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This week’s reading of BludgerTrack, supplemented only by the usual weekly result from Essential Research, is another big load of nothing, the only movement being a gain for the Coalition on the seat projection in Western Australia, balanced by a loss in Victoria. One Nation has bumped downwards for the second week in a row, but this is very likely a statistical artefact. BludgerTrack is making no effort to bias adjust for One Nation, which is recording stronger numbers from Newspoll (11% in the last poll) than Essential Research (down to 6% this week). Since Newspoll hasn’t reported for three weeks, Essential’s numbers are presently carrying greater weight. If the Newspoll that will presumably be out tonight or tomorrow is true to form, expect One Nation to tick back upwards on BludgerTrack next week. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

Also:

Latika Bourke of Fairfax reveals that leaked nomination papers reveal the five contestants the Western Australian Liberal Senate vacancy of Chris Back, whose resignation took effect in the middle of last month. The front-runner out of an all male line-up is said to be Slade Brockman, a former staffer to local conservative heavyweight Mathias Cormann. Also on the list are David Barton, a physiotherapist; Gabi Ghasseb, a Lebanese-born and Bunbury-based businessman; and two entrants on the Liberals’ Battle of the Somme-length casualty list at the March state election: Michael Sutherland, former Speaker and member for the Mount Lawley, and Mark Lewis, former Agriculture Minister and upper house member for Mining and Pastoral region. Noting the absence of women, Bourke reports that Erin Watson-Lynn, a director of AsiaLink said to be aligned with Julie Bishop and the moderate tendency, was considering nominating but failed to find support.

• As the federal parliamentary term enters its second year, we’re beginning to hear the first murmurings about preselections for the next election. Tom McIlroy of The Canberra Times reports Liberal nominees for Eden-Monaro will include former Army combat engineer Nigel Catchlove, and that “international relations expert and Navy veteran Jerry Nockles is considering a tilt”. Nationals federal director Ben Hindmarsh says the party is considering fielding a candidate in the seat for the first time since 1993. State upper house MP Bronnie Taylor is mentioned as a possible contender, odd career move though that would be.

• With the retirement of Thomas George at the next state election, the Byron Shire Echo reports that the Nationals will conduct an open primary style “community preselection” to choose a new candidate in Lismore, which they very nearly lost to the Greens in 2015.

• The Australian Parliamentary Library brings us a review of last year’s election and a look at what would happen in the event that an early election required a mini-redistribution, both by Damon Muller.

• If you’ve ever been wondering what happened to content that used to be accessible on the website before the redesign removed the sidebar, you might find now an answer on my newly reupholstered personal website, pollbludger.net. At the very least you’ll be able to access the historical BludgerTrack charts, comment moderation guidelines and links to all my federal, state and territory election guides going back to 2004 (albeit that some of these have lost their formatting and are a bit of a dog’s breakfast). I hope to use this site a lot more in future for things the Crikey architecture can’t accommodate.

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Ides of March
Guest

David:
Congratulations on your retirement. I can wait to retire and not have to work in….. I wont say how many years.

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Fess

confessions
Guest

Davidwh:

Enjoy your retirement!

CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Good choice.

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Steve. Another year would have been handy financially but other things are more important.

davidwh
Guest

Hi Bemused yes we have travel trips planned. Qld first, then south and west and finally Tassie.

Steve777
Guest
Hello Davidwh: congratulations, enjoy your retirement. I’ve been a self-funded* retiree for several years now. I was retrenched a few years before I intended retiring. It felt funny at first not getting up early, getting on a train and going to work. I soon got used to it**. There was more time to visit and help with family, including my nonagenarian father for his last couple of years. Got roped into the Strata committee of my building. You’ll find lots to do, including travel. * but I didn’t suddenly get an urge to start voting Liberal, even though I had… Read more »
CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Don’t think so.

bemused
Guest

davidwh @ #254 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:56 pm

Does this mean I have to vote Liberal now CTar?

It means you will have time to volunteer for worthy causes like getting rid of the current Federal Government.

bemused
Guest

davidwh @ #249 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:49 pm

I’m now officially a self-funded retiree and Grey Nomad. Not getting up tomorrow morning and going to work will be a new experience.

Good evening comrade.
Do you have lots of things lined up to do?

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Douglas & Milko

davidwh
Guest

Does this mean I have to vote Liberal now CTar?

CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Congratulations.

Monday morning sleep in GOOD!

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Good luck Davidwh!

Ides of March
Guest

David Rowe is brilliant. Always leaves me a bit nauseous though.

bemused
Guest

steve777 @ #248 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:44 pm

I have been quite surprised at the number of heated pools, their quality and popularity.
Of course. It’s been a while since I’ve been to a public pool. Bankstown baths was one of my favourite hangouts half a century ago. Not heated in those days of course.

Hahaha… mine too. But gone now.
To do some training during winter I had to travel an inordinate distance.

davidwh
Guest

I’m now officially a self-funded retiree and Grey Nomad. Not getting up tomorrow morning and going to work will be a new experience.

Steve777
Guest

I have been quite surprised at the number of heated pools, their quality and popularity.

Of course. It’s been a while since I’ve been to a public pool. Bankstown baths was one of my favourite hangouts half a century ago. Not heated in those days of course.

bemused
Guest

briefly @ #245 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:29 pm

Confessions @7.13….
Not so much…. he’s an equal opportunity insult-emitting device….

And an equal opportunity recipient of insults and abuse it should be noted.

alias
Guest

For me Elizabeth Moss will always be President Jed Bartlet’s daughter.

briefly
Guest

Confessions @7.13….

Not so much…. he’s an equal opportunity insult-emitting device….

victoria
Guest

It is not that Uhlmann has recognised it. Hell even a simpleton like me knew what Trump was all about. It is that Ulhmann has actually said it in his capacity as a commentator. Something of a rarity up until now

Socrates
Guest

On The Handmaid’s Tale, the author Margaret Atwood said at the time, that while it was fiction, every plot element relating to women in the story were things that were actually done to real women in one society or another.

bemused
Guest

adrian @ #239 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:14 pm

Quite amusing. Ulhmann recognises something as obvious as dog’s balls, and is to be applauded?

It may be he is experiencing an epiphany.
May it be permanent.

bemused
Guest

ctar1 @ #237 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:10 pm

Bemused – At the ‘Off Peak Senior’ rate? {grin}

Cheapest option (just) was a ‘family ticket’.
And to get off-peak you have to be there when no normal person would be.
Excellent value really.

Socrates
Guest

Who says Labour doesn’t help the Liberals pay back the bulging debt left by Hockeynomics? Wayne Swan’s competence just netted them $50 million.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/philip-morris-ordered-to-pay-australia-millions-in-costs-for-plain-packaging-case-20170709-gx7mv5.html

adrian
Guest

Quite amusing. Ulhmann recognises something as obvious as dog’s balls, and is to be applauded?

mari
Guest

https://mobile.twitter.com/roweafr/status/883964148224204801/photo/1
Back from beach from final swim to be greeted by David Rowe latest

CTar1
Guest

Bemused – At the ‘Off Peak Senior’ rate? {grin}

briefly
Guest

I wonder if there will be any takers on the LNP backbench for Smith’s bill….will they exercise their conscience?

The Right may find they are not the only ones who can take advantage of the fine numbers in the House.

poroti
Guest

Frednk
Ah the “body language” experts. Up there with phrenologists, astrologists and sadly …………economists 😉

bemused
Guest

steve777 @ #232 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 7:54 pm

In the pool in Melbourne in July?

I have been quite surprised at the number of heated pools, their quality and popularity.
This one was at Cranbourne East http://www.caseyrace.ymca.org.au/.
Fantastic for kids – all sorts of novelty things including a huge bucket which periodically tipped a load of water over kids beneath it to their squeals of delight.
There is a big water slide which only allows kids over 10 so the girls had to watch while their dad and I had a go. 😀

CTar1
Guest

S777 – Indoor heated, no doubt.

Steve777
Guest

In the pool in Melbourne in July?

frednk
Guest

“Had he really gone to all the trouble of trying to rig the US presidential election for this? Maybe he would have been better off with Hillary after all. At least you could have an intelligent conversation with her.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/07/upper-hand-trump-and-putins-body-language-shows-whos-the-boss

Sohar
Guest

“Concur with you re Ulhmann and his assessment of Trump.
It was clear concise and spot on”
As someone noted, Uhlmann is only now saying what most other people have been saying for ages. Big deal.

confessions
Guest

If anything happens on SSM it will be because cross benchers take action. The Libs are hamstrung on the issue and won’t proceed.

victoria
Guest

Boerwar

Concur with you re Ulhmann and his assessment of Trump.
It was clear concise and spot on

confessions
Guest

So what’s going to happen when enough libs cross the floor to have SSM debated and then passed?

That will never happen.

bemused
Guest

Had a great afternoon having a swim with my two youngest granddaughters and their dad.
Amazing diversity of people at the pool and all having a great time with a lot of parents doing the right things and getting kids used to the water and taking the first steps to learning to swim. Nice to be out in the real world doing the things that matter at times 😀

antonbruckner11
Guest

So what’s going to happen when enough libs cross the floor to have SSM debated and then passed? Will the RWNJs blame Malcolm? Will they bring him down.

bemused
Guest

Really funny to come online and find Confessions pursuing her new favourite obsession, me, and spreading lies and bs.

markjs
Guest

BK..

..very droll 🙂

Steve777
Guest

One thing that’s different about the Trump Presidency is it’s total lack of dignity and how it reflects on the US Nation. Tony Abbott was bad enough at our G20, but this guy is like a combination of dodgy used car salesman, clown and petulant adolescent. It must be hugely embarrassing for non-Trump supporting Americans. There have been bad Presidents before – incompetents, crooks – but this total lack of dignity seems to be unique.

confessions
Guest

Davidwh:

Your ‘comrade’ also always only attacks women commenters, never men so I’m sure you’ll be fine. #misogyny101

BK
Guest

markjs @ #219 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 7:09 pm

Schadenfreude …Lol!!..
“Philip Morris ordered to pay Australia millions in costs for plain packaging case..”
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/philip-morris-ordered-to-pay-australia-millions-in-costs-for-plain-packaging-case-20170709-gx7mv5.html

I suppose they’ll have to cough it up.

markjs
Guest

Schadenfreude …Lol!!..

“Philip Morris ordered to pay Australia millions in costs for plain packaging case..”

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/philip-morris-ordered-to-pay-australia-millions-in-costs-for-plain-packaging-case-20170709-gx7mv5.html

citizen
Guest

After G20, Turnbull is again forced to confront LNP self-destruction over SSM:

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has poured cold water on a Liberal backbencher’s move to present a private member’s bill to allow a conscience vote on same-sex marriage.

“The government’s policy is very clear: we support a plebiscite where all Australians would be given a vote on the matter and that remains our policy,” he told reporters in Paris.

http://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/wa-senator-seeking-parliament-gay-vote/news-story/c4e7452b9cd113ce5e0103217bf4897c

KayJay
Guest
confessions @ #202 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 5:52 pm I’ve been captivated by The Handmaid’s Tale. And this may sound silly, but while the rational part of me knows it’s a fictional tale, there is a part of me casting eyes to the US, and particularly to the Republican controlled Congress, and Republican-dominated state legislatures and wondering whether something similar couldn’t happen there today. I mean the GOP is to religious fundamentalist extremism what 7-Eleven is to cheap illegal labour in Oz. Please, Oh Please may providence keep this book and TV series a secret from the IPA and… Read more »
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