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The Poll Bludger



Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

William BoweJul 9, 2017807 Comments

As Newspoll reports for the first time in three weeks, Labor's 53-47 lead remains set in cement.

BludgerTrack: 52.3-47.7 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 52.3-47.7 to Labor

William BoweJul 9, 2017266 Comments

Another static reading of the BludgerTrack opinion poll aggregate, plus some preselection news.

Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

William BoweJul 4, 20171506 Comments

Essential Research moves a point to Labor, as Newspoll has another week off.

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BludgerTrack: 52.3-47.7 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 52.3-47.7 to Labor

William BoweJul 2, 2017747 Comments

A detailed quarterly breakdown of federal voting intention at state level records Labor sagging in Victoria, but still on course for an election-winning swing in Queensland.

Galaxy: 50-50 in South Australia

William BoweJul 1, 201711 Comments

Nick Xenophon's party still polling strong in South Australia according to the latest Galaxy poll, which nonetheless finds Labor still in the hunt despite the declining popularity of Jay Weatherill.

ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor

William BoweJun 30, 2017610 Comments

A new poll finds voters favouring Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott for the Liberal leadership by a two-to-one ratio, with Labor maintaining a moderate lead on voting intention.

YouGov-Fifty Acres: 51-49 to Labor

William BoweJun 28, 2017688 Comments

The debut entry from a new federal poll series finds low primary support for the major parties and an unusually tight race on two-party preferred – although it would be a different story if preferences flowed as they did at last year's election.

Census working overtime

Census working overtime

William BoweJun 28, 20175 Comments

A detailed look at the demographic changes recorded in this week's census release, as they pertain to the House of Representatives electorates.

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

William BoweJun 27, 2017755 Comments

Another stable two-party reading from Essential Research, as Newspoll's quarterly breakdowns confirm the impression of big swings to Labor in Queensland and Western Australia.

BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

William BoweJun 24, 20171098 Comments

Two new polls fail to make much difference to the aggregated two-party reading, although One Nation has bounced back after a recent fallow patch.