Gizmodo is reporting that as part of a new legislation as part of a package of telco law changes in this winter sitting, it is proposed that a $7+/month levy on fixed-line NBN connection, and will go up to $8 by 2022.

Just Me
Guest

Notable for its complete absence: Any policy to actually create jobs for the unemployed.

—————

Goes hand in hand with their evidence-free approach to governance.

Raaraa
Guest

I’m always of the view that drug addiction is a mental health issue. Taking money away isn’t going to address it.

Matt
Guest

A R – I hope serious. It’s only called “class warfare” when we fight back, in the ordinary course of events.

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