New South Wales election 2015

Summer Hill

Margin: Labor 12.7%
Region: Inner Western Sydney
Federal: Grayndler

New electorate

Candidates in ballot paper order

summerhill-alp

summerhill-lib

JO HAYLEN
Labor (top)

DON TAURIELLO
No Land Tax

MAX PHILLIPS
Greens

JULIE PASSAS
Liberal (bottom)

SUSAN PRICE
Socialist Alliance

JAMES COGAN
Independent

KYLIE FRENCH
Christian Democratic Party

2011 BOOTH RESULTS MAP

PAST RESULTS

DEMOGRAPHICS

Two-party preferred booth results from 2011 state election show Labor-versus-Greens results in Balmain and Marrickville, and Labor-versus-Liberal results in Canterbury and Strathfield. Labor majority shown in red, Greens in green and Liberal in blue. New boundaries in thicker blue lines, old ones in thinner red lines. Boundary data courtesy of Ben Raue of The Tally Room.

Summer Hill is a new electorate located about seven kilometres to the south-west of central Sydney, its creation reflecting inner-city population growth. It touches upon the harbour at Haberfield at its northern end, formerly in Balmain, from which it extends southwards through Ashfield and Summer Hill, which are gained from Strathfield and Canterbury, and thence to Marrickville. About 24,000 of its voters are from abolished Marrkville, with 15,000 coming from Canterbury, 9500 from Strathfield and 5000 from Balmain. Antony Green observes that the electorate’s dimensions are broadly similar to those of the old electorate of Ashfield, which existed from 1894 to 1999 and was held by Labor from 1976 onwards. Labor has a notional margin over the Liberals of 12.7%, but the Greens presumably stand a strong chance of reducing the Liberals to third place, the abolished electorate of Marrickville having been their second strongest seat after Balmain.

With Marrickville MP Carmel Tebbutt announcing in November 2013 that she would not seek another term, the creation of Summer Hill represented an attractive vacancy for a prospective Labor member. That candidate will be Marrickville mayor Jo Haylen, whose CV includes two years as director of the Office of the Prime Minister under Julia Gillard from 2011 to 2013, and three months as deputy chief-of-staff to Anthony Albanese in his period as Deputy Prime Minister following Kevin Rudd’s return to the leadership. She has been described by the Sydney Morning Herald as a protégé of the locally all-powerful Anthony Albanese, and is a member of his “hard Left” faction.

The biggest opposition to Haylen is likely to come from Marrickville councillor Max Phillips, who is running for the Greens.

Corrections, complaints and feedback to William Bowe at pollbludger-at-bigpond-dot-com. Read William’s blog, The Poll Bludger.

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