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Nothing doing from Newspoll this week, but The Guardian reports Essential Research is back to showing Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, after four weeks at 52-48. A slip of the keyboard at The Guardian appears to have deprived us with a primary vote figure for Labor, which was at 36% last week, but we are told that the Coalition is down one to 38%, the Greens are up one to 11%, One Nation is steady on 7% and the Nick Xenophon Team is steady on 3%. The full report should be on the Essential Research website later today. (UPDATE: Full report here; Labor primary vote turned out to be unchanged on 36%.) Also featured:

• Forty-three per cent of respondents felt Tony Abbott should resign from parliament, compared with only 18% who wanted him in the ministry and 14% who felt he should remain on the back bench.

• Support for same sex marriage rated three points higher than when the question was last asked a month ago, at 63%, with opposition down a point to 25%. Fifty-nine per cent wanted the matter to be determined by a plebiscite compared with 29% who favoured it being determined by parliament, compared with 61% and 27% in the previous poll.

• On the question of housing affordability, 74% supported limitations on foreign buyers, 56% allowing to downsize their homes to contribute to their superannuation, 44% bans on interest-only loans for property investors, 44% allowing young buyers to access their superannuation, and 43% the removal of negative gearing. Sixty-six per cent consider housing unaffordable in their area for someone on an average income, versus 25% for affordable, and 73% believed it had become less affordable over the past few years.

Elsewhere:

• I had a paywalled article in Crikey yesterday on YouGov’s arrival on the local scene, and the state of the Australian polling industry in general.

• The Australia Institute has taken a stab at predicting the complexion of the Senate after the next election, based on polling trends. Its projection for a normal half-Senate election suggests nothing much would change.

• The Australian Electoral Commission has published information-packed research papers on the rate and demographics of voter turnout, informal voting, and the impact of the new Senate system with respect to above and below the line voting rates and the number of boxes filled out.

Sarah Vogler of the Courier-Mail reports Queensland’s Liberal National Party have been conducting polling of the marginal inner Brisbane seat of Maiwar, created in the redistribution from abolished Indooroopilly and Mount Coot-tha, to gauge how badly they would be damaged in such areas by a preference deal with One Nation. No results are provided, but an unnamed LNP source calls the poll a “dumb move”, which has had the effect of “unnecessarily telegraphing the party’s intentions”.

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CTar1
Guest

Briefly

I’d think the discussion towards settling a joint communique from the G20 leaders that includes climate change and world trade would not be to Trump’s taste.

He’s away with the pixies…

Maybe his visit to Italy for discussion on the Paris Accord was a practice run?

If so he’ll leave telling the other G20 leaders he will let them know next week if he agrees to sign the communique or not …

cud chewer
Guest

Grimace most people are only going to use a small fraction of their EV’s battery capacity so its not as big a deal as you’d think. What’s going to be interesting is how the market for daytime charging (while at work) develops. A lot of good reasons for solar on shopping center and office roofs.

briefly
Guest

CTar1
Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 12:11 am
Briefly

I’d think the discussion towards settling a joint communique from the G20 leaders that includes climate change and world trade would not be to Trump’s taste.

He’s away with the pixies…

CTar1
Guest

Briefly

I’d think the discussion towards settling a joint communique from the G20 leaders that includes climate change and world trade would not be to Trump’s taste.

CTar1
Guest

Turnbull on Trump giving him a lift in Trumps armored car –

“We talked about a number of things, including some old mutual friends.”

‘Old mutual friends’ from Turnbull’s involvement in advising on an ill-fated gold mining investment in Russia?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-07-08/turnbull-hitches-private-ride-in-trumps-armoured-vehicle/8690924

briefly
Guest

http://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/donald-trump-replaced-by-daughter-ivanka-at-g20-world-leaders-meeting-a3583236.html

Ivanka deputises for Trump, taking a place next to Merkel and Xi. The message….Trump has sent someone he trusts to occupy his seat….but beyond that, he could hardly care less about the formalities of the G20. Evidently, he has nothing to say to these other leaders and has no wish to listen to them either. Trump obviously does not want to be one among many.

CTar1
Guest

TR

However what I hope will happen is the following:

People will still remain connected to the grid, They only install batteries for blackouts.
They feed solar into the grid getting a credit. This credit pays for their night time use and daily charge. This solar displaces coal and gas during the day.

Yes.

grimace
Guest

timothy reichle @ #1491 Saturday, July 8, 2017 at 10:45 pm

For the cost of going off grid:
https://www.ebay.com.au/i/161245625495?chn=ps&dispItem=1 $2,100 8kw Inverter + battery charger.
http://www.lowenergydevelopments.com.au/index.php?route=product/product&path=25&product_id=56 10kw of panels = 8,360
http://www.lowenergydevelopments.com.au/index.php?route=product/product&path=33&product_id=62 100 batteries for 60kwh at 50% DOD. 42,000
$52,460 for a top of the line system.
Cost for grid power
$3,089.42 / year.
Not quite their yet but a couple more increases in the cost of grid and a couple more reductions in battery costs and people will start to leave the grid.
However what I hope will happen is the following:
People will still remain connected to the grid, They only install batteries for blackouts.
They feed solar into the grid getting a credit. This credit pays for their night time use and daily charge. This solar displaces coal and gas during the day.

There is nothing state of the art about a lead based battery that can only achieve a depth of discharge of 50%, without substantially reducing its cycle life. Household/EV/utility scale lithium batteries will do 90% without substantial impact on its cycle life. and a flow battery will go 100%, with cycle life not being relevant to a flow battery as the life of the electrolyte is theoretically indefinite.

I agree with you that few people who have access to the grid in Australia will disconnect from it, though I think batteries will be popular in the same way solar panels have been.

PV prices will continue to fall and battery prices will follow the same cost curve as PV, the factor limiting disconnection will be the backup offered by the grid as few people will install sufficient PV & battery storage to get them through dark & rainy winter days where PV output is very limited. I can’t see too many people disconnecting from the grid and installing gas generators either, that would be a great way to piss your neighbours off.

The other factor is EV’s. Further to my previous point, there would be even fewer people with the resources and sufficient roof space to install enough panels & batteries to run their house and charge their one or two EV’s up overnight.

a r
Guest

Blanket Criticism @ #1414 Saturday, July 8th, 2017 – 6:31 pm

What if the person who told them it was a fake gun was wrong? I’m assuming the guy was under the influence and made the wrong sudden move.

What if the officers showed restraint, and at least coordinated with the owners and security staff at the nightclub to verify that there was in fact probable cause of a crime requiring police intervention before storming in? Particularly in the context of a nightclub, where people go to hang out, dress up, get drunk, and generally be stupid. And where no violent crime or imminent violent crime had been alleged.

Unless the club asked the police to be there (or gave cause to believe that they were deliberately hiding a reason for police to be there), there was no reason for them to be.

kezza2
Guest

Diog
“Have I missed something? Was Rommel involved in Rudd’s downfall?”

Apparently, you have. It was written by Bemused Rudddel.

It’s title “The Psychiatric Nurse Whose Daughter Became Prime Minister of Australia And I’ll Never Forgive Her”

briefly
Guest
Diogenes
Guest

Have I missed something? Was Rommel involved in Rudd’s downfall?

Timothy Reichle
Guest

And for something a little crazy. Electric cars have 85kwh batteries, so if you use 30kwh for the house , you can go to a charging station and bring home enough power for the day.

briefly
Guest

For the benefit of the curious bludger, I had a conversation this evening with one of my children. He lives and works in London and is usually a well-informed observer of the Uk political situation. He made these observations:

– The best estimate of the bureaucracy is that the wheels will fall off the Brexit cart
– Corbyn is an ideologic Europhobe who regards the EU as an exercise in imperialist capitalism that should be rejected
– Corbyn hates the Labour right more than he despises Tories
– That even if the Tories split, Corbyn will not run a Stop Brexit campaign, partly because he doesn’t believe in it and partly because it would mean empowering his own right wing
– Basically, chaos lies ahead in the UK.

Neo Imperialist Tories and Neo Trot Labour will wreck the place.

Timothy Reichle
Guest

For the cost of going off grid:
https://www.ebay.com.au/i/161245625495?chn=ps&dispItem=1 $2,100 8kw Inverter + battery charger.
http://www.lowenergydevelopments.com.au/index.php?route=product/product&path=25&product_id=56 10kw of panels = 8,360
http://www.lowenergydevelopments.com.au/index.php?route=product/product&path=33&product_id=62 100 batteries for 60kwh at 50% DOD. 42,000
$52,460 for a top of the line system.
Cost for grid power
$3,089.42 / year.
Not quite their yet but a couple more increases in the cost of grid and a couple more reductions in battery costs and people will start to leave the grid.

However what I hope will happen is the following:

People will still remain connected to the grid, They only install batteries for blackouts.
They feed solar into the grid getting a credit. This credit pays for their night time use and daily charge. This solar displaces coal and gas during the day.

kezza2
Guest

Ctar1

Rommel didn’t get along with Garibaldi.

One book leads to another . . .

kezza2
Guest

“I think Kezza is trying to demonstrate the kind of pig-headed belligerence Rommel displayed. Anyone care to go a couple of rounds with her?”

By this post, you, bemused, could be (a) accused of trolling or (b) incitement to trolling

Pull your head in, for a change.

Ides of March
Guest

?

I see in the credits for the actors the same name of the author.

Question
Guest

John R,
My wife has read the book. I’ve heard the author is very happy with the series.

wpDiscuz