William BoweNov 11, 201626 Comments
Scattered observations on the state of polling and forecast models following the rude shock of the presidential election result.
William BoweNov 9, 2016837 Comments
Live coverage of the count for the US presidential election, and the rest.
William BoweNov 9, 201622 Comments
The poll tracker finds absolutely nothing in it in Florida, North Carolina and Nevada, but with Clinton holding enough of a firewall to survive in any case. Also featured: a detailed account of the Senate race.
William BoweNov 7, 201670 Comments
As Democrats find encouragement from early voting patterns, opinion polls also appear to be turning back in Hillary Clinton's favour.
William BoweNov 5, 201638 Comments
With just a few days to go, the latest presidential election polling suggests the recent turn in favour of Donald Trump may have passed its peak.
William BoweNov 3, 201617 Comments
Still a very tight race with less than a week to go, with Clinton grimly hanging on in both the national vote and projected electoral college count.
William BoweNov 1, 201611 Comments
Poll aggregation records a big lift for Donald Trump commencing at the start of the last week, even before substantially accounting for any impact of the FBI emails development.
William BoweOct 29, 201614 Comments
Last reading of the poll aggregate before we see the influence, if any, of today's headlines about Hillary Clinton's email server. Also featured: state level results and a national electoral college projection.
William BoweOct 23, 201635 Comments
Three emphatic debate victories in a row look to have pushed Hillary Clinton's lead to landslide proportions.
William BoweOct 4, 2016128 Comments
After all but closing the gap in the lead-up to last week's debate, national poll aggregation now finds Donald Trump on more familiar ground.