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The Poll Bludger



Essential Research: 51-49 to Labor

William BoweJul 12, 20161605 Comments

The first poll conducted since the election suggests the result has delivered a blow to Malcolm Turnbull's public prestige.

Senate photo finishes

Senate photo finishes

William BoweJul 12, 201696 Comments

Crunching the numbers on a new Senate that looks no less problematic for the government than the one that preceded it.

Essential Research: 50-50

William BoweJul 7, 20163056 Comments

Results of a poll conducted concurrently with the election on the weekend, and a place for general discussion of the election aftermath.

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Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

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State of confusion: day three

William BoweJul 5, 20161823 Comments

Another open thread for general post-election discussion.

State of confusion: day two

William BoweJul 4, 20161294 Comments

An extra cautious Australian Electoral Commission will not resume counting until tomorrow, allowing a helpful breather for those of us trying to keep on top of the situation.

State of confusion

William BoweJul 3, 20161544 Comments

Seeking some clarity about the federal election result? Join the club.

Federal election live thread

William BoweJul 2, 20161912 Comments

Here is a thread for you to discuss events as they unfold. I'll be providing commentary this evening on ABC Radio, together with Fran Kelly, Marius Benson and Sandy Aloisi, together wit

Newspoll and Essential Research: 50.5-49.5 to Coalition; ReachTEL: 51-49

Newspoll and Essential Research: 50.5-49.5 to Coalition; ReachTEL: 51-49

William BoweJul 1, 20161027 Comments

Three late polls find the Coalition with a narrow two-party lead, and Labor hanging on in its seat of Chisholm in Melbourne.

Fairfax-Ipsos: 50-50; Galaxy: 51-49 to Coalition

William BoweJun 30, 20161153 Comments

The final Ipsos and Galaxy polls of the campaign record little or no change, with both suggesting the election is still up for grabs.

BludgerTrack: 50.9-49.1 to Coalition

BludgerTrack: 50.9-49.1 to Coalition

William BoweJun 29, 20162080 Comments

Daylight has finally opened between the two parties on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, without quite freeing the Coalition from the risk of a hung parliament.