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Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Some better numbers for the Prime Minister from Essential Research, on both voting intention and preferred Liberal leader.

As reported by The Guardian, the Coalition has picked up a point on Essential Research’s fortnight rolling average for the second week in a row, reducing Labor’s lead to 52-48. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up one to 36%, Labor is down one to 36%, One Nation is up a point to 11% and the Greens are steady on 10% (UPDATE: No, actually it’s the Coalition steady on 38% and One Nation up one to 8% – the rest is okay). Further:

• On the question of who would be best to lead the Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull recorded 25%, up five since March; Julie Bishop 20%, down three; Tony Abbott 10%, unchanged; and 13% chose an unspecified “someone else” option. For Labor, Bill Shorten was on 20%, down one; Tanya Plibersek 13%, unchanged; Anthony Albanese 13%, up two; with someone else on 13%.

• Fifty-two per cent were of the view that economic inequality was worsening, with 26% saying it was stable and only 12% concurring with Scott Morrison’s suggestion that it was diminishing. No doubt relatedly, 82% supported forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on their Australian earnings; 61% favoured a higher top-tier income tax rate; 71% a “Buffett rule” to force the wealthy to pay a minimum 30% tax rate; and 86% measures to inhibit the wealthy from minimising tax payments by sending funds offshore.

• Fifty-eight per cent expressed support for four-year terms, with only 24% opposed.

Another poll worth noting is a rare effort on voting intention in the Australian Capital Territory, conducted by ReachTEL for Anglicare and the Canberra Gambling Reform Alliance, which records Labor on 36.4% (down 2.0% since the 2016 election), the Liberals on 38.8% (up 2.1%) and the Greens on 13.3% (up 3.0%).

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1413 comments

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Norwester
Guest

If it was the leaked private call from a Labor PM it would be all over the Australian with every nuance dissected to the enth degree.

Turnbull looks awfully exposed as his troops do the phones for Mondays very big ballot.

a r
Guest

William Bowe @ #1389 Thursday, August 3rd, 2017 – 11:36 pm

That is a good idea. We should do that too. You are worse than I am.

Taken in context, that statement is not as crazy as I thought it would be; considering that it’s Trump’s response to Turnbull saying that he’s basically keeping thoroughly vetted and harmless people in indefinite detention purely for the public spectacle it creates.

To say nothing of his not-so-subtle implication that the U.S. just pretend to honor the agreement and interview people but then not take any of them. Which is basically what they actually did.

Norwester
Guest

One wonders what those other little future favours were that MT promised. He wouldn’t have mentioned that unless he had a briefing list in front of him.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.
Guest
Puff, the Magic Dragon.

Malcolm Turnbull is a cold hard barsted.
Norwester @ #1408 Friday, August 4th, 2017 – 1:45 am

The call transcripts date to February. Is the leaker still there or was it one of Trump’s sacked staff who might have a few more goodies?

MT comes across as a cold hard expletive deleted acknowledging that these people are being held purely for political reasons. But I guess that is the country we live in.

The bigger story is that the White House really is seriously unstable.

Norwester
Guest

The call transcripts date to February. Is the leaker still there or was it one of Trump’s sacked staff who might have a few more goodies?

MT comes across as a cold hard expletive deleted acknowledging that these people are being held purely for political reasons. But I guess that is the country we live in.

The bigger story is that the White House really is seriously unstable.

Norwester
Guest

cud chewer @ #1406 Thursday, August 3rd, 2017 – 11:46 pm

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/08/03/politics/trump-pena-nieto-call-transcript/index.html

Not that exciting in the big scheme of things.

I agree that it is not that big of itself but am reminded of that boom microphone incident that preceded TA’s departure. Similar awkward exposed pants down moment.

cud chewer
Guest
lizzie
Guest

Puffy
So sorry to hear about little Chelsea. Sad for you but the best way to go, warm and loved beside our life companion. A good age too.

Lord Haw Haw of Arabia
Guest
Lord Haw Haw of Arabia

Puffy, The Magic Dragon.
My 17yr old Tenterfield Terrier, Chelsea aka Olde Woman Chelsea passed away in her sleep in my bed early this morning. I woke to find she had passed away. I am glad she had the peaceful end, fitting for all her loyalty and affection for 17 years. Vale Chelsea.

So sorry to hear that, but a wonderful way to go. They always leave a huge hole…

Confessions
Guest

Noesterrw:

I mentioned the Howard govt because obviously as we now know the US govt spun a lot of shit to Aus and the world at the time.

Norwester
Guest

Breaking news on CNN now. Emphasis on leak of ‘highly sensitive’ transcripts.

Norwester
Guest

confessions @ #1400 Thursday, August 3rd, 2017 – 10:43 pm

Turnbull’s grovelling makes me cringe.

Me too. Imagine then just what the Aus PM grovelling has been for events passed? The so-called War on Terror phone calls with Bush / Howard must’ve been doozies.

I’ll bet that even Howard would have a slight cringe on reading this leak. They wouldn’t still have a transcript of his calls with GWB – would they?

Confessions
Guest

Turnbull’s grovelling makes me cringe.

Me too. Imagine then just what the Aus PM grovelling has been for events passed? The so-called War on Terror phone calls with Bush / Howard must’ve been doozies.

shiftaling
Guest

I think the phone call transcript vindicates the reportage at the time

Confessions
Guest

Shiftaling:

Perhaps my following of the Trump imbroglio has made me immune but that is tame by Trump’s standards. I don’t know how former US presidents referred to foreign leaders in phone calls, but to me the calling of the Mexican and Aus leaders by their first names is arguably more offensive and indicative of the arrogant bully boy Trump is than him referring to a phone convo with Trumble as unpleasant.

Norwester
Guest

cringe

Probably also MT’s reaction at this leaking now as his PMship hangs by a thread. Hollow man.

Norwester
Guest

You are worse than I am.

It looked clear to me that Trump was not happy and cut the call short. IIRC reports at the time suggested it became heated. Turnbull’s grovelling makes me cringe.

Whether the transcript will get reported in MSM here is another matter.

shiftaling
Guest

Confessions the quote in that transcript is “this is the most unpleasant call all day” seems pretty piqued to me!

The whole thing is cringeworthy particular given Turnbull spends the whole time selling the deal as a sham and basically a means to save face with the Australian public. Not sure if it’s a low point in our obsequious foreign relations but it is certainly the most intimate exposure of same

shiftaling
Guest

Wait is this Trump Turnbull phone call leak for real? Is it being reported locally? Can’t think this will play well:

Turnbull: “Yes, the agreement, which the Vice President just called the Foreign Minister about less than 24 hours ago and said your Administration would be continuing, does not require you to take 2,000 people. It does not require you to take any. It requires, in return, for us to do a number of things for the United States – this is a big deal, I think we should respect deals.”

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