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The Poll Bludger



Newspoll and ACNielsen

William BoweJul 21, 2004

Contemporary readers have no doubt heard already, but for the benefit of future generations, let it be recorded here that polls released yesterday by Newspoll and ACNielsen produced

Morgan, McNair and Westpoll

William BoweJul 17, 2004

Roy Morgan appears to have marked the arrival of election season by moving its schedule from fortnightly to weekly federal polling. Unfortun

House of cards

William BoweJul 15, 2004

Yesterday's surprise reshuffle marked a departure from the earlier practice of the Howard Government, which entered the last two elections with no changes to the ministry in the prec

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Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

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One-way ticket

William BoweJul 11, 2004

On Friday the last piece in the Senate election puzzle fell into place when the National Party held its preselection for the second position on the joint Coalition ticket in

August 7 - the God that failed

William BoweJul 7, 2004

So, no August 7 election then. The next hypothesis to face the test is the one involving an August 14 election announced after a cabinet meeting next Tuesday, but this is not where T

New stuff, and lots of it

William BoweJul 5, 2004

The Poll Bludger's long promised and much-delayed seat-by-seat guide to the House of Representatives election is finally available for public edification and enlightenment.

Phoney war dispatches: final edition

William BoweJun 29, 2004

In order to mark the end of the financial year, the handover of sovereignty in Iraq and the arrival of the period in which the Prime Minister may call a half-Senate election, the Pol

State of excitement

William BoweJun 26, 2004

For much of the current term, election watchers have been looking at the Coalition side of the Mackerras pendulum to identify the 11 seats Labor will have to win to gain a majority.

Phoney war dispatches: reality check edition

William BoweJun 22, 2004

With the cycle upset by Newspoll's three-week break, all three major opinion pollsters have delivered their findings in the past five days. For once, there is a remarkable degree of

Phoney war dispatches: No Newspoll edition

William BoweJun 15, 2004

The nation's tea-leaf readers have been left driving blind after today's non-appearance of Newspoll, which is apparently taking an extended

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