Facebook Google Menu Linkedin lock Pinterest Search Twitter

Advertisement

Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

A budget eve widening of the Coalition's electoral deficit from Essential, while a private poll finds cabinet minister Christian Porter struggling in his marginal seat on the fringes of Perth.

The regular Essential Research result is the only entry in an inevitably quiet week of opinion polling, to be followed by a post-budget deluge next week. This result is a good one for Labor, who tick up a point on two-party preferred to lead 54-46, with the Coalition down one on the primary vote to 37%, Labor up one to 38%, the Greens up one to 10% and One Nation maintaining an ongoing trend in dropping a point to 6%. Despite that, the regular monthly leadership ratings find Malcolm Turnbull up two on approval to 37%, although he is also up one on disapproval to 48%. Bill Shorten is up one on each, to 34% and 45%, and his deficit on preferred prime minister has narrowed from 39-28 to 39-31.

Other findings relate to the government’s university funding, with university funding cuts (28% to 56%) and student fee hikes (30% to 60%) heavily opposed, but lowering the threshold for student loan repayment slightly favoured (47% to 44%). Thirty-one per cent rated that students should pay a lesser share of the cost of their degrees, 20% thought it should be more, and 37% thought the current ratio (42% paid by students, 58% by the government) was about right. The poll also finds 71% rating a return to a budget surplus as important, versus only 19% for not important.

One other poll tidbit: the Financial Review reports a poll conducted by WA Opinion Polls for Labor-aligned communications company Campaign Capital finds cabinet minister Christian Porter trailing 52.2-47.8 in his Perth outskirts seat of Pearce, from a swing of 5.8%. The primary vote numbers make no distinction between “other” and “unsure”, so I’m not exactly sure what to make of them, but for the record they have Labor on 38.0% (34.3% at the election), Liberal on 33.8% (45.4%), the Greens on 8.0% (11.0%) and One Nation on 10.4% (uncontested). The poll was conducted a fortnight ago from a sample of 712.

Advertisement

Advertisement

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

1323 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
don
Guest

c@tmomma @ #1233 #1233 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 12:41 pm

TrogS,
I’ll bet your cat doesn’t have a climbing castle- as well as a brother to keep him company.
As stated previously, I believe in giving native fauna a fair go here, so I don’t have a cat, let alone two.

Domestic cats are a blight on the earth.

Jackol
Guest
Yeah, I seem to remember a fair number of the anti-Labor trolls were going on about how the battery backup only lasted 4 hours at the time and how this was an outrage of Conroy’s making blah blah blah. Now it seems the FTTN provides no service, by default, in the case of emergencies. Woo hoo. Cue outrage? I was kind of surprised that the original FTTP backup was speced so low in terms of operational time – although it may have been from the fact it (I guess) supported old POTS handsets, so needed to generate a 48V ‘local… Read more »
Aqualung
Guest

When I had fttp installed I took the battery backup option. My understanding was that it was if my property experienced a blackout and presumably the fibre was still active. It’s supposed to last about 4 hours. Most blackouts don’t last that long but that could easily change if storm intensities increase as appears to be occurring.

Player One
Guest

zoidlord @ #1221 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 12:19 pm

Why are you so protective of Batteries, you either have vested interest in them or you know someone who does.

I am neither pro- nor anti- batteries. I am just not optimistic about their prospects of being deployed in sufficient volume in time to do much good. That doesn’t mean we shouldn’t deploy them – it just means hey are not really going to do much to reduce C02 in the short to medium term.

zoidlord
Guest

Centerlink already has it’s first victims, a shark attack victim, who was refused the Pension.

bemused
Guest

jimmydoyle @ #1309 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:59 pm

Bemused – good on you. I do the same with my local council.

Symbolic only as so few do it. {sad}

zoidlord
Guest

@A R,

Yeah yeah I heard it all before, even from the battery creator himself said there was new developments coming but we never heard them again.
Just like Fraudband, we keep hearing these technologies are going to be the win.

bemused
Guest
simon aussie katich @ #1302 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:47 pm Bemused – I was wondering if a LV electrical cable may have accompanied the optical fibres. This could make sense as connecting each of the nodes to nearby powerlines would have been exe. There is no evidence I can see suggesting they connected the local Node to the powerlines across the road. Then again, nobody on this street has connected to NBN yet due to the stories of all the problems and low speeds others have experienced. For a start, there are much greater distances to the ‘exchange’… Read more »
Rex Douglas
Guest

Reachtel delivers a budget flop for Malcolm.

What a humiliation for the conservative rump this week has been. Spectacularly repudiated by the people and the parliament and returned to their swamp with tails between their legs.

Barney in Go Dau
Guest

jenauthor @ #1311 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 3:03 pm

Reachtel post budget poll telling 53/47 ALP

On the face of it, it sounds sh!t for the Government.

Anyone remember what they were last time.

ratsak
Guest

Budget bounce?

Nope Budget SPLAT!

jenauthor
Guest

Reachtel post budget poll telling 53/47 ALP

zoomster
Guest

Sorry, C@ — Howlong isn’t on my radar.

JimmyDoyle
Guest

Bemused – good on you. I do the same with my local council.

antonbruckner11
Guest
JimmyDoyle
Guest

Ides of March – I may or may not be somewhat blinded by my pet hatred of Farrelly. I report, you decide.

C@tmomma
Guest

This ‘Bowerbird’ Prime Minister is Colour Blind. Everything he picks up is Red. So bereft of original ideas is he. It’s hardly a recommendation to his skill as a politician to point that fact out.

Simon Katich
Guest

High winds and extreme fire danger usually coincide. A blackout with a fire raging nearby is a concern for everybody in the area. We use CFS app and live traffic apps along with emergency radio to plan what to do as well as phones to call for help or coordinate plans with local friends and family (some elderly).

Simon Katich
Guest

Bemused – I was wondering if a LV electrical cable may have accompanied the optical fibres. This could make sense as connecting each of the nodes to nearby powerlines would have been exe. There is no evidence I can see suggesting they connected the local Node to the powerlines across the road.

Then again, nobody on this street has connected to NBN yet due to the stories of all the problems and low speeds others have experienced.

Blanket Criticism
Guest
@Zoomster Great link! Will have to check it out as soon as I am able. My totally uninformed opinion is that if chauvanism is affecting the way the electorate votes it’s mostly happening in richer electorates, not more working class ones, contrary to popular opinion. I do however believe there is a tendency for both major parties to run female candidates against one another. Whatever increases representation though I suppose. There has obviously been a resurgence in chauvanistic thinking in the LNP since the election of Abbott though and it seems like a culture / perception that Turnball hasn’t really… Read more »
poroti
Guest

Lizzie

Ratsak
The look on Mal’s face during the OL’s speech suggested he was extremely unhappy

Well he did have to sit there and look uninterested as Shorten quite plainly suggested Truffles is a tax evader. My highlight of the night.

Jaeger
Guest

The battery backup was an optional extra for FTTP installation only.
http://www.nbnco.com.au/connect-home-or-business/already-connected/nbn-equipment/battery-back-up-service-information.html

HFC and FTTN connections will need their own backup solution (e.g. a UPS) for both the modem and your wireless phone base station (if applicable) – assuming that the node remains powered.

lizzie
Guest
For a budget credited with reset powers – with the potential to revive the Turnbull government’s ailing political fortunes – the backbench was curiously disengaged in parliament this week. There were lots of heads down diligently tending correspondence during the two question times immediately following the budget. A studious absence of emotion. If you call around a cross section of government people you piece together the “why” of the disengagement. Everyone sitting behind Malcolm Turnbull knows this budget is about shoring up Malcolm Turnbull, and this roll of the dice, this abrupt recasting of the central character of the government,… Read more »
ajm
Guest
kevjohnno When my late mother in law was having landline reliability problems a few years ago I investigated and discovered you could get (then) a device that looked and worked pretty much like a conventional fixed line phone but which was actually on the mobile network. Pretty sure it had battery backup for the mains power as well. It cost a bit (not huge) but looked like it might have been the best option. However, the problems resolved an soon after her health declined and she spent most of the time in hospital so we never went ahead with it.
lizzie
Guest

Ratsak

The look on Mal’s face during the OL’s speech suggested he was extremely unhappy.
Good.

ratsak
Guest

Bowerbird. FMD.

He is was and always will be an empty suit you morons. He goes for the bright shiny thing because he has never stood for anything he doesn’t see reflected in his shaving mirror.

He is Brian Trumble, the no one who stands no where. Of course Shorten will always set the political agenda against a formless mirage.

C@tmomma
Guest

Zoomster,
How’s the campaign to get the Cleanaway dump out of the middle of Howlong going? (If you know) 🙂

bemused
Guest

simon aussie katich @ #1285 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:20 pm

I am wondering how the Node is powered. Is it from the adjacent grid or a lower powered source via the NBN cabling and connected to the grid at the exchange?
The latter would be less susceptible to localised blackouts.

This has been much discussed on PB and elsewhere, including the amount of power the nodes will consume.
NBN has to get the power from local power distributors.
The NBN cabling from the ‘exchange’ (actually, point of connection) will be non-conducting fibre so no power through that.

C@tmomma
Guest
Sad but probably true: ДО СВИДА́НИЯ FBI Agents Worry White House Will Kneecap Russia Probe The acting FBI director may promise that the investigation into Trump-Russia connections will continue. Many agents aren’t buying it. JANA WINTER BETSY WOODRUFF On Tuesday night after James Comey got fired, FBI agents tasked with thwarting Russian intelligence operations started drinking. Two well-connected former FBI employees told The Daily Beast that counterintelligence agents working on Russia desk based at FBI headquarters in downtown Washington met for drinks in the hours after their boss’s firing and shared their concerns: that they would be moved to another… Read more »
bemused
Guest
simon aussie katich @ #1282 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:11 pm Bemused, not according to NBNCo. ************** Fibre to the Node (FTTN) Landline phone and internet services won’t work if there is a power outage either within the FTTN network or within your premises. Restoring power to your premises with an alternative power option will have no effect if the FTTN network is also experiencing power loss. You should consider keeping a charged mobile phone in case there is a power outage of any sort. ************** Hmmm, I recall reading about their batteries and what an attractive itme they… Read more »
bemused
Guest
kevjohnno @ #1279 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:08 pm Bemused I am being forced onto NBN HFC and from the information supplied to me the NBN equipment for this installation has no battery backup so when the power goes everything goes. Luckily my 91 year old mother’s person medical alarm was recently upgraded to a mobile phone connection but, as she refuses to use mobiles herself, the new setup will leave her without communications during blackouts if there is nobody in the house with a mobile. I believe I am destined for the same fate (HFC) which pisses me… Read more »
zoomster
Guest

I have a landline, because mobile phones don’t get reception out here (supposedly we’re getting a tower sometime this year…)

It’s very annoying, because the assumption is now that everyone has a mobile and many sites send you an access code via SMS. For some reason, people ring my mobile in preference to my home number, even though I always stress that ringing my mobile might mean I don’t get the message for days.

PeeBee
Guest

There are some people in the community that need power and communication as without it, their lives are at peril. I know the screed from NBNco went to great lengths to let them know if I was in such a position. I am not, but I wonder what sort of special arrangement they have for these people?

zoomster
Guest

I meant ‘marginally better’, damn it.

zoomster
Guest

Of course, dogs are only marginally worse than cats, and they’re a bigger contributor to carbon emissions for most households than the family car….

Simon Katich
Guest

I am wondering how the Node is powered. Is it from the adjacent grid or a lower powered source via the NBN cabling and connected to the grid at the exchange?

The latter would be less susceptible to localised blackouts.

phoenixRED
Guest

Australia ‘open’ to US request for more troops in Afghanistan, Turnbull says

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-05-12/nato-requests-australia-troops-in-afghanistan/8520738

When will they ever learn …….

lizzie
Guest
This is the Malcolm Turnbull that has befuddled and disappointed Australians since coming to the prime ministership. They simply got him wrong. He is not a shape-shifter in the way Kevin Rudd was, but he has nevertheless confounded classification. Why? Because he is a firm occupant of the Australian centre. He is not from the left. And he is not from the right. He is a political bowerbird who steals anything that could look blue. …It was a big-spending, big-taxing budget that was not Labor-lite, but busy in its centrist repurposing of education and health policy. That said, Health Minister… Read more »
Simon Katich
Guest

Bemused, not according to NBNCo.
**************
Fibre to the Node (FTTN)
Landline phone and internet services won’t work if there is a power outage either within the FTTN network or within your premises. Restoring power to your premises with an alternative power option will have no effect if the FTTN network is also experiencing power loss. You should consider keeping a charged mobile phone in case there is a power outage of any sort.
**************

zoomster
Guest

I’ve just stumbled across this (I’m sure others have seen it, and I’m just slow..)

https://www.menziesrc.org/images/PDF/MRC_Gender__Politics_Report_2017_Update_web.pdf

It’s the Liberal party’s analysis of why they’ve lost the women vote. Worth reading to get a grasp of how totally out of touch they are.

For example, they quote Peter Reith saying that Julia Gillard was only preselected because of Labor’s gender quota, and (basically) that’s why she was a crap Prime Minister*.

Tony Abbott was preselected without a gender quota, and he was pretty crap, but the report appears to think Reith’s proposition is perfectly sound.

*Peter Reith’s assessment, not mine.

poroti
Guest

PeeBee
Begging calls from charities etc caused me to pull the land line plug several years ago so it does not bother me as far as calls go. However I am sure there will be people and situations where no power = no landline will be very bad news. Although I do not use mine it is still there should the mobile network go out. Which it has on a couple of occasions.

kevjohnno
Guest

Bemused I am being forced onto NBN HFC and from the information supplied to me the NBN equipment for this installation has no battery backup so when the power goes everything goes. Luckily my 91 year old mother’s person medical alarm was recently upgraded to a mobile phone connection but, as she refuses to use mobiles herself, the new setup will leave her without communications during blackouts if there is nobody in the house with a mobile.

Simon Katich
Guest

**Now we’re fighting cats n dogs**
So long as it doesnt rain Kevins and Julias.

bemused
Guest

simon aussie katich @ #1270 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 2:02 pm

I thought it didnt matter if you had backup power at home; if there is a blackout the NBN FTTN internet and phone will not work.
Which is a worry because in one of last years blackouts the telstra mobile tower battery backup only lasted a few hours.

The nodes have batteries.
But as with the mobile phone towers, if a blackout is prolonged then their batteries will run out.

cud chewer
Guest

Now we’re fighting cats n dogs 🙂

bemused
Guest

lizzie @ #1267 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 1:59 pm

Poroti

No power no phone. So keep the mobile charged for emergencies.

This is part of the so-called higher standard of living that we are supposed to rejoice in, but every ‘improvement’ forced on us with no choice, costs more money.

How’s your horse and buggy Lizzie?

bemused
Guest

poroti @ #1265 Friday, May 12, 2017 at 1:54 pm

Bemused
Looking at the Gateway it does not appear to have a battery. Back up or otherwise, wall plug or nothing. No power no phone. So keep the mobile charged for emergencies.

It will require power somehow, I presume it must be connected to the mains. Which would mean you can get a UPS for it and also keep your Internet running in a blackout.

wpDiscuz

Advertisement

Telling you what the others don't. FREE for 21 days.