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This week’s reading of BludgerTrack, supplemented only by the usual weekly result from Essential Research, is another big load of nothing, the only movement being a gain for the Coalition on the seat projection in Western Australia, balanced by a loss in Victoria. One Nation has bumped downwards for the second week in a row, but this is very likely a statistical artefact. BludgerTrack is making no effort to bias adjust for One Nation, which is recording stronger numbers from Newspoll (11% in the last poll) than Essential Research (down to 6% this week). Since Newspoll hasn’t reported for three weeks, Essential’s numbers are presently carrying greater weight. If the Newspoll that will presumably be out tonight or tomorrow is true to form, expect One Nation to tick back upwards on BludgerTrack next week. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings.

Also:

Latika Bourke of Fairfax reveals that leaked nomination papers reveal the five contestants the Western Australian Liberal Senate vacancy of Chris Back, whose resignation took effect in the middle of last month. The front-runner out of an all male line-up is said to be Slade Brockman, a former staffer to local conservative heavyweight Mathias Cormann. Also on the list are David Barton, a physiotherapist; Gabi Ghasseb, a Lebanese-born and Bunbury-based businessman; and two entrants on the Liberals’ Battle of the Somme-length casualty list at the March state election: Michael Sutherland, former Speaker and member for the Mount Lawley, and Mark Lewis, former Agriculture Minister and upper house member for Mining and Pastoral region. Noting the absence of women, Bourke reports that Erin Watson-Lynn, a director of AsiaLink said to be aligned with Julie Bishop and the moderate tendency, was considering nominating but failed to find support.

• As the federal parliamentary term enters its second year, we’re beginning to hear the first murmurings about preselections for the next election. Tom McIlroy of The Canberra Times reports Liberal nominees for Eden-Monaro will include former Army combat engineer Nigel Catchlove, and that “international relations expert and Navy veteran Jerry Nockles is considering a tilt”. Nationals federal director Ben Hindmarsh says the party is considering fielding a candidate in the seat for the first time since 1993. State upper house MP Bronnie Taylor is mentioned as a possible contender, odd career move though that would be.

• With the retirement of Thomas George at the next state election, the Byron Shire Echo reports that the Nationals will conduct an open primary style “community preselection” to choose a new candidate in Lismore, which they very nearly lost to the Greens in 2015.

• The Australian Parliamentary Library brings us a review of last year’s election and a look at what would happen in the event that an early election required a mini-redistribution, both by Damon Muller.

• If you’ve ever been wondering what happened to content that used to be accessible on the website before the redesign removed the sidebar, you might find now an answer on my newly reupholstered personal website, pollbludger.net. At the very least you’ll be able to access the historical BludgerTrack charts, comment moderation guidelines and links to all my federal, state and territory election guides going back to 2004 (albeit that some of these have lost their formatting and are a bit of a dog’s breakfast). I hope to use this site a lot more in future for things the Crikey architecture can’t accommodate.

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266 comments

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Ides of March
Guest

David:
Congratulations on your retirement. I can wait to retire and not have to work in….. I wont say how many years.

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Fess

confessions
Guest

Davidwh:

Enjoy your retirement!

CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Good choice.

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Steve. Another year would have been handy financially but other things are more important.

davidwh
Guest

Hi Bemused yes we have travel trips planned. Qld first, then south and west and finally Tassie.

Steve777
Guest

Hello Davidwh: congratulations, enjoy your retirement. I’ve been a self-funded* retiree for several years now. I was retrenched a few years before I intended retiring. It felt funny at first not getting up early, getting on a train and going to work. I soon got used to it**. There was more time to visit and help with family, including my nonagenarian father for his last couple of years. Got roped into the Strata committee of my building. You’ll find lots to do, including travel.

* but I didn’t suddenly get an urge to start voting Liberal, even though I had joined one of their favourite demographics.
** funnily enough, for the first couple of years I kept dreaming that I had started going to back to work again (same place) or that I had been called back. It was sometimes a relief to wake up, not always.

CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Don’t think so.

bemused
Guest

davidwh @ #254 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:56 pm

Does this mean I have to vote Liberal now CTar?

It means you will have time to volunteer for worthy causes like getting rid of the current Federal Government.

bemused
Guest

davidwh @ #249 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:49 pm

I’m now officially a self-funded retiree and Grey Nomad. Not getting up tomorrow morning and going to work will be a new experience.

Good evening comrade.
Do you have lots of things lined up to do?

davidwh
Guest

Thanks Douglas & Milko

davidwh
Guest

Does this mean I have to vote Liberal now CTar?

CTar1
Guest

Davidwh – Congratulations.

Monday morning sleep in GOOD!

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Good luck Davidwh!

Ides of March
Guest

David Rowe is brilliant. Always leaves me a bit nauseous though.

bemused
Guest

steve777 @ #248 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:44 pm

I have been quite surprised at the number of heated pools, their quality and popularity.
Of course. It’s been a while since I’ve been to a public pool. Bankstown baths was one of my favourite hangouts half a century ago. Not heated in those days of course.

Hahaha… mine too. But gone now.
To do some training during winter I had to travel an inordinate distance.

davidwh
Guest

I’m now officially a self-funded retiree and Grey Nomad. Not getting up tomorrow morning and going to work will be a new experience.

Steve777
Guest

I have been quite surprised at the number of heated pools, their quality and popularity.

Of course. It’s been a while since I’ve been to a public pool. Bankstown baths was one of my favourite hangouts half a century ago. Not heated in those days of course.

bemused
Guest

briefly @ #245 Sunday, July 9, 2017 at 8:29 pm

Confessions @7.13….
Not so much…. he’s an equal opportunity insult-emitting device….

And an equal opportunity recipient of insults and abuse it should be noted.

wpDiscuz