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William Bowe — Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe

Editor of The Poll Bludger

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, is one of the most heavily trafficked forums for online discussion of Australian politics, and joined the Crikey stable in 2008.


BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

Friday, October 20, 2017 1514 Comments

Mild improvement for the Coalition in the poll aggregate this week after better results from Essential Research and YouGov (though not Newspoll).

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor; YouGov: 51-49 to Coalition

Tuesday, October 17, 2017 1690 Comments

The gap narrows in the latest Essential Research poll, which also finds strong support for a clean energy target.

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland

Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland

Tuesday, October 17, 2017 4 Comments

A new Queensland state poll finds Labor notionally ahead in a game where everything hangs on the unpredictable One Nation factor.

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Sunday, October 15, 2017 594 Comments

Turnbull down on approval, but steady on voting intention.

New South Wales by-elections live

Saturday, October 14, 2017 14 Comments

Live commentary of the counts for the New South Wales state by-elections in Blacktown, Cootamundra and Murray.

BludgerTrack: 53.9-46.1 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 53.9-46.1 to Labor

Friday, October 13, 2017 1349 Comments

Labor bites and holds its poll trend gain from last week, and Essential Research unloads a set of state voting intention numbers.

Galaxy: 53-47 to Nick Xenophon in Hartley; ReachTEL: 50-50

Wednesday, October 11, 2017 12 Comments

A new poll finds Nick Xenophon with his nose in front in his audacious raid on a Liberal-held state seat in eastern Adelaide.

ReachTEL: 52-48 to Coalition in New South Wales

Tuesday, October 10, 2017 10 Comments

Gladys Berejiklian's government keeps its head above water ahead of three by-elections in New South Wales on Saturday.

Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

Tuesday, October 10, 2017 1916 Comments

Essential's latest produces an improved result for Malcolm Turnbull on personal approval – but not on voting intention.

Newspoll quarterly aggregates: July-September 2017

Monday, October 9, 2017 693 Comments

Newspoll's breakdowns find the government sagging in Queensland, and regional areas more generally.