Menu lock

Sunday snippets

A whole bunch of preselection news, plus retrospective findings from an Australia Institute survey on the Rudd government's handling of the global financial crisis.

Three bits of opinion polling news:

• As you can see in the post below this one, there is a poll of Queensland state voting intention in today’s Sunday Mail newspaper. This presumably means a result on federal voting intention from the same poll can be expected this evening.

• An in-house survey from The Australia Institute examines “public attitudes to the federal government’s handling of the global financial crisis, ten years on”. The Labor government of the time is remembered as having done a good job, with 57-24 breaking in favour of the proposition that “Australians should be proud of how its government handled the GFC”. Other findings are a 62-22 split in favour of the proposition that a recession would have unfolded without “large fiscal stimulus”; 48-31 considering borrowing to fund the stimulus was the right thing to do; 45-37 lining up against the proposition that it would have been better to go without stimulus to avoid further debt; and, more narrowly, 42-37 opposed to the notion that the fiscal stimulus policies were “poorly designed and excessive”.

• A ReachTEL poll for GetUp! on same-sex marriage, targeting six seats in Queensland and Western Australia with Coalition MPs with undeclared positions on the subject, finds support for same-sex marriage at over 50% in Hasluck, Moncrieff, Ryan, Swan and Tangney, and at 48% in Stirling with 42% opposed. Similar proportions of respondents favour a free vote being held in parliament “as soon as possible”.

And a whole bunch on preselection, where balls are already starting to roll ahead of a federal election still nearly two years away:

• Western Australia’s Liberal Party has confirmed Slade Brockman, former chief-of-staff to Mathias Cormann, to fill the casual Senate vacancy created by the retirement of Chris Back. Brockman won 89 votes out of 131 at a vote of the party’s state council held on July 22, from a field that also included former state MPs Michael Sutherland and Mark Lewis.

• The New South Wales ALP’s Left faction has endorsed Tim Ayres, state secretary of the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union, to take a factionally reserved Senate position presently occupied by Doug Cameron, who will not contest the next election. The Australian reports the ballot was boycotted by the Construction Forestry Mining and Energy Union and the Maritime Union of Australia, who were apparently angered by the AMWU’s lock on a seat that stands to be filled consecutively by three of the union’s leaders (George Campbell, Doug Cameron and now Tim Ayres).

Samantha Hutchison of The Australian reports that Michael Danby, Labor’s member for Melbourne Ports since 1998, is “facing pressure to bow out” at the next election. Labor has held the seat since 1906, but Danby was given a two-pronged scare at the last election, only narrowly edging the Greens by 24,340 votes to 23,387 to survive to the final count, and then emerging with a 1.4% margin over the Liberals, down from 2.2% in 2013. According to the report, Ari Suss, a Linfox executive and former staffer to Steve Bracks who shares Danby’s Jewish background (together with Malcolm Turnbull’s seat of Wentworth, Melbourne is one of two seats in the country where over 10% of the population identifies as Jewish). The Greens have already preselected their candidate from 2016, Steph Hodgins-May, whom Danby placed last on his how-to-vote card after she pulled out of a debate organised by Zionism Victoria.

Katie Burgess of the Canberra Times reports preselection reforms in Labor’s Australian Capital Territory branch have been “criticised by the party’s right as a way for the left to gain control of a possible third federal seat”, which the territory stands to gain with the latest population-related entitlement determination. The changes have dispensed with requirements that members be branch members for at least 12 months and attend a certain number of meetings in a year to be eligible to vote in preselection ballots, which will reportedly triple the voter base. Kirsten Lawson of the Canberra Times earlier reported that the most commonly mentioned name for a new position secured by the Left was Angie Drake, staffer to Deputy Chief Minister Yvette Berry and unsuccessful candidate for Brindabella at last year’s territory election.

Sky News reports that John Ruddick, a prominent proponent of reforms to democratise the party’s preselection process, as endorsed a fortnight ago at a special party convention, will challenge Trent Zimmerman for preselection in his seat of North Sydney. Zimmerman is a moderate factional operative, and one of the Liberals’ four openly gay federal MPs.

• State upper house MP Mehreen Faruqi has announced she will seek preselection to lead the party’s Senate ticket at the next election, setting up a contest with Lee Rhiannon should she choose to nominate again, which is yet to be determined.

We recommend

From around the web

Powered by Taboola

541 comments

Sort by:   newest | oldest | most voted
peter love
Guest

DTT,

Collusion with Russia for political gain, has been admitted. This is no small thing. Russia is not Australia, the U.K., or anywhere else when it comes to sabotage.

Charles
Guest

Claude Taylor‏ @TrueFactsStated

Here’s what I’ve been told. All adult kids (not Tiff) are implicated in NYAG Schneiderman’s money laundering invstgn. And Jared’s talking.

Charles
Guest

DTT

Just for starters, the Don Jr. meeting is very likely evidence of conspiracy to collude.

Then there’s Flynn, Manafort, Stone, Kushner, Russian money being funneled into the Trump campaign (Trump’s campaign was broke just after he won the primary but was magically flush a couple of weeks later) money laundering, pay for play re sanctions. And on and on and on.

More big trouble for Trump is that Mueller’s scope IS ABLE to pursue other criminality (ie Trump’s dodgy finances going back decades) he may find during his investigations that fall outside the 2016 election campaign material. Note: Mueller doesn’t hire the best 16 federal prosecutors in the US if there’s only a long shot of indictments.

Further, many former US federal prosecutors believe that there is already more than enough evidence to prove Trump obstructed justice. Just from Trump’s idiotic tweets and TV appearances alone he is a goner.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/7/13/15952212/trump-russia-investigation-evidence

http://www.newsweek.com/could-donald-jr-kushner-and-manafort-go-jail-russia-meeting-you-bet-they-can-636836

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/russian-lawyer-obtained-hill-hearing-seat-florida-trump/story?id=48661448

http://washingtonjournal.com/2017/08/04/new-report-reveals-mcconnell-ryan-took-millions-russian-oligarch-tied-putin/

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/08/03/politics/mueller-investigation-russia-trump-one-year-financial-ties/index.html

https://www.bustle.com/p/evidence-russian-operatives-discussed-paul-manafort-is-discovered-by-us-investigators-74471

http://www.businessinsider.com/wealthy-russians-invested-nearly-100-million-in-trump-buildings-2017-3?IR=T

https://thesternfacts.com/proof-trump-knows-agent-who-setup-russian-meeting-with-trump-jr-cd68fd2621b8

I really have to wonder if you have read a fraction of what is out there on the subject DTT. Probably because you don’t want to – you are still twisting yourself into pretzels defending Trump?Russia and Putin because Hill beating the Bern in the primaries. We’re not stupid you know.

briefly
Guest

daretotread
Confessions

Are you really that thick or just too blind about anything I post that you cannot rationally assess it?

The point was about when a person is removed from a position because they broke the law even when that removal may have adverse consequences for others.. It is known as a hypothetical .

it is exchanges like these that make me despair.

Bollocks. You do not despair. You thrive on the fake arguments. They are a sham. You are a sham. Your claims to be a superior intellect are preposterous. You are a fraud

daretotread
Guest

Confessions

Are you really that thick or just too blind about anything I post that you cannot rationally assess it?

The point was about when a person is removed from a position because they broke the law even when that removal may have adverse consequences for others.. It is known as a hypothetical .

it is exchanges like these that make me despair.

briefly
Guest

daretotread
Zoomster

This is of course one of those classic philosophical dilemmas with which they often tease students.

This is in fact one of the multitude of irrelevant and transparent deflections you attempt to use to mask your incurable inanity.

zoomster
Guest

Here’s the relevant US electoral law —

https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/11/110.20

Sohar
Guest

GhostWhoVotes‏ @GhostWhoVotes 4m4 minutes ago
More
#Newspoll Shorten: Approve 36 (+3) Disapprove 51 (-2) #auspol

GhostWhoVotes‏ @GhostWhoVotes 5m5 minutes ago
More
#Newspoll Turnbull: Approve 38 (+4) Disapprove 50 (-4) #auspol

zoomster
Guest

dtt

In which case the head of the hospital risks being an accessory after the crime, and thus would face the same penalties as the surgeon.

No one in any position of responsibility is allowed to turn a blind eye to criminal behaviour.

C@tmomma
Guest

Phew!

(>‿◠)✌

sprocket_
Guest

#NEWSPOLL @australian Shorten: Satisfied 36 (+3) Dissatisfied 51 (-2)

The Smear is leading with the PPM figure, the only ray if hope in the stinking carcass which is the Turnbull governement

bemused
Guest

confessions @ #525 Sunday, August 6th, 2017 – 9:29 pm

davidwh:

Yes the Libs were aided by Labor’s Rudd whiteanting.

Yes, the absolute bastard! Saved her sorry arse in 2010 and then refused to lie down and die.

daretotread
Guest

Gee Zoomster better tell that to AIPAC

Just as it will be in the case of Trump, lobbying will be via intermediaries and would not be directly in contravention of any laws.

in any case what happens when there are dual citizens doing the lobbying

daretotread
Guest

Zoomster

OK you have made a statement that as I understand it goes like this.

You are the head of a major hospital. Your only surgeon is accused of a sex offence. You must make the decision to stand the surgeon down knowing that this will mean that several or many people will die because there is no surgeon.

Now it seems that you in that position would stand the surgeon down. The people who die will be the responsibility of the surgeon, not you as the CEO.

I however probably would not. I would probably seek some sort of compromise such that the surgeon keeps working under supervision. Much as i might hate the surgeon and his behaviour, I would seek to keep him working until such time as i had a replacement.

This is of course one of those classic philosophical dilemmas with which they often tease students.

Leroy Lynch
Guest

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll/newspoll-turnbull-widens-lead-over-shorten-as-primary-vote-falls/news-story/40af403449838b858a3038ca39d5845d

The Australian
9:35PM August 6, 2017
David Crowe Political correspondent Canberra

Labor has held its gains over the Coalition after two weeks of political debate over national security and tax reform, leading by 53 to 47 against the government in two-party terms for the sixth Newspoll survey in a row.

Mr Turnbull has widened his lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister to reach his strongest position so far this year, backed by 46 per cent of voters compared to 31 per cent who favour the Opposition Leader.

The Prime Minister has also gained ground in voter satisfaction with his performance, posting his strongest results since early last year despite a week of Liberal infighting over same sex marriage and speculation of a challenge to his authority on the floor of parliament.

The latest Newspoll, conducted exclusively for The Australian, shows Labor’s primary vote has fallen from 37 to 36 per cent after a fortnight of big policies including a $4.1 billion tax hit on family trusts, a plan to enact four-year parliamentary terms and a vow to hold a plebiscite on a republic.

The Coalition’s primary vote is unchanged at 36 per cent.

Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has suffered its second setback in consecutive Newspolls, with its primary vote slipping from 9 to 8 per cent amid questions over whether Queensland Senator Malcolm Roberts renounced his British citizenship in time to secure a valid election to the upper house.

The Greens have increased their primary vote from 9 to 11 per cent, their strongest result since May last year.

This is the sixth Newspoll in succession with a result of 53 to 47 per cent in two-party terms, a record that confirms the scale of the challenge facing the government in turning its fortunes around.

sprocket_
Guest

T#NEWSPOLL @australian Primary Vote: Coalition 36​ (​0), ALP 36 (-1), Greens 11 (+2), One Nation 8​ (-1)

Toby Esterhase
Guest

53-47 again.

Confessions
Guest

If there is only one heart transplant surgeon in the country and you have him removed for some very good reason eg kiddyfiddling, you nevertheless ARE responsible for the deaths that will occur because there is no surgeon.

Yikes the stupid just gets piled upon the stupid with no filter whatsoever!

One thing you can guarantee Donald Trump isn’t is a heart transplant surgeon, so why on earth you are invoking this eg is anyone’s guess. And from the comments left here, peeps don’t need to guess at what’s at the heart of your intentions.

zoomster
Guest

dtt

‘ that Israel via AIPAC lobbies hard and this often indeed among always in the US context means donations to election fund..’

If so, those accepting donations have committed a crime under the US electoral act, which prohibits foreign interference – including donations.

So 99% of Congress – according to you – are committing a crime and should lose office.

wpDiscuz