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YouGov-Fifty Acres: L-NP 36, ALP 33, Greens 12, One Nation 7

The second federal poll from YouGov goes against the grain in recording an uptick in support for the Coalition, while also finding a big majority in favour of legalising same-sex marriage.

The second fortnightly federal voting intention poll by YouGov for Fifty Acres records a three point increase in the Coalition primary vote, now at 36%, with Labor down one to 33%, the Greens steady on 12% and One Nation steady on 7%. The combined vote for all other parties is down two to 12%, making it slightly less unusual than that score than Newspoll and Essential Research, who respectively have it at 8% and 10%. However, what’s very unusual is a respondent-allocated two-party preferred result that gives the Coalition a lead of 52-48, the reverse of what the result would be if 2016 preference flows were used, as per the other pollsters. I don’t quite have the confidence to lead a post with “52-48 to Coalition” based such an unorthodox reading, so I’ll be using primary votes for my YouGov headlines for the time being.

The poll also found 60% support for same-sex marriage, with 28% opposed; health and hospitals were rated the most important election issue by 45%, followed by pensions on 33% and job security and unemployment on 31%; 56% supportive of a tax on companies that used robots to fund support for those who lost jobs as a result; and 54% expressing concern at indigenous languages falling into disuse, but only 33% believing the government should do anything about it. The poll was conducted online from Thursday to Tuesday, with a sample of a little over 1000.

UPDATE: The Australia Institute has published results of a poll conducted in South Australia by ReachTEL, which shows (after allocating the forced response question from the 7.1% undecided) federal voting intention in the state at 34.3% for the Liberals (down 0.8% on last year’s election), 32.1% for Labor (up 0.6%), 14.9% for the Nick Xenophon Team (down 6.4%), 6.6% for the Greens (up 0.4%), 4.6% for One Nation (didn’t field lower house candidates) and 3.9% for Australian Conservatives (unchanged on the Family First vote). There’s also a separate question on Senate voting intention, and while I have my doubts about such an exercise, it has the Liberals on 30.1% (down 2.5%), Labor on 26.1% (down 1.2%), the Nick Xenophon Team on 21.7% (unchanged), the Greens on 8.2% (up 2.3%), One Nation on 4.8% (up 1.8%) and Australian Conservatives on 5.2% (up 2.3% on the Family First vote, for the most encouraging poll result the party has yet received).

The poll also records strong support for the ABC, with 40.4% wanting its funding increased, 33.4% kept as is and only 17.5% reduced; 64.8% opposed to the government cutting funding to the ABC to get support on relaxed media ownership laws from One Nation, with 16.5% supportive; and 56.3% supportive of a strong online presence for the ABC “even if it effects the commercial viability of commercial media outlets”, with 16.4% opposed (the anti-ABC numbers across the three questions being notably similar). The automated phone poll was conducted from 1589 respondents on June 29.

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1501 comments

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ratsak
Guest

Oh Henry…

Went to see McCartney on his 96 tour. Parramatta Stadium, around the half way line. He was great playing lots of the rocking Beatles numbers, not too much soppy stuff. So obviously I’m on my feet.

And I might have been the only one not in the first couple of rows that was. I was getting complaints FFS. I couldn’t believe it. Paul fucking McCartney was tearing it up and all these wankers were sitting like it was a school concert.

Those dopes sat and moped through the entire show. Then they got up for the encore. You guessed it. Hey Bloody Jude and Mull of Fucking Kintyre. I wanted to be sick.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

Schnappi, yes, I remember now, his name was Schnappi.
Sadly, I reckon it is time we can say,
Vale Schnappi and thank you for your contribution to our bludger life.
https://vimeo.com/55039362

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Puff, yes just saw this.
Good stuff.
The grant app I just submitted was for funding for an old boiler like me (er maybe senior woman?) to go and work with young’uns in STEM, to give them suggestions on how to survive.

Time for sleep for me now.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

talking female doctors…The new Doctor in Doctor Who is a woman, Jodie Whittaker,
Yay.

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Hmmm – my bastardised html is not working, but the above post at least makes sense.
Back to blockquotes I guess.

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Puffy

I am so happy to hear that. The Poll Bludger online community mirrors my inner city Redfern / Waterloo community.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

We had met her at our SA Chapter lunch and talked to her on the phone.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

Two of us went to Crikey Whitey’s service, with flowers and a card on behalf of Pollbludgers.

Douglas and Milko
Guest

Have just finished writing a grant due midnight, WA time. As usual, I check Poll Bludger before going to sleep. I do not comment a lot, mostly lurk, but this place is my virtual common room.

I drifted here a few years ago, from the Dogonauts (First Dog on the Moon) Lounge. My standard lunch until then was to get out my sandwich, close the office door, look at the FDOTM cartoon of the day, and read the comments. I was too busy to comment myself, but was waiting for the Christmas break, when I could indulge myself by making comments on FDOTMs latest cartoon,

Alas, when I got the chance, FDOTM was on holidays, and then it turned out he was headed for the Grauniad.

However, I then looked at the other Crikey offerings (I had also followed Possum Comitatus, but by then he had found a real job). I lighted on Poll Bludger, and have been hooked ever since.

I cannot remember when I first came here (It was the year FDOTM went to the Grauniad), but I think I have been here for quite a few years.

I remember having a particular affinity for the posters Jules (are you still lurking) and TPOF, who still posts. Diogenes, Shellbell, Lizzie, Victoria, BK, Simon Katich (who really knows an awful lot about cricket), CatMomma, DavidWH, and a whole lot of others, who I realise are too numerous to name make this site the wonderful viewing.

I also remember losing Crikey Whitey and Geez Louise in the first year I was here.

And of course, my most profound thanks to our overarching deity, William, without whom this blog would not exist, and our virtual community would just disappear into the aether.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

zoidy
Abbott a few times looked as if he wanted to jump over the table and throttle someone. Now he has not got to cross the room to reach his enemy.

zoidlord
Guest

@Puffy

At least some excitement in otherwise boring Ozzy Parliament.

If there was a brawl.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

That Rudd/Gillard map reading exercise was one of the most painfully embarrassing political stunts I have ever seen the ALP do. I thought there was going to be a brawl break out any minute. Whoever thought of that should have been sacked.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

link
New @BrookingsInst data-how girls’ ed combats climate change. @GPforEducation work can build on Paris Accord. http://brook.gs/2s3GXeb -JG

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

FPM Julia Gillard with an article linking education for girls and combating climate change.
https://twitter.com/JuliaGillard/status/871114042974195712

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

Scorpio is still about on Twitter now, I think. His little grandson must be near at school now.
Then there was the Late Shift. We did have a lot of fun.
There is a pod over at The Pub, having left the mothership.

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puffy, The Magic Dragon.

Who was that bludger with the little green crocodile gravatar, he was on Twitter and then it all went silent so he probably went into a nursing home or passed away? He was ex-army and the gravatar was a song he sang to his grandkids. I missed him when he left. No one could ever locate him in the real world to see if he was ok. I know a couple of bludgers tried.

CTar1
Guest

C@

“Solidarity with Frank” a strange concept!

Darn
Guest

What is the situation with Bemused. I haven’t caught up with that yet?

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