Pollytics - Politics, elections and piffle plinking

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When Wholes Are Less Than Sums of the Parts

Possum ComitatusJul 1, 201314 Comments

Headline national two party preferred results are clouding the dynamics and reality of what is happening at the state level - where elections are won and lost

Anatomy of a Modern Campaign

Possum ComitatusApr 22, 201320 Comments

One of the biggest jokes politics plays on itself is “secrecy” - secret internal polling that apparently makes public polling wrong, secret campaign tactics that relegate Sun Tzu to

Megapoll - Full Breakdowns

Possum ComitatusApr 10, 201312 Comments

The data and breakdowns from the largest political poll ever conducted in Australia - all focusing on privatisation and Qld

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Politics, elections and piffle plinking

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Trends, The Horserace and random numbers

Possum ComitatusNov 11, 201211 Comments

Today we look at latest polling trends, the timing issues of the ALP carbon tax recovery and big analysis of how most of Australia’s polling and political commentary is based on random numbers.

Qld State Polling and Bad Analysis

Possum ComitatusOct 1, 201210 Comments

How two pollsters showing identical results can deliver two completely different accounts of voter behaviour - why timeliness matters if you want to avoid bad analysis

The Primary Dynamic

Possum ComitatusSep 29, 201212 Comments

The extraordinary growth in the relationship between perceptions of the Prime Minister and the electoral fortunes of the government they lead. A statistical analysis of our new primary dynamic.